Kenan+Gursel+&+Deven+Parmar

====**Plan Text: The United States federal government should diplomatically engage the People’s Republic of China by offering to indefinitely extend and include higher-level officials at the Strategic & Economic Dialogue.**====

**The eighth and final round of Strategic and Economic Dialogue concluded in June, opening channels for communication and cooperation on a litany of issues**

 * Shen 2016 ** - professor and Vice Dean at the Institute of International Studies, Fudan University, Dingli, "Strategic Dialogue Advances Partnership, with a Limit," Jun 14, www.chinausfocus.com/foreign-policy/strategic-dialogue-advances-partnership-with-a-limit/

China and the US have just conducted their eighth round of.... This partnership has thus differentiated itself from the old US-Soviet relationship, which was rich in ideological confrontation but lacked economic and people-based cooperation.

**Scheduling the next round now signals commitment and allows for changes making for more effective discussions**

 * Reade 2016 ** - Senior Associate with the Freeman chair in China Studies @ CSIS, Claire, "The U.S.-China S&ED: Time to Tinker, Not to Toss," Jun 27, https://www.csis.org/analysis/us-china-sed-time-tinker-not-toss

The last U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue (S&ED )... gathering, while increasing the effectiveness of the effort.

**Upgrading the SED to include presidential dialogue sets a clear agenda and builds crisis management mechanisms**

 * Rudd 2015 ** - Senior Fellow, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs & Former Prime Minister, Australia, Kevin, "US-China 21: The Future of US-China Relations Under Xi Jinping," belfercenter.ksg.harvard.edu/files/Summary%20Report%20US-China%2021.pdf

Beyond the two countries’ embassies... This is now necessary because the stakes today are even higher.

**Strategic mistrust is fueling multiple flashpoints within the region – high level talks are necessary to avoid escalation**

 * Zhao 2015 ** - Professor and Director of the Center for China–US Cooperation at Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, Suisheng, "A New Model of Big Power Relations? China–US strategic rivalry and balance of power in the Asia–Pacific," Journal of Contemporary China Volume 24, Issue 93, 2015, p 377-397

The Asia–Pacific region has become ...one of the most dangerous flashpoints in the twenty-first century.

**Containment drives China to fracture US alliances and risks nuclear war – only cooperation can solve**

 * Ilamn 2016 ** - Currently works in Pacivis (Global Civil Society Research Center) of U of Indonesia, Zidy, "Is the South China Sea the Stage for the Next World War?," Jul 3, nationalinterest.org/feature/the-south-china-sea-the-stage-the-next-world-war-16833?page=show

What is happening today ... it is not too late for the United States to reverse the negative trend, she surely has much to do.

**Now is a unique moment – China is likely to use force post the Hague ruling in fishing disputes**

 * Johnson 2016 ** - senior reporter covering energy for Foreign Policy Keith, "Can Indonesia Afford a Fish War with China?," Jul 8, foreignpolicy.com/2016/07/08/can-indonesia-afford-a-fish-war-with-china/

In recent years, Indonesia has tried to stay above ... that affects China’s strategic calculation.”

**This //Maritime Militia// will spark a war that escalates**

 * Chao 2016 ** - international relations doctoral student (Mellon Ethnopolitics Fellow) in Political Science @ UPenn Brian C, "Coast Guards Could Accidentally Spark War in the South China S," Jun 28, nationalinterest.org/feature/coast-guards-could-accidentally-spark-war-the-south-china-16766?page=show

Chinese activities  in the China Seas...are battleship grey or coast-guard white <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;">.

**Only having open channels of communication can prevent this version of the Thucydides Trap from going nuclear**

 * Lam Peng Er 2016 **- Senior Research Fellow, East Asian Institute "China, the United States, Alliances, and War: Avoiding the Thucydides Trap?," Asian Affairs: An American Review Volume 43, Issue 2, 2016, p. 36-36

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;">That the intelligentsia in the United States ...management between the United States and China.

**S&ED creates the channels necessary to ensure cooperation in moments tension**

 * Garrison 2016 ** – Director of International Studies @ University of Wyoming Jean and Marc Wall, "The Rise of Hedging and Regionalism: An Explanation and Evaluation of President Obama's China Policy," Asian Affairs: An American Review Volume 43, Issue 2, 2016, p 47-63

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">With each flare-up in tensions, cooler heads...and manage ongoing tensions.

** An extension of S&ED that includes higher level officials ensures that mistrust stays in check **

 * Dai 2016 ** - Former State Councilor of China Bingguo, "On Building a New Model of Major-Country Relations Between China and the United States," Jun 20, [|www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/wjb_663304/zzjg_663340/bmdyzs_664814/xwlb_664816/t1350752.shtml]

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">For the past decades, China and the US have basically ... but it leads to a bright future.

**By developing already existing mechanisms, the plan solves any alt causes**

 * Yung 2016 **- Donald Bren Chair of Non-Western Strategic Thought at the U.S. Marine Corps University Christopher and Wang Dang, "THE UNITED STATES AND CHINA CAN GET ALONG IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA," Jul 6, warontherocks.com/2016/07/the-united-states-and-china-can-get-along-in-the-south-china-sea/

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">China and the United States have ... preserving stability remains paramount.

**The global economy is weak – and central banks are running out of tricks to keep it from collapsing**

 * Bartholomeusz 7/11 ** - Business Spectator Columnist for The Australian Business Review Stephen, "A trap for the global economy?," www.theaustralian.com.au/business/a-trap-for-the-global-economy/news-story/6e438ea2280cc55328742f8bfe5fe001

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;">The challenges facing Bank of England ... <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;"> have little capacity to respond


 * Frisbie 16 ** (John, USCBC president, press release, The US-China Business Council (USCBC) is a private, nonpartisan, nonprofit organization of roughly 220 American companies that do business with China. For over four decades, USCBC has provided unmatched information, advisory, advocacy, and program services to its membership. Through its offices in Washington, DC; Beijing; and Shanghai, USCBC is uniquely positioned to serve its members' interests in the United States and China, 6/7/16, https://www.uschina.org/media/press/us-china-business-council-president-john-frisbie-released-following-comments-upon-close)//ml

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">US-C <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;">hina <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">B <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;">usiness <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">C <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;">ouncil <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">President ... <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;">engagement <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">pay off at times like these."

**S&ED is the only forum for officials from both countries to work on stabilizing the global economy while maintaining US economic leadership**

 * Lew 2016 ** - U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Jack, "America and the Global Economy: The Case for US Leadership," Foreign Affairs, May/June Issue

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">The relationship <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;"> between the United States ... <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">financial landscape of the future.

**That solves a host of existential threats**

 * Lew 2016 ** - U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Jack, "America and the Global Economy: The Case for US Leadership," Foreign Affairs, May/June Issue

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 7pt;">But the difficulty in securing approval should not have been a complete surprise. The historical ... and governance in the IMF, the World Bank, and the G-20.

**Second, Even if progress isn’t made, it __sends a perception__ that calms economic turmoil**

 * Hormats 2015 ** - is vice chairman at Kissinger Associates and former U.S. under secretary of state for economic growth, energy, and the environment Robert D, "On Economic Fronts, the U.S. and China Are Stronger Together," Sep 21, foreignpolicy.com/2015/09/21/on-economic-fronts-the-u-s-and-china-are-stronger-together-xi-jinping-visit/

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;">The broader point here is not to suggest ...misreading of the other’s policies or intentions.

**That prevents war from breaking out**

 * Kumar ’15 ** (Kalyan Kumar is a staff writer for the Australian branch of the International Business Times, 11/17/15, “Economic collapse of big economies like US and China may trigger war, says financial analyst Warren Pollock” [] Poetic Justice)

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">Leading American financial analyst... the Pentagon," he added.

**The S&ED is essential for implementing structural reforms that allow for sustained Chinese growth**

 * Hong 6/8 ** (Zou Hong is a staff writer for China Daily, “China-U.S. Strategic and Economic Dialogue: Structural reforms to aim for stable growth” 6/8/16, [] Poetic Justice)

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">China and the United States ... <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;">possible U.S. Federal Reserve rate increase.

**A collapsed Chinese economy is one that invites belligerence and causes war**

 * Dobell 2016 ** - Journalism Fellow at the Lowy Institute Graeme, "The Biggest China 'Threat': War in the South China Sea or Economic Meltdown?," Jul 5, nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/the-biggest-china-threat-war-the-south-china-sea-or-economic-16843?page=show

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;">If China’s future course is the vital question, the answers in economy... stays closer to the teacup end of the scale.

**Warming is anthropogenic and causes extinction**

 * Adams 16 ** --- has a degree in agriculture and cites studies done by NASA and the IPCC (Andrew, Prince George Citizen, 4/16/16, “There is no debating scientific facts,” http://www.princegeorgecitizen.com/opinion/columnists/there-is-no-debating-scientific-facts-1.2229437)//ernst

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;">Last week I wrote about the signs ... theories?" P.s. The Earth is not flat.

**Initiatives by the US and China are necessary to solve, but dialogue through the plan is necessary**
**Shi et al 2014** - Key Lab of Urban Environment and Health, Institute of Urban Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences Longyu Shi, Weichen Ma, Guofan Shao, Lina Tang, Yangyang Wang & Haowei Wang, "The US and China need to turn ongoing bilateral dialogue into immediate joint mitigation," International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology Volume 22, Issue 1, 2015, p 25-29

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;">Climate change mitigation is an important ... nothing can happen without action.

**Empirically, S&ED drives critical climate initiatives**

 * Reynolds 2016 ** - writer and foreign policy analyst based in New York Ben, "Climate Change Outcomes of the 2016 Strategic and Economic Dialogue," Jun 30, www.chinausfocus.com/finance-economy/climate-change-outcomes-of-the-2016-strategic-and-economic-dialogue/

<span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">At this year’s S&ED, the U.S. and ... before the struggle for hegemony.

ROUND 1: China Ptix DA+Pan K 2NR: China Ptix DA ROUND 2: Elections DA+Unification DA+Unification CP+Topicality 2NR:Unification DA+Unification CP ROUND 3: AIIB Multi-Plank CP+Japan DA+ Elections DA 2NR: Japan DA
 * <span style="font-family: Calibri,sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;">NEG DISCLOSURE: **