vinny+and+tina+aff

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=BIT 1AC=

Plan
====plan text: The United States federal government should accede to the U.S.-China Bilateral Investment Treaty and offer the People's Republic China Market Economy Status, transparency in the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States' security checks, and relaxation of exportation of high-tech items if the People's Republic of China accedes to the U.S.-China Bilateral Investment Treaty and consents to shorten its negative list.====

China's rise makes clash with the US is inevitable – BIT solves by building trust through a common narrative
Former Australian prime minister Kevin Rudd has spent much of his time since stepping down AND at the moment. So that's why I'm in the global citizens business.
 * Shuli and Ling, citing Rudd '15 – staff reporters for Caixin Online, citing former Australian Prime Minister and a senior fellow at the Harvard Kennedy School's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, (Hu and Wang, citing Kevin, "Kevin Rudd: Answering the Peaceful Rise Question,"** http://english.caixin.com/2015-05-15/100809611.html**, DS)**

Chinese and U.S. representatives expressed optimism for the future of the China AND settlement of their respective economic issues and stable growth of their respective economies.
 * ====BIT furthers interdependence between China and the US – integrates Chinese-led economic institutions with US-led economics institutions – this disincentives conflict====**
 * Yugui** **4/7 —** Dean of the School of Economics and Finance at the Shanghai International Studies University (Zhang, "China-U.S. BIT Matters to the Global Economy", Beijing Review, 4-7-16)

Without BIT, US-Sino competition will erupt in WWIII over multiple hotspots
AT: china revisionist – (1) Says BIT solves, (2) Yugui evid says China driven by econ (proven by AIIB, etc.), (3) view thru constructive realism – Shuli and Ling – means China's perception of US incentives will shape its own goals, so China not revisionist The relationship between the United States and China has rightly been described as the most AND a marriage in which divorce is not an option. Divorce means war.
 * Shambaugh '15** (David; 6/12/15; Professor of Political Science and International Affairs at George Washington University, and a nonresident senior fellow at the Brookings Institute; South China Morning Post, "In a fundamental shift, China and the US are now engaged in all-out competition," http://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1819980/fundamental-shift-china-and-us-are-now-engaged-all-out?page=all)

Specifically, South China Sea conflict goes nuclear – deep historical tensions will explode in a US-China military confrontation fraught with misunderstanding
Christensen 6/5/15 – Thomas J., Boswell professor of world politics and director of the China and the World Program at Princeton University, is a former U.S. deputy assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs, "China's Rising Military: Now for the Hard Part" http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-06-05/china-s-rising-military-now-for-the-hard-part One reason for this is that no consensus exists in East Asia on the territorial AND conditions in which a technologically superior foe attacks crucial targets with conventional weapons.

The US steel sector is wrecking the US economy – prices not low enough to boost downstream manufacturing – allowing China to dump cheap steel in the US market is key to boost the overall economy
The world is awash in surplus steel. This is due primarily to an eightfold AND competitiveness of the much larger U.S. steel-consuming sector.
 * Pearson 5/17** – former member of the U.S. International Trade Commission (Daniel R. Pearson, "Big Steel's Dilemma: Trade Restriction Cure Is Worse Than the Disease", CATO Institute, 5/17/2016, http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/big-steels-dilemma-trade-restriction-cure-worse-disease)//MBB

Economic collapse leads to war – preventive and expansionist wars
(Jack, the Robert and Renée Belfer Professor of International Relations in the Department of Political Science and Institute of War and Peace Studies at Columbia University; Winter 2015/2016; "Trade Expectations and Great Power Conflict— A Review Essay"; Muse)//jac Trade Expectations Theory Copeland centers his theory on what he calls the "new variable AND factors can trigger the trade-security dilemma and a slide into war.
 * Snyder 15**

Granting China MES solves – allows China to dump cheap steel into the US market
With MES status, China could avoid effective enforcement of anti-dumping laws in AND function in a constantly depressed price environment," he said (Dalton 2015).
 * Scott 15** – PhD in economics @ UC-Berkeley, director of trade and manufacturing policy research at the Economic Policy Institute (Robert, with Xiao Jiang, PhD in Social Research, assistant professor at Denison University, "Unilateral grant of market economy status to China would put millions of EU jobs at risk," http://www.epi.org/publication/eu-jobs-at-risk/)//BB

Dumping cheap products won't have negative consequences in the rest of the world – the EU can adapt to China's hangover economy
The EU currently has anti-dumping legislation in place, which enables it to AND production. European firms are at the forefront in many of these fields.
 * Zuluaga 16** [Diego, International Research Fellow at Institute of Economic Affairs – London, Deputy Director at the European Policy Information Center, "Ignore the fear-mongers and grant China market economy status", 1/15/16, http://www.euractiv.com/section/trade-society/opinion/ignore-the-fear-mongers-and-grant-china-market-economy-status/]//DBI

More generally, BIT also fuels economic growth – creates opportunities for investors
A BIT would benefit the economies of both the United States and China, by AND encourage overseas investment. This would create jobs and opportunities for American workers.
 * Lehr '15 - Director of the newly established Paulson Institute, founded by former Secretary of Treasury Henry M. Paulson, Jr. and located at the University of Chicago, (Deborah, "Why the Bilateral Investment Treaty Matters,"** http://english.caixin.com/2015-02-13/100784042.html**, DS)**

China says yes – the plan provides the sufficient incentives
Negotiations over a US-China Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) have entered a AND summit in September will provide special opportunities to meaningfully advance the BIT negotiations.
 * Miner '15 - China program manager and research associate, has been with the Peterson Institute since June 2013. He works under Senior Fellow and Director Emeritus C. Fred Bergsten and Reginald Jones Senior Fellow Gary Clyde Hufbauer on international trade issues between the United States and China. He obtained his MBA from George Washington University where he focused on international business and finance and has a bachelor's degree in government from the University of Texas,** https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/why-china-wants-bit-united-states) **A.S.**

The plan is key – Chinese concessions on negative list is necessary to ensure US competitiveness, and US concessions on security reviews and high-tech is necessary to ensure Chinese competitiveness
David **Lawder**, writer for Reuters, "The US applauds 'productive' investment talks with China," Reuters, Jun. 18, **2016**, http://www.businessinsider.com/the-us-applauds-productive-investment-talks-with-china-2016-6?r=UK&IR=T A USTR spokeswoman said U.S. and Chinese negotiators exchanged revised "negative AND agreement was prior to a G20 leaders summit in China in early September.

Only impact supported by studies—collapse causes global war
= Less intuitive is how periods of __economic decline may__= = AND = = featured prominently in the economic-security debate and deserves more attention. =
 * Royal 10** – Director of CTRJedediah, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction – U.S. Department of Defense, “Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises”, Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, Ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p. 213-215

BIT binds China – international arbitration
U.S. companies face serious challenges operating in China. But the good AND also provides remedies for foreign companies in China facing biased enforcement of regulations.
 * Michaeli '11 – research associate at the Council on Foreign Relations, (Daniel, "Let's Negotiate an Investment Treaty with China," http://www.huffingtonpost.com/daniel-michaeli/lets-negotiate-an-investm_b_846468.html, DS)**

=AIIB 1AC=

Plan
====The Plan: The United States federal government should substantially increase its diplomatic and economic engagement with the People's Republic of China over the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank to join the bank.====

Scenario 1 is U.S. hegemony:
====China's rise is inevitable due to its economic power – U.S. failure to seek membership in the AIIB signals that it rejects China's integration into the current world order and crushes American legitimacy==== The United States has sensibly declared its intention to rebalance towards the Asia-Pacific AND writ large—than, respectively, excluding China and shunning its efforts.
 * Wyne, 15** —- contributing analyst at Wikistrat, and a global fellow with the Project for the Study of the 21st Century (4/7/15, Ali, "The American World Order and China's New Bank," http://warontherocks.com/2015/04/the-american-world-order-and-chinas-new-bank/, article downloaded on 5/3/16, JMP)

Joining AIIB prevents WWIII by facilitating China's rise – preserves US hard power and peacefully gives China a stake in the international order
AND us hope the appropriate lessons are learned. Pax Americana is still needed.
 * Lehmann, 15** —- Emeritus Professor at IMD, Lausanne (Switzerland), currently Visiting Professor at Hong Kong University and at NIIT University in Neemrana, Rajasthan (India) (4/2/15, Jean-Pierre Lehmann, "China And The US: The AIIB Fiasco &amp; America's Colossal Loss Of Face," http://www.forbes.com/sites/jplehmann/2015/04/02/china-and-the-us-the-aiib-fiasco-americas-colossal-loss-of-face/print/, article downloaded 6/14/16, JMP)
 * U.S. heg on brink (due to Iraq), China wants

Engaging on the AIIB demonstrates strategic trust by shifting US strategy away from containment – prevents miscalc in SCS
In 2011, U.S. president Barack Obama announced plans to "pivot AND . cooperation. Development lending could prove a minimally politically sensitive testing ground.
 * Noori, et. al, 15** —- Program Specialist, Middle East & North Africa Programs at United States Institute of Peace (8/24/15, Maral Noori, Daniel Jasper and Jason Tower, "Overcoming Barriers to U.S.-China Cooperation," http://www.usip.org/publications/2015/08/24/overcoming-barriers-us-china-cooperation, downloaded on 4/21/16, JMP)

South China Sea conflict goes nuclear – deep historical tensions will explode in a US-China military confrontation fraught with misunderstanding
Christensen 6/5/15 – Thomas J., Boswell professor of world politics and director of the China and the World Program at Princeton University, is a former U.S. deputy assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs, "China's Rising Military: Now for the Hard Part" http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-06-05/china-s-rising-military-now-for-the-hard-part One reason for this is that no consensus exists in East Asia on the territorial AND conditions in which a technologically superior foe attacks crucial targets with conventional weapons.

Advantage 2 is warming
====The choices made in Asian infrastructure development now will determine the future of global warming – expanding renewable energy markets and building climate resilient infrastructure through the AIIB are key to keep warming below 2 degrees==== The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (the AIIB or the Bank) is poised AND with major long-term commercial benefits for many members of the AIIB.
 * Nassiry and Nakhooda 16** – Darius Nassiry, head of the international cooperation department at the Global Green Growth Institute, investment manager with the Norwegian Investment Fund for Developing Countries (Norfund) Center for Global Development, Smita Nakhooda, international finance to support developing countries to respond to climate change, "The AIIB and the investment in action," 4/13/2016, https://www.odi.org/sites/odi.org.uk/files/resource-documents/the_aiib_and_investment_in_action_final_20160413.pdf//TK

In the squo, loopholes and loose regulations in the bank ensure environmental degradation.
Unfortunately, the AIIB's draft environmental and social framework, released last week, does AND as well as the comparative advantage of each institution in undertaking specific projects.
 * Elgin-Cossart and Hart '15** - Senior Fellow and Director of China Policy at American Progress. She focuses on U.S. foreign policy toward China and works to identify new opportunities for bilateral cooperation, particularly on energy, climate change, and cross-border investment - Senior Fellow at American Progress, where she works on issues involving foreign policy, international development, and global conflict (Center for American Progress, "China's New International Financing Institutions Challenges and Opportunities for Sustainable Investment Standards," September 2015, https://cdn.americanprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/21140703/RaceToTheTop-brief.pdf)// VM

The plan solves – leverages empirically successful US-Chinese cooperation to cut GHG emissions
Continuing to maintain that stance would be a mistake. The United States has an AND United States is well placed to play a constructive role in that endeavor.
 * Mauro '15**- senior fellow at Peterson Institute for International Economics (Paolo Mauro, Peterson Institute for International Economics, "Why America Should Join the AIIB," 6/12/15, https://piie.com/commentary/op-eds/why-america-should-join-aiib)//NH

Consensus of global scientists agree – warming is real, anthropogenic and happening now
Human-caused climate change is happening and is accelerating; dangerous impacts are becoming AND to inform Americans about the scientific consensus regarding the realities of climate change.
 * Maibach et al '14** Distinguished Professor of Communication at George Mason University and Director of the Center for Climate Change Communication at GMU. (Edward Maibach, Teresa Myers, Anthony Leiserowitz, "Climate Scientists need to set the Record Straight: There is a scientific consensus that human caused climate change is happening," 5/7/14, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013EF000226/full)//NH

Now is key to prevent 2 degrees increase
The news is in: humans are totally failing in the global effort to stop AND goal will require dedication, international cooperation and a lot of hard work.
 * Harvey '14 ­- Chelsea Harvey is a science reporter for Business Insider. She is based in New York City (Chelsea Harvey, science reporter, "Here's How Little Time We Have Until Global Warming Is Out Of Control," September 2014, http://www.businessinsider.com/when-will-climate-change-be-out-of-control-2014-9 )// JB**

Plan solves - gives US voting power, allows the US to integrate the bank into the current world order, and ensures US financial power through projects.
China's new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) has been the source of considerable AND improve the AIIB as a member, instead of opposing the bank altogether.
 * Lazarus, 3/2/16** —- MA candidate at The Fletcher School, Tufts University (Leland, "Why the U.S. Should Embrace the AIIB; There are compelling reasons for the U.S. to join China's new development bank," http://thediplomat.com/2016/03/why-the-u-s-should-embrace-the-aiib/, article downloaded 4/24/16, JMP)

China won't say no to US engagement – China wants U.S. participation
JIN Liqun, president of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, said yesterday that he AND bonds in Hong Kong and can also have currency swaps with Hong Kong."
 * Xinhua, 3/26/16** ("AIIB president 'patient in waiting' for US," http://www.shanghaidaily.com/business/finance/AIIB-president-patient-in-waiting-for-US/shdaily.shtml, article downloaded 4/23/16, JMP)

Roach, 15 —- Senior Fellow, Jackson Institute of Global Affairs (3/26/15, Stephen, "Washington's Big China Screw-up; U.S. efforts to oppose a $50 billion China-led infrastructure bank have backfired. Experts explain why," http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/03/26/washingtons-big-china-screw-up-aiib-asia-infrastructure-investment-bank-china-containment-chinafile/, article downloaded 6/9/16, JMP) In 2005, then-U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Robert Zoellick AND will be able to justly claim they are truly acting as responsible stakeholders.
 * ====Engagin AIIB is key – it's China's first signature contribution – continued opposition fuels perception of containment====**

Plan is key to join the bank – there's no signal of the US in accepting AIIB in the squo
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The United States should join or at least be more AND where it's required, then what prerogatives are we going to allow China?"
 * Son, 5/17/16** (Joshua, Market News International, "US Should Change Stance, Join Asia Investment Bank – Analysts," Factiva, JMP)