Neeral+and+Theja

Aff: TurkeyTNW's Advantages: Iran, Russia, NATO

=Iran 1AC=

__Plan: The United States Federal Government should remove all of its tactical nuclear weapons from Turkey__

note – Iran [J.J. Green, the national security correspondent, and Middle East proliferation expert for WTOP, CSPAN, and Voice of America, on WTOP. //,// "There is no doubt ... Iran's own military activity.
 * Initially note Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons now Green 10** – is pursuing nuclear weapons now (14 6, “Iran ‘Definitely’ Building Nuclear Weapon”, http://www.wtop.com/?nid=25&sid=1979648 ] Saker)

//**US withdraw of TNW’s from turkey grants them the credibility to prevent Iranian nuclearization**// //**__Kibaroglu 6/7__** /10 (Mustafa, Professor and Vice Chair of the IR dept @ Bilkent U, “Reassessing the Role of U.S. Nuclear Weapons in Turkey”) // In addition to improvements...on U.S. nuclear weapons.

//**Iran will not follow current nuclear taboos- only Turkish diplomacy can solve**// //**Kaye & Wehrey 7** - * Political Scientist at the RAND Corporation AND **International Policy Analyst at the RAND Corporation. (June 2007, Survival, “A Nuclear Iran: The Reactions of Neighbours” JSTOR)** // //The current nature of...leadership‘ in Tehran.//

//** [Tulin **__Daloglu,__** Turkey expert for Foreign Policy, “Turkey Takes Sides”, published **__4/16__** /2010. http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/04/16/turkey_takes_sides?page=0,1 ] **// In principle, Erdogan shares...to blame is himself.
 * __//Without this Turkish credibility Iran will nuclearize.//__**

__**//This causes cascading proliferation and global nuclear war//**__ //__Inbar 6__** (Efraim, Professor of Political Studies at Bar-Ilan University and Director of its Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies “The Need to Block a Nuclear Iran” Article was Peer Reviewed by David Leitner and Tamara Sternlieb, The Middle East Review of International Affairs, Vol 10 No 1 Article 7 March 2006) http://meria.idc.ac.il/journal/2006/issue1/jv10no1a7.html, AD: 7-31-09) **// Further improvements in...nuclear deterrence in the region.

//**ISRAEL AND THE U.S. WILL NUKE IRAN AS SOON AS IT DEVELOPS NUKES – THIS RESULTS IN TERRORISM AND INTERNATIONAL NUCLEAR WAR.**// Israel has drawn up...wiped off the map”.
 * [Uzi Mahnaimi and Sara Baxter, staff writers for The ** Sunday Times **, “Revealed: Israel Plans Nuclear Strike on Iran”, 1/7/20 **  07 ** . http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article1290331.ece ] Saker **

__**//terrorist attack would cause extinction//**__ //__Sid-Ahmed__ ** political analyst Sept 1 **__2k4__** (Mohamed, “Extinction” Al-Ahram weekly, http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2004/705/op5.htm) **// //** We have reached a point in...__we will all be losers.__ **// __**//Turkish nukes don’t deter or serve any purpose – only a risk of the advantage//**__ //__Bell and Loehrke 9__** – manager at the Ploughshares Fund, Truman National Security Fellow, writer about U.S nuclear weapons in Turkey and research assistant at the Ploughshares Fund, graduate student at the University of Maryland School of Public Policy, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists **// //** For more than 40 years,weapons from Turkish soil. **//

=Russia 1AC= U.S-Russia relations are low now. If we do not act soon, this will trigger miscalculations and a new Cold War.

//Deatsch 09 ** Amanda Deastsch- Her dissertation for M.A. from Webster University. (“Misperceptions in U.S.-Russia relations: Prospects for a new Cold War?” abstract) **// //**__U.S.-Russian__**// **relations // __are__**

Removing tactical nuclear weapons from Europe is uniquely key to convincing Russia to reduce its stockpile of nuclear weapons __//** However, it will be difficult...War to take place. **//__
 * Kolesnikov et al. 08 (Sergei, Rolf Mützenich, Patrik Vankrunklesven, “Time to remove tactical nuclear weapons from Europe?” < http://www.gsinstitute.org/pnnd/pubs/Tactical_nukes.pdf > Dr. Rolf Mützenich has a phD from the University of Bremen in political science, member of SPD, Spokesperson on Nuclear Nonproliferation and Disarmament. Patrik Vankrunklesven is a Belgian Senator, and PNND Council Member, Sergei Kolesnikov is a PNND Council Member) **
 * Unilateral action by the US to remove TNWs from Europe inspires confidence in Russia to do the same**
 * Bildt and Sikorski 2010 (Carl and Radek, February 1, NYT, “Next, the Tactical Nukes,” http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/02/opinion/02iht-edbildt.html Carl Bildt is the Foreign Minister of Sweden and is former Prime Minister of Sweden, Radek Sikorski **

And the proliferation of tactical nuclear weapons is the greatest threat the US faces today- leads to nuclear terrorism and justifies using nukes in war Turner 2003** (Stansfield, Former Director of the CIA, former admiral in the Navy and acted as Commander in Chief of NATO’s southern flank, currently a senior research scholar at the University of Maryland, College Park School of Public Policy, Forward in the book __Tactical Nuclear Weapons__**
 * __//Although this is a sharp ..unilateral confidence building efforts.//__ **


 * Tactical nuclear weapons are a bigger threat than strategic nuclear weapons- we control the most probable internal link to a nuclear attack**
 * Sokov 2002 (Nicolai Socov, “Issue Brief: Tactical Nuclear Weapons”, Nicolai Sokov is a senior research associate at the Center of Nonproliferation Studies, Monteray Institute of International Studies. He worked at the Institute of USA and Canadian Studies and the Institute of World Economy and International Relations in Moscow. From 1987-92 he worked at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Soviet Union and Russia, he participated in Sstart I and Start II negotiations. He wrote the book __Russian Strategic Modernization: Past and Future.)__**
 * In some respects, __TNWs are.__**

Removing TNW’s is key to reviving US-Russian relations Claudine Lamond**, Australian National University (International Relations), June **2009** , “International Security Report” http://www.atlantic-community.org/app/webroot/files/articlepdf/140809_ISR%20-%20Russian%20TNW%20C%20Lamond.pdf **
 * __The stationing of NATO’s__**

U.S.-RUSSIA RELATIONS CHECK MULTIPLE SCENARIOS OF NUCLEAR WAR COHEN 1** (Stephen, Prof of Russian Studies at NYU, June 7, http://www.thenation.com/doc.mhtml?i=20010625&c=1&s=cohen ) **
 * In these and other ways, __ Russia has __**

=Nato 1AC= The Removal of TNW’s from Europe is the first step in solving NATO’s dissolution

Podvig 2010** (Pavel, 2/25, expert in Russian nuclear arsenal and physicist, head of the Russian Strategic Nuclear Forces Research Project, Stanford research associate, “What to do about tactical nuclear weapons” The Bulletin) **
 * __A primary reason for__ this __neglect__**

NATO’s collapse would bring mulitpolar world, European arms races, Russian aggression Sikorski 04** (Radek, 3/2/2004, “NATO has not Perished yet while we are still alive” The National Interest) __The dissolution of the alliance__