Cam+and+Yunhan


 * __Futenma 1AC - Relations, Regime Credibility, Ecology__

Contention 1 is Inherency** **The Democratic Party of Japan promised to kick Futenma off the island and to prevent the relocation of the base, but they have failed to deliver their promise. The U.S. must initiate withdrawal.** **Bandow 6/2** senior fellow at the Cato Institute and former special assistant to Reagan J.D [Doug, June,2010. from Stanford University http://www.cato-at-liberty.org/2010/06/02/needed-a-new-u-s-defense-policy-for-japan/; WBTR]

Okinawans long ago tired, ... with the world’s second-largest economy?

GlobalSecurity.org, Updated //(, Military, , ) The United States and Japan agreed in 2006 ... Japan would provide pre-positioning facilities for weapons, fuel and other equipment for the US military.
 * U.S. plans a dramatic withdrawal of presence now, but continues plans for relocation to Nago- previous discussions with Hatoyama during his reign as prime minister prove.**
 * Global Security.** ORG **9** – Staff writer (16 11, “Okinawa, Japan”, http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/facility/okinawa.htm)

**Contention 2 is Japan-US Relations**
 * Plan: The United States federal government should implement a phased withdrawal of its troops from Futenma Air Base on Okinawa.**

(Doug, Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute, “Japan Can Defend Itself,” Cato Institute, pg online @ [] //ag) Making fewer promises to ... Washington to deliver.
 * US presence in Okinawa is damaging US Japan relations**
 * Bandow, 5/12/10**

**Shuster, 10** (6/21/10, Mike, National Public Radio, “Japan's PM Faces Test Over U.S. Base On Okinawa,” [] ) [The Marine base at Futenma has been a sore point ... in Japan. **Appeasing the Okinawans over Futenma key to Japan-US alliance** **Tanaka, ’10** – Senior Fellow at the Japan Center for International Exchange (2/10, Hitoshi, “The US-Japan Alliance: Beyond Futenma,” http://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&q=cache:BrLWAbFxrrEJ:www.jcie.org/researchpdfs/EAI/5-1.pdf+japan+equal+negotiations+us&hl=en&gl=us&pid=bl&srcid=ADGEESheENPuqbIG-8RbfWchijC7WxbtZKTDrU0wN8bzSwk_YulPh9htyz3amNMQWtMuAlJAkehw8leYo2IQZf7qMesvk_G-kemr_jkwP3XutsFN6dpV8YCmiR2i4Ns6zfseGSYONfkC&sig=AHIEtbQHXZpJVcMaBydKC8HT0kgaT2qngA )
 * Futenma Air Base is a sore point between the US and Japan; must be removed, not relocated**

On the other hand, ... simply disregard these pressures.


 * Relations are key to Asian stability – prevents conflict in Korea, Taiwan, Indonesia, and southeast asia – each can go nuclear – as relations wander the US MUST renew the alliance**
 * INSS 2k** (Institute for National Strategic Studies – National Defense University. //The United States and Japan: Advancing Toward a Mature Partnership//, October, http://www.ndu.edu/inss/strforum/SR_01/SR_Japan.htm)

Major war in ... Efforts to experiment with new concepts of international security have proceeded fitfully, but without discernable results in redefining and reinvigorating bilateral security ties.

The use of ... the end of most life on earth.
 * Indo-Pak nuclear war will escalate globally and destroy the planet**
 * Caldicott 02,** Founder of Physicians for Social Responsibility [Helen, The New Nuclear Danger: George W. Bush’s Military-Industrial Complex, p. X]

Strait Times 2k **(June 25, “Regional Fallout: No one gains in war over Taiwan”, Lexis)**
 * Taiwan conflict leads to nuclear armageddon**

THE DOOMSDAY SCENARIO THE ..., it cannot be ruled out entirely, for China puts sovereignty above everything else.

**Plan is a prerequisite to the relations needed to deter North Korea and China and create peace in the region** **Katsumata and Shimbun 2/5** Senior writers for Daily Yomiuri ( Hidemichi and Yomiuri, 2/5/10, “ Deterrence part of Futenma issue”, http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/columns/commentary/20100218dy03.htm) Starting with a proposal to ... and the United States. **Contention 3 is Regime Stability**


 * Japan PM plans to relocate the base – damages regime credibility**
 * Talmadge, ’10** (6/22/10, Eric, Associated Press, “US-Japan security pact turns 50, faces new strains,” http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5islkPj_84APsquFWNdqr2kuTwDQwD9GG68080)

But while ... opposition to it.

**Kan can’t pass his agenda without solving Futenma: will cause DPJ to lose seats in the upper house in July** **Reuters, 6/14** (6/14/10, “Okinawa Governor Tells Japan PM U.S. Base Deal Hard”, http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE65E0KU20100615?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews)

Voter perceptions... summit.

**Clausen 6/20** **–** PhD Candidate in International Relations (6/20/10, Daniel, Electronic Journal of Contemporary Japanese Studies, “The Future of Japanese Defense Politics”, http://www.japanesestudies.org.uk/discussionpapers/2010/Clausen.html) The victory of the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ)... to the DPJ's mandate to rule.
 * Solving Futenma is key to DPJ credibility and regime stability**

**Fackler, 6/15** (6/15/10, Martin, The International Herald Tribune, “Japanese Leader’s Most Daunting Task? Staying in Office”, http://www.lexisnexis.com.proxy.lib.umich .edu/us/lnacademic/results/docview/docview.do?docLinkInd=true&risb=21_T9621965671&format=GNBFI&sort=BOOLEAN&startDocNo=1&resultsUrlKey=29_T9621965678&cisb=22_T9621965677&treeMax=true&treeWidth=0&csi=8357&docNo=2) Yet despite Japan's severe problems,... than their leaders do.' **Political instability causes a Greece-like meltdown in Japan – the brink is NOW** **Jakarta Post, ’10** (6/14/10, The Jakarta Post, “East Asia needs a strong Japan,” [] )
 * Kan needs to follow through on removing Futenma if he is to stay in office**

Protracted uncertainties in Japanese ... the next election.

**Japan’s debt problem risks global economic collapse—need strong leadership for reform** **The Economist, 6/5** (6/5/10, “Leaderless Japan; Yukio Hatoyama Resigns”, http://www.lexisnexis.com.proxy.lib.umich.edu/us/lnacademic/results/docview/docview.do?docLinkInd=true&risb=21_T9621498533&format=GNBFI&sort=BOOLEAN&startDocNo=1&resultsUrlKey=29_T9621498537&cisb=22_T9621498536&treeMax=true&treeWidth=0&csi=7955&docNo=3)

It used to be the envy of the ...e bomb from exploding.


 * Japanese economy is key to the global economy and to check back Chinese nuclear conflict**

(“Defenseless Japan Awaits Typhoon,” pg online @ lexis //ag) Even so, the west ... bigger (and nuclear) neighbour.
 * The Guardian, 2/11/02**

**Mead, ‘92** ( Walter Russell, NPQ’S Board of advisors, New perspectives quarterly, summer 1992, page 30 )
 * Economic decline causes a nuclear war**

Hundreds of millions - ... the 30s.

**Regime stability key to Japan-China relations, which are key to prevent nuclear prolif** **Kapila, ’10** - an International Relations and Strategic Affairs analyst, and the Consultant, Strategic Affairs with South Asia Analysis Group (6/7/10, Subhash, South Asian Analysis, http://www.southasiaanalysis.org//papers39/paper3848.html )

Simply put, to the Chinese ... That could impinge on the United States too.

[Richard, Military correspondent for The New York Times for ten years, 5-24, “The Dangers of a Nuclear Japan,” Real Clear Politics, http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2009/05/24/nuclear_japan_96638.html]
 * Japan prolif causes a chain reaction in Asia and collapses the NPT.**
 * Halloran, 2009**

That anxiety has reinvigorated a debate ... under the US nuclear umbrella. [Stephen, Distinguished Prof. Pol. Sci. – Penn. State Brandywine, Comparative Strategy, “Anticipatory Attacks: Nuclear Crisis Stability in Future Asia”, 27, InformaWorld] If the possibility existed ... major interstate warfare.
 * Nuclear war**
 * Cimbala, 2008**

**The Daily Yomiuri (Tokyo), 6/20** (6/20/10, The Daily Yomiuri (Tokyo), “Talks Needed to Boost Japan-US Alliance”, http://www.lexisnexis.com.proxy.lib.umich.edu/us/lnacademic/results/docview/docview.do?docLinkInd=true&risb=21_T9604571746&format=GNBFI&sort=BOOLEAN&startDocNo=1&resultsUrlKey=29_T9604571749&cisb=22_T9604571748&treeMax=true&treeWidth=0&csi=145202&docNo=1)
 * And, now is key** - **the status quo kills relations and regime popularity**

South Korea and ... a cceptance of the plan

**Ecology** **Contention 4 is Ecology**


 * The United States’ new military base will further deplete Okinawa’s coral reefs ecosystem as well as its fresh water supplies, creating irreversible ecological damage to the ecosystem**
 * Center for Biological Diversity, n.d.**- specialist center that works to create protection of species (n.d., Center for Biological Diversity, “Help Save Okinawa Dugong and Coral Reef Ecosystem,” http://salsa.democracyinaction.org/o/2167/t/5243/p/dia/action/public/index.sjs?action_KEY=1798 )

Okinawa is home to ... **The U.S. government must abandon this plan.**


 * Okinawa’s coral reef and island ecosystems are key to sustaining Pacific biodiversity.**
 * Davies et al, 7**- Gump South Pacific Research Station, UC-Berkeley (Richard B., July 2007, Makoto Tsuchiya, faculty of science, University of the Rukyus, Rene Galzin, Center of Insular Research and Observations of the Environment, “Biodiversity Research on Coral Reef and Island Ecosystem: Scientific Cooperation in the Pacific Region,” http://www.bioone.org/doi/full/10.2984/1534-6188%282008%2962%5B299%3ABROCRA%5D2.0.CO%3B2 )

Another worldwide ... **more cooperative research in the Pacific region is an urgent priority**.


 * The destruction of biodiversity leads to extinction- furthering the depletion of human resources, especially marine life, will destroy ecosystems.**


 * CIEL, n.d.**- Non-profit organization that provides environmental legal services in international and comparative environmental law (n.d., Center for International Environmental Law, “What is Biodiversity and Why is it Important?” [] )

**Biodiversity is the variability...** mostly in developing countries, depend on fish as their primary source of animal protein. Biologically diverse ecosystems are characterized ... abyss.
 * Extinction**
 * Diner ‘94**—Major David, Judge Advocate General’s Corps, United States Army, Military Law Review, Winter, 143 Mil. L. Rev. 161