Rahim+and+Jason

1AC

 * Plan:**
 * The United States federal government should implement a phased withdrawal of its ground troops in the Republic of Korea.**


 * Advantage 1 is Korean War**


 * U.S. presence makes North Korean provocations inevitable and guarantees our draw in**
 * Bandow, 10** – Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute and former Special Assistant to Reagan (5/3/10, Doug, “Taming Pyongyang,” [], JMP)

Suspicions continue to mount that … doing so in 2010 is bizarre.


 * Even if a conflict won’t start __… escalate__ to global nuclear war**
 * Stratfor, 10 ** (5/26/10, “North Korea, South Korea: The Military Balance on the Peninsula,” [], JMP)

Managing Escalation But no one, … the situation escalates much further.


 * The status quo is fundamentally different – nuclear use is now likely and deterrence won’t solve**
 * Chung, 10 ** – Visiting Professor at the School of International Relations, Nanyang Technological University and former Professor of international relations at Seoul National University (6/1/10, Chung Chong Wook, “The Korean Crisis: Going Beyond the Cheonan Incident,” http://www.rsis.edu.sg/publications/Perspective/RSIS0352010.pdf)

The sinking of the Cheonan, …, premature pessimism is not advisable.


 * Reinforcing deterrence … just makes __miscalculation__ more likely**
 * Armstrong, 10 –** Professor of history and director of the Center for Korean Research at Columbia University (Charles, 5/26/10, CNN, “The Korean War never ended” [])

New York (CNN) -- The Korean … War, not start it anew.

It is the lack of … quite reached this danger point.
 * North Korea might decide that it has nothing to lose in the status quo – making more miscalculations likely**
 * Righter, 10** – Worked for the Far Eastern Economic Review and Newsweek in Asia, as development and diplomatic correspondent of The Sunday Times. (Rosemary, 5/25/10, Times Online, “It’s risky, but this time North Korea must pay” [])

The international community is increasingly … consideration from the international community.
 * Also, North Korean aggression will cause nuclear conflict – even a limited nuclear war causes rapid cooling and ozone disruption and spills over to other hot spots**
 * Hayes & Hamel-Green, 10** – *Executive Director of the Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainable Development, AND ** Executive Dean of the Faculty of Arts, Education and Human Development act Victoria University (1/5/10, Executive Dean at Victoria, “The Path Not Taken, the Way Still Open: Denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia,” [])

This report examines North Korea’s … unauthorised WMD attacks or incidents.
 * Conventional weaknesses will force North Korea to resort to CBW use – either deliberate, accidental or unauthorized**
 * ICG, 09** (6/18/09, International Crisis Group, “North Korea’s Chemical and Biological Weapons Programs,” [], JMP)


 * North Korean bioweapon use would __…__ – greater risk than nuclear weapons**
 * Levy, 07** (6-8-07, Janet Ellen, The American Thinking, “The Threat of Bioweapons,” [], JMP)

Immediately following 9-11, an anthrax attack … can be developed within days.


 * Impact is extinction**
 * Ochs 02** – MA in Natural Resource Management from Rutgers University and Naturalist at Grand Teton National Park [Richard, “BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS MUST BE ABOLISHED IMMEDIATELY,” Jun 9, http://www.freefromterror.net/other_articles/abolish.html]

Of all the weapons of … the highest of all crimes.

Proceeding against the advice of …, aligns with the correct result.
 * Withdrawing __ground troops__ solves – stops … will maintain power projection capabilities.**
 * Stanton, 10** – U.S. Army Judge Advocate in Korea from 98-02 and practicing attorney in Washington, D.C. (4/12/10, Joshua, The New Ledger, “It's Time for the U.S. Army to Leave Korea,” [], JMP)


 * U.S. presence is useless to deter North Korea – withdrawal will motivate South Korea and China to stabilize and de-nuclearize the peninsula**
 * Erickson, 10** – Executive Director of CenterMovement.org (5/6/10, Stephen, “End the Cold War in Korea: Bring American Troops Home Before it’s Too Late,” [], JMP)

On the night of March 26 … home before it’s too late.


 * Withdrawal will spur peaceful negotiations and inter-Korean peace**
 * Feffer, 04 ** – contributor to Foreign Policy In Focus and the author of //North Korea, South Korea: U.S. Policy at a Time of Crisis// (6/23/04, John, “Bring Our Troops Home (from Korea),” [], JMP)

The vortex of Korean politics … eventually bring home its troops.


 * Advantage 2 is Regionalism**


 * U.S. alliance relationships are unsustainable – … and stops major power domination**
 * Francis, 06** – former Australian Ambassador to Croatia and fellow at the Weatherhead Center for International Affairs at Harvard University from 05-06 (Fall 2006, Neil, Harvard International Review, “For an East Asian Union: Rethinking Asia's Cold War Alliances,” [], JMP)

At the conclusion of the … a strong, independent East Asian Union.

** Regionalism is currently halfhearted – only a __clear sign__ of U.S. withdrawal can motivate __sustainable__ regional security cooperation ** ** Carpenter and Bandow 4 - * ** Vice President of Defense and Foreign Studies at the Cato Institute, AND ** Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute ** ( ** Ted Galen Carpenter, 12/2004, The Korean Conundrum: America’s Troubled Relations With North and South Korea, pg 160-161)DR

The security treaties with the … central and west-central Pacific.


 * Specially, withdrawal will reduce Korea’s veto of multilateral security mechanisms – yielding a peace system on the peninsula that prevents great power war**
 * Lee, 09** – Seoul National University (December 2009, Geun, “The Nexus between Korea’s Regional Security Options and Domestic Politics,” [|www.cfr.org], JMP)

Korea’s Option of Multilateral Security … __form of the U.S.-Korea alliance.__


 * Accelerating U.S. withdrawal is key to catalyze a multipolar balance of power in the region and pave the way for an off-shore balancing strategy.**
 * Espiritu, 06** – Commander, U.S. Navy (3/15/06, Commander Emilson M. Espiritu, “The Eagle Heads Home: Rethinking National Security Policy for The Asia-Pacific Region,” [], JMP)

Can the U.S. live with the … the Eagle to head home.

Multilateral regionalism solves all impacts. Ryoo, 04 – (Winter 2004, Jae-Kap Ryoo, Kyonggi University, “U.S.-Korea Security Alliance in Transition: A ROK Perspective,” International Journal of Korean Studies, Fall/Winter 2004, Vol. IIX, No. 1 )

A collective security structure may … and will be discussed below.


 * Advantage 3 is Russia**
 * Peaceful US overtures toward Korea is critical to break the deadlock in Russian-DPRK relations and pave the way for a massive expansion of renewed economic ties on the peninsula**
 * Joo, 09** – Professor of Political Science at the University of Michigan (April 09, Seung-Horris, “Moscow–Pyongyang Relations under Kim Jong-il: High Hopes and Sober Reality”)

Trade and Investment __In the …__ in Korea and Northeast Asia.

Among the energy-exporting countries … devise a cooperation strategy with Korea.
 * This cooperation solves the Russian economy- now is key**
 * Kang 08** (Seonjou, Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security, “Korea’s Pursuit of Energy Security”, [|__http://www.keia.org/Publications/Other/KangFINAL.pdf__])


 * A Russian economic collapse will trigger nuclear strikes against the US, provoke a Russo-Sino war, kills the environment, and leads to an accidental launch**
 * David 99 –** Professor of Political Science at John Hopkins University [Steven R., “Saving America from the Coming Civil Wars,” //Foreign Affairs,// Jan/Feb, LN]

If internal war does strike … weapons against the United States.


 * Trans-Korean pipeline solves the environment and all asian wars**
 * Asakura, 2k** – Director of the Mitsubishi Research Insitute in Director of President Eco and Energy Corp (Kengo, 5/15/2000, Oil & Gas Journal, “Trans-Korean gas pipeline could help Asia energy security, environmental problems” l/n)

Trans-Korea line pluses Regarding … "Asian energy community" come true.


 * Ecosystem collapse causes extinction.**
 * Cairns, 2004** [John Cairns, 2004. Department of Biology, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University. “Future of Life on Earth,” Ethics in Science and Environmental Politics, www.int-res.com/esepbooks/EB2Pt2.pdf]

One lesson from the five great global extinctions … by continuing to live unsustainably?