Chaitali+and%20Emily


 * Plan Text: The United States federal government should implement a phased withdrawal of its ground troops in the Republic of Korea.**


 * Advantage 1: Korean War**


 * The sinking of the South Korea’s ship makes conflict inevitable – retaliation will spark an escalatory war and failure to respond will only cause more North Korean provocations.**
 * Bandow, 10**
 * __It has been weeks since ...__**more recklessly in the future.


 * The status quo is __fundamentally different__ than the past – the chance of a major miscalculation and global escalation is possible now in __five different ways__**
 * Sanger, 10**
 * __what happens if the North...__**__North Korea found its customers.__

__North Korean relations **recently have...**__war at most any cost.
 * U.S. presence makes provocations inevitable and guarantees our draw in**
 * Bandow, 10**


 * The U.S. response to bolster deterrence will just increase provocations and make miscalculation more likely**
 * Armstrong, 10**
 * __deterrence can look like provocation...__**could make still greater miscalculations

__The consequences of failing to...__ **involving other potential proliferant states**
 * Also, North Korean aggression and nuclearization will cause intentional, miscalculated, or accidental nuclear conflict – even a limited nuclear war causes rapid cooling and ozone disruption, collapses the economy, and spills over to other hot spots**
 * Hayes & Hamel-Green, 10**


 * Withdrawing __ground troops__ solves – stops North Korea from probing U.S. weakness to draw our forces into a wider conflict. Air and naval installations will maintain power projection capabilities.**
 * Stanton, 10**
 * The degree of anti-Americanism in...**__Korea provide useful power-projection capability__

South Korea__, officially the “Republic of Korea...__ **__goal of a nuclear-free Korean peninsula.__**
 * U.S. presence is useless to deter North Korea – withdrawal will motivate South Korea and China to stabilize and de-nuclearize the peninsula**
 * Erickson, 10**

Many South Koreans now believe...**__of a potentially explosive crisis.__**
 * A phased withdrawal prevents U.S. draw in – regional security efforts can effectively resolve Korea crises**
 * Carpenter, 09**

__Advantage 2: Regionalism__

Strategy that cannot be implemented__...__ **region by any major power**.
 * U.S. alliance relationships are unsustainable – Asian powers should develop a regional security strategy that __does not__ rely on the U.S. – solves WMD terrorism, tame China, prevents Sino-Japan conflict, Japan imperialism, solve resource conflicts and stop major power domination**
 * Francis, 06**

**Regionalism is currently halfhearted – only a __clear sign__ of U.S. withdrawal can motivate __sustainable__ regional security cooperation** **Carpenter and Bandow 4** On the United States for... **the central and west-central Pacific.**

**__a multilateral security arrangement in...__**security mechanism in Northeast Asia
 * Specially, withdrawal will reduce Korea’s veto of multilateral security mechanisms – yielding a peace system on the peninsula that prevents great power war**
 * Lee, 09**

__Kim Jung Il remains in...__region without heavy U.S. involvement.
 * Accelerating U.S. withdrawal is key to catalyze a multipolar balance of power in the region and pave the way for an off-shore balancing strategy.**
 * Espiritu, 06**

__A stronger **regional security organization...**__**seas piracy, and weapons proliferation.**
 * Strengthening the East Asian regional security architecture key to solve terrorism, territorial disputes, disease, environmental degradation, and maritime security**
 * Nanto, 08**


 * Territorial disputes draw in great powers --- causes World War 3**
 * Waldron, 97**
 * __MAKING THESE flash-points all the...__Japan--or the U__nited__S__tates.__**