Sam+and+John

=Affirmative =

Plan Text:

 * The United States federal government should substantially increase its cooperation with the Mexican government to fund transportation infrastructure projects on the US-Mexico border **

Inherency:
Wilson et al 5-13 (Wilson, Christopher (associate at the Mexico Institute), Eric L. Olson, Miguel R. Salazar, Andrew Selee, and Duncan Wood, “New Ideas For a New Era: Policy Options for the Next Stage in U.S.-Mexico Relations,” May 2013, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/new_ideas_new_era.pdf, AC)
 * Current levels of investment non-unique disads but it’s not sufficient **

The first step to improving regional competitiveness...there is much work to do.

Nieto:
Martin, Rodriguez et. al. 13 (Eric, Carlos Manuel, June 20, Reporters for Bloomberg News based in Mexico, Bloomberg Businessweek, “Mexico's President Pushes Reforms for State Oil Company Pemex,” [|http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-06-20/mexicos-president-pushes-reforms-for-state-oil-company-pemex)//YS], accessed 7/01/13 Petróleos Mexicanos, known as Pemex...various factions of Mexico to pass Nafta.
 * Won’t pass without the plan and Nieto credibility is key,**

Farnsworth and Werz, 11/30/12 – Eric, vice president of the Council of the Americas and Americas Society, and Michael, Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress (“The United States and Mexico: The Path Forward,” Center For American Progress, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/security/news/2012/11/30/46430/the-united-states-and-mexico-the-path-forward/)
 * Plan provides momentum for Nieto’s reform agenda – US action is key **

Mexico inaugurates a new president on Saturday...our countries are united by much more than a fence.

Navarrette, 11/26/12 (Ruben, “To-Do List for Obama and Mexico's New President,” CNN, @http://pvangels.com/news-mexico/4362/to-do-list-for-obama-and-mexicos-new-president)
 * Plan’s a success for Nieto **

Those people are now taking another look at the PRI... <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif; line-height: 1.5;">a wise choice or a bad mistake.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">**Nieto is building up political capital for oil reform – getting major wins allows him to achieve his agenda** <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Archibold, 3/22/13 (“New Leader Taps Mexican Discontent to Press Agenda of Change,” NYT, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/23/world/americas/new-leader-taps-mexican-discontent-to-press-reform-agenda.html?_r=0)

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">It is that well of popular frustration... <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">turning proposals into laws <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">and, more important, carrying them out.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">**Two scenarios:** <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">**First is Russia**

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">CASILLAS 1/28/13 (Juan; Consultant Based in Mexico City; “Mexico’s Upcoming Energy Reform: Opportunities, Limitations, and Challenges,” Manatt Jones Global Strategies, http://www.manatt.com/ThreeColumn.aspx?pageid=199&id=124583)
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Nieto’s energy reform is key to US natural gas exports to Mexico **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Mexico's hydrocarbons sector will not be overhauled ... <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">the U.S., should have an edge in new opportunities

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">PEARSON and RAMIREZ 11/30/12 (Will; Global Energy Analyst – Eurasia Group and Carlos; Latin America Analyst – Eurasia Group, “Mexico – the North American Shale Revolution Heads South,” []) ww
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">That drains supply and prevents the US from entering the international LNG market **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">The North American shale gas revolution...approving US LNG projects in coming years.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">MEAD 4/25/12 (Walter Russell; James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities – Bard College, “North American Shale Gas Gives Russia Serious Headache,” []) ww
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">U.S. LNG Exports would tank Russian Economic Growth **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">North America’s shale gas boom is chipping away at the market ... <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">a major check on Russian economic growth and political influence

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">FILGER 5/10/09 (Sheldon; Writer/Founder – GlobalEconomicCrisis.com, “Russian Economy Faces Disastrous Free Fall Contraction,” Huffington Post, []) ww <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">In Russia, historically, economic health and political stability are intertwined...is its least dangerous consequence.
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">The impact is extinction from global nuclear war **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">**Scenario two is Mexico:**

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Schwartz, 12 - Shelly K. Schwartz is a contributing writer for BankRate and is currently employed as a writer for CNBC.com. She has a extensive portfolio of work all pertaining to detailed specifics of money. <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">(Shelly K., “How Mexico's Oil Industry May Benefit US Investors”, CNBC, 9/18/2012, []) //JL
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Increasing private investment in Pemex key to Mexico’s economy – FDI and increased competitiveness **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">But no industry ... to generate supply.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">MacDonald, 9 – columnist for the Trumpet (Brad, “Mexico: Bordering on Collapse”, The Trumpet, 1/29/09, [])
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Absent growth, Mexico becomes a failed state **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">First, Mexico’s economy ... America’s southern border!

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Tobin, 6 – TAO Emergency Management Consulting (Rick, “THE COMING CIVIL WAR IN MEXICO”, 4/29/06, http://www.ricktobin.com/papers/thecomingcivilwarinmexico.pdf)
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">This would cause U.S.-Mexico war that spills over into Latin America **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">In a fast ... r Latin America links.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Manwaring, 5 – adjunct professor of international politics at Dickinson, Retired U.S. Army colonel (Max G., “Venezuela’s Hugo Chávez, Bolivarian Socialism, and Asymmetric Warfare”, Strategic Studies Institute, October 2005, http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/pub628.pdf)
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Latin American instability causes global conflicts **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">President Chávez also ..., peace, and prosperity.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Advantage two is the Economy:
<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">DeLong 13- Professor of Economics at the University of California, Berkeley, a Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, and a Visiting Fellow at the Kauffman Foundation (J. Bradford, “The Second Great Depression: Why the Economic Crisis is Worse Than You Think”, July/August 2013 Foreign Affairs)Beddow
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Independently, a US economic crisis is coming **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Despite its many virtues...another major economic crisis in the years ahead.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Wilson 12 [Christopher Wilson, Associate at the Mexico Institute of the Woodrow Wilson internatiaonal Center for Scholars, 2012, “US competitiveness: the Mexican Connection”, University of Texas at Dallas, http://www.issues.org/28.4/p_wilson.html]PP
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">2 internal links to the economy **
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">First, squo programs are not sufficient and new infrastructure is needed to spur the manufacturing sector **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">The border. With an integrated regional manufacturing sector...resources to facilitate travel and commerce.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Franklin J. Vargo, 10/01/03, National Association of Manufacturers, FNS, l/n <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">I would like to begin my statement ...the United States cannot become a "nation of shopkeepers."
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Manufacturing key to the U.S. Economy and Global Leadership **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Figueroa et al 11 [Alejandro Figueroa, Research and Policy Analyst, Erik Lee, Associate Director, Rick Van Schoik, Director, North American Center for Transborder Studies, New Policy Institute, “Realizing the Full Value of Crossborder Trade with Mexico”, Arizona State University, http://21stcenturyborder.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/realizing-the-value-of-crossborder-trade-with-mexico2.pdf]PP
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Second, supply chains across the border is uniquely key the the auto-industry **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">The close economic ties between the U.S. and Mexico ...sustain jobs in both countries.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Hill et al 10- Sustainable Transportation and Communities Group and Project Lead, Project Manager of the center for automotive research, Research Associate at the center for automotive research, (Kim, Debbie Menk, Adam Cooper, “Contribution of the Automotive Industry to the Economics of All Fifty States and the Unites States”, [].
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Auto manufacturing key to econ- vital to job growth **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">The economic performance of the automotive sector...multiplier effect of manufacturing within the U.S.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Khalilzad 11 – PhD, Former Professor of Political Science @ Columbia, Former ambassador to Iraq and Afghanistan (Zalmay Khalilzad was the United States ambassador to Afghanistan, Iraq, and the United Nations during the presidency of George W. Bush and the director of policy planning at the Defense Department from 1990 to 1992. "The Economy and National Security" Feb 8 http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/259024/economy-and-national-security-zalmay-khalilzad)BB
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">2 impacts: **
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">First is heg - US growth solves great power war **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Today, economic and fiscal trends ...aggressive moves in their regions.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Brooks et al 13– Former Fellow at the International Security Program 2003-2004 / Ikenberry / Editorial Board Member Quarterly Journal: International Security (Stephen, “Why America Should Not Retrench”, March 2013; [])//Beddow
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Hegemony is sustainable and decline turns every impact **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">The United States has pursued ...exacerbate the problem of American decline.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Harris and Burrows 9 - Mathew J. Burrows is a counselor in the National Intelligence Council (NIC), the principal drafter of Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World, Jennifer Harris is a member of the NIC’s Long Range Analysis Unit, “Revisiting the Future: Geopolitical Effects of the Financial Crisis”, The Washington Quarterly, April, http://www.ciaonet.org/journals/twq/v32i2/f_0016178_13952.pdf
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">And, economic decline causes global war **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Of course, the report encompasses ...a globalizing world turn negative.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Royal 10 (Jedediah, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction – U.S. Department of Defense, “Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises”, Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, Ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p. 213-215)
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Statistical evidence proves **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Less intuitive is how periods of economic decline ...economic-security debate and deserves more attention.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Solvency:
<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">U.S. Chamber of Commerce, 11 (“Steps to a 21st Century U.S.-Mexico Border” http://www.uschamber.com/sites/default/files/reports/2011_us_mexico_report.pdf SW)
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Government action is key to stimulate the private sector –provides incentive and reduces redundancies **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">We are encouraged by recent efforts ...more accurate and accessible information.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Wilson Center, 09 (7“THE UNITED STATES AND MEXICO: Towards a Strategic Partnership,” Woodrow Wilson Center Mexico Institute, January 2009, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/The%20U.S.%20and%20Mexico.%20Towards%20a%20Strategic%20Partnership.pdf)
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Federal leadership is key to effective policy – only way to capitalize on relations **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">The Obama administration and the incoming Congress ... <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">stimulate development <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">in border communities.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Accenture, 08 global management consulting, technology services and outsourcing company, report commissioned by the DOC (March, commissioned by the Department of Commerce's International Trade Administration, “IMPROVING ECONOMIC OUTCOMES BY REDUCING BORDER DELAYS FACILITATING THE VITAL FLOW OF COMMERCIAL TRAFFIC ACROSS THE U.S.-MEXICO BORDER”,
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Port of Entry investment sufficient to solve– jumpstarts other improvements and happens immediately **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">http://shapleigh.org/system/reporting_document/file/487/DRAFT_Reducing_Border_Delays_Findings_and_Options_vFinal_03252008.pdf SW)

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Improving Ports of Entry ...border crossings can begin immediately.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Wogan 8-31-12 J.B. is an intern with PolitiFact “Border is more secure, but not to everyone's satisfaction” [] <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">We also think it's worth noting ... <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">We rate this promise a Compromise.
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Alt causes resolved now **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Figueroa et. al, 11 – Alejandro, Research and Policy Analyst, NACTS, with Erik Lee, Associate Director, NACTS, Rick Van Schoik, Director, NACTS (“Realizing the Full Value of Crossborder Trade with Mexico,” North American Center for Transborder Studies at ASU, 12/9/11, http://21stcenturyborder.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/realizing-the-value-of-crossborder-trade-with-mexico2.pdf)
 * <span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Plan leads to coordination with Mexico – spills over **

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Executive Summary The United States ...accomplished with a truly 21st century border.

<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">Past 2nrs:
<span style="font-family: Georgia,serif;">T-gov to gov, Buddhism K, Immigration DA, States CP + Immigration DA, Syria Dip Cap DA,