GT+Marsh-Rosner

Cuban attempts at offshore drilling are inevitable – only a rapid U.S. response can prevent spills
Bert and Clayton 12 – Melissa, 2011-12 Military Fellow, U.S. Coast Guard, and Blake, Fellow for Energy and National Security (“Addressing the Risk of a Cuban Oil Spill,” March, [])//SEP Defending U.S. Interests An oil well blowout in Cuban waters would almost AND the United States risks a second Deepwater Horizon, this time from Cuba.

Status quo efforts are insufficient to stop an oil spill – general and pre-approved licenses are needed to solve
CDA, 12 – Center for Democracy in the Americas, nonprofit devoted to changing American policy towards the countries of the Americas (“Not Like Oil and Water: Cuba and the U.S. Can Cooperate on Drilling,”http://cubacentral.wordpress.com/2012/09/07/not-like-oil-and-water-cuba-and-the-us-can-cooperate-on-drilling/)//SEP The Environmental Defense Fund recently released a report called [|Bridging the Gulf] in which we AND vessels, and technology to Cuba for use during a significant oil spill.¶

Alternative methods of spill containment fail in Cuban waters – only U.S. techniques solve
Bert and Clayton, 12 – Melissa, 2011-12 Military Fellow, U.S. Coast Guard, and Blake, Fellow for Energy and National Security (“Addressing the Risk of a Cuban Oil Spill,” March, [])//SEP Washington cannot count on the technical know-how of Cuba’s unseasoned oil industry to AND or skimmed, which would render standard response technologies like containment booms ineffective.

Oil spills are very likely without advanced U.S. drilling technology – which no country can use under the embargo
Davenport, 11 (Coral, National Journal, “Drill, Bebe, Drill,” 7/28, http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/will-sloppy-drilling-off-the-coast-of-cuba-threaten-florida-gulf-beaches--20110728)//SEP But the potential of a closer relationship with Cuba comes with a terrifying specter: AND with the U.S. on the plan, despite the embargo.

Cuban oil spill devastates Florida’s ecosystem without U.S. intervention
Stephens and Colvin, 11 – Sarah, Executive Director of the Center for Democracy in the America, and Jake, VP for Global Trade Issues at the National Foreign Trade Council (“US-Cuba policy, and the race for oil drilling,” 9/29, [])//SEP To protect the national interest — and for the sake of Florida's beaches and the AND relief wells that would be needed to address an oil crisis involving Cuba.

Oil spill casts the final blow to Florida’s coral reefs– even a few days delay would be catastrophic
(Kaylee, “ What if Cuba’s Offshore Oil Project, Only 100 Miles From Florida, Goes Wrong?”, Popular Mechanics, November 2, 2011, [|http://www.popularmechanics.com/science/energy/coal-oil-gas/what-if-cubas-offshore-oil-project-only-100-miles-from-florida-goes-wrong)//TWR] Cuba’s enormous offshore oil potential, discovered several years ago, lies in Gulf waters AND Guard with industry to address any pollution in U.S. waters."
 * Thompson, 11-** Freelance writer focused on science, environmental, and outdoor stories

Ocean biodiversity key to survival
Craig, 3 - Attorneys’ Title Professor of Law and Associate Dean for Environmental Programs at Florida State University (Robin Kundis, “ARTICLE: Taking Steps Toward Marine Wilderness Protection? Fishing and Coral Reef Marine Reserves in Florida and Hawaii,” McGeorge Law Review, Winter 2003, 34 McGeorge L. Rev. 155) Biodiversity and ecosystem function arguments for conserving marine ecosystems also exist, just as they AND its territory relatively pristine marine ecosystems that may be unique in the world.

Now is key –Cuban reforms are making room for the US
Boston Globe, 2/9 (“Cuba’s reforms pave way for new US policy, too”, 2013, http://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/editorials/2013/02/09/cuba-reform-create-opportunity-drag-policy-into-century/xER2NTTXGsxdLej0miHwFM/story.html) Relations between the United States and Cuba have been stuck since the United States imposed AND signals that the timing is ripe for a new diplomatic agenda with Cuba.

Cooperative drilling is critical for relations – energy has strategic significance for both countries
Grogg, 12 – IPS (Patricia, citing Luiz Rene Fernandez, Senior Research and Professor at University of Havana in International Economics, “Cuba: Oil Drilling Opens Up New Possibilities”, 2/16, [])//SEP The search for oil in Cuba’s Gulf of Mexico waters, launched by the Spanish AND doubt. But the benefits of cooperation definitely outweigh them,” Fernández concluded. .

Cooperative drilling boosts U.S. stature and influence in Latin America and prevents Chinese incursion
Benjamin-Alvadaro, 6 – **Professor of Political Science at University of Nebraska at Omaha** Given that there are no formal diplomatic of economic relations between the governments of the AND circumstances but have well-served the commercial interests of all parties involved.
 * (** Jonathan, Report for the Cuban Research Institute, “The Current Status and Future Prospects for Oil Exploration in Cuba: A Special,” http://cri.fiu.edu/research/commissioned-reports/oil-cuba-alvarado.pdf)

Chinese influence in Latin America causes Taiwan war
Fergusson, 12 – Researcher at Royal Society for the Arts, Master of Science, China in the International Arena, University of Glasgow **(**Robert, “The Chinese Challenge to the Monroe Doctrine,” http://www.e-ir.info/2012/07/23/does-chinese-growth-in-latin-america-threaten-american-interests/) Taiwan – domestic, or foreign policy?¶ China’s goals in the region amount to AND allow the PRC to conclude a settlement on Taiwan, perhaps by force.

Taiwan is uniquely likely to escalate to nuclear war – risk of miscommunication and misunderstanding is high
Lowther, 3/16 (William, Taipei Times, citing a report by the Center for Strategic and International Studies, “Taiwan could spark nuclear war: report,” []) Taiwan is the most likely potential crisis that could trigger a nuclear war between China AND arsenals, such a conflict would be tremendously dangerous and quite possibly devastating.”

U.S. embargo makes drilling slow and ineffective now
Krauss & Cave, 12 (Clifford and Damien, New York Times, “Cuba’s Prospects for an Oil-Fueled Economic Jolt Falter With Departure of Rig,” 11/9, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/world/americas/rigs-departure-to-hamper-cubas-oil-prospects.html) Cuba’s hopes of reviving its economy with an oil boom have produced little more than AND of Venezuela’s president, Hugo Chávez, a crucial ally for the island.

Offshore oil development leads to Cuban political and economic stability
Pinon, 11 – Visiting Research Fellow at the Latin American and Caribbean Center’s Cuban Research Institute at FIU (Jorge, Spring, "Why the United States and Cuba Collaborate (and What Could Happen If They Don't)," casgroup.fiu.edu/pages/docs/2157/1306356964_Hemisphere_Vol._20.pdf)//SEP If Cuba’s suspected but yet undiscovered hydrocarbon reserves are proven real, it will take AND from the guidance of a variety of partners, including the United States.

Developing just a few wells solves Cuban dependence on Venezuela – majority of the discovered oil will go to Cuba
Katusa, 11(Marin, 11/1, 321Energy, “Will Offshore Oil Lubricate U.S.-Cuban Relations?” ttp://www.321energy.com/editorials/casey/casey110111.html)//SEP

And yes, finding and developing oil resources in Cuban waters would provide a major AND a few good wells would make a marked difference for the Caribbean nation.

Venezuelan cutoff is inevitable and devastates Cuba’s economy overnight – offshore drilling solves
CDA, 11 – Center for Democracy in Americas, nonprofit devoted to changing U.S. policy towards the countries of the Americas, (CAs Cuba plans to drill in the Gulf of Mexico, U.S. policy poses needless risks to our national interest,” http://democracyinamericas.org/pdfs/Cuba_Drilling_and_US_Policy.pdf)//MM 3. Cuba’s arrangement with Venezuela is unsustainable over the long-term. Cuba’s AND if supplies are recoverable and in amounts that meet Cuba’s own domestic requirements.

Cuban instability results in Latin American instability, terrorism, and democratic backsliding
Gorrell, 5 – Lieutenant Colonel (Tim, “CUBA: THE NEXT UNANTICIPATED ANTICIPATED STRATEGIC CRISIS?” 3/18, http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA433074) Regardless of the succession, under the current U.S. policy, Cuba’s AND in an effort to facilitate a manageable transition to post-Castro Cuba?

Caribbean instability causes bioterrorism and LNG explosions
Bryan, 1 – Director of the Caribbean Program, North/South Center & Stephen, Senior Fellow Council of Foreign Relations (Anthony T., “Terrorism, Porous Borders, and Homeland Security: The Case for U.S.-Caribbean Cooperation,” 10-21, http://www.cfr.org/publication/4844/terrorism_porous_borders_and _homeland_ security.html) Terrorist acts can take place anywhere. The Caribbean is no exception. Already the AND else to the clandestine manufacture and deployment of biological weapons within national borders.

Single LNG tanker explosion is equal to fifty-five Hiroshima bombs – outweighs nuclear war
Lovin,1(Amory B., Chief Scientist of the [|Rocky Mountain Institute], and L. Hunter Lovin, President – National Capitalism and Co-Founder – Rocky Mountain Institute, “Brittle Power: Energy Strategy for National Security”, http://verdilivorno.it/doc_gnl/198204_Brittle_Power_intro_GNL_note.pdf) About nine percent of such a tankerload of LNG will probably, if spilled onto AND of a megaton of TNT, or about fifty-five Hiroshima bombs.

Cuba welcomes U.S. investment in oil development
CDA, 11 – Center for Democracy in the Americas, nonprofit devoted to changing U.S. policy towards the countries of the Americas, (“As Cuba plans to drill in the Gulf of Mexico, U.S. policy poses needless risks to our national interest,” http://democracyinamericas.org/pdfs/Cuba_Drilling_and_US_Policy.pdf)//AK 6. Cuba would welcome U.S. investment. At MINCEX, the AND interest, due to the embargo, and Cuba looked for partners elsewhere.

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