Charles+Kang+and+Natalie+Ye

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Plan
====Plan: The United States federal government should substantially increase its diplomatic and economic engagement with the People’s Republic of China over the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank with the purpose of joining the bank.====

China Rise
====China’s rise is inevitable --- U.S. failure to __seek membership__ in the AIIB sends the signal that it doesn’t want to integrate China into global economic governance and crushes America’s ability to shape the global order==== Wyne, 15 --- contributing analyst at Wikistrat, and a global fellow with the Project for the Study of the 21st Century (4/7/15, Ali, “The American World Order and China’s New Bank,” [], article downloaded on 5/3/16, JMP) The United States has sensibly declared its intention to rebalance towards the Asia-Pacific AND writ large—than, respectively, excluding China and shunning its efforts.

====Engaging on the AIIB is critical --- it’s the focal point for China’s expanded international role and cooperation will help resolve Myanmar conflict and spillover to cybersecurity and the South China Sea==== Noori, et. al, 15 --- Program Specialist, Middle East & North Africa Programs at United States Institute of Peace (8/24/15, Maral Noori, Daniel Jasper and Jason Tower, “Overcoming Barriers to U.S.-China Cooperation,” [], downloaded on 4/21/16, JMP) In 2011, U.S. president Barack Obama announced plans to "pivot AND . cooperation. Development lending could prove a minimally politically sensitive testing ground.

South China Sea conflict goes nuclear.
Christensen 6/5/ 15 – Thomas J., Boswell professor of world politics and director of the China and the World Program at Princeton University, is a former U.S. deputy assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs, “China's Rising Military: Now for the Hard Part” http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-06-05/china-s-rising-military-now-for-the-hard-part One reason for this is that no consensus exists in East Asia on the territorial AND conditions in which a technologically superior foe attacks crucial targets with conventional weapons.

Independently, China will be forced to turn to __aggressive military__ actions if the U.S. doesn’t support its growing role in the global economy via the AIIB
Lipscy, 15 --- Assistant Professor of Political Science and the Thomas Rohlen Center Fellow, Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University (5/7/15, Phillip Y., “Who's Afraid of the AIIB; Why the United States Should Support China's Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank,” [], downloaded 4/23/16, JMP) When China first proposed creating the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) in 2013 AND encourage, not discourage, Chinese foreign policy initiatives such as the AIIB.

Failure to recalibrate U.S. __economic policy__ toward China risks miscalculation that triggers great power conflict
Wyne, 15 --- contributing analyst at Wikistrat and a global fellow at the Project for the Study of the 21st Century (6/1/15, Ali, “Is America’s Mind-set the Greatest Threat to Its Future?” [], article downloaded 5/3/16, JMP) *Joseph Nye is a professor at the Harvard Kennedy School and one of the most esteemed analysts of world affairs** Nye suggests that the greatest threat to U.S. influence may not be AND world order.” Here’s to hoping that the United States heeds that judgment.

Ensuring __peaceful rise__ is necessary to prevent World War 3 --- lack of engagement on AIIB has wrecked U.S. leadership
Lehmann, 15 --- Emeritus Professor at IMD, Lausanne (Switzerland), currently Visiting Professor at Hong Kong University and at NIIT University in Neemrana, Rajasthan (India) (4/2/15, Jean-Pierre Lehmann, “China And The US: The AIIB Fiasco &amp; America's Colossal Loss Of Face,” http://www.forbes.com/sites/jplehmann/2015/04/02/china-and-the-us-the-aiib-fiasco-americas-colossal-loss-of-face/print/, article downloaded 6/14/16, JMP) It is very worrying for the world that American policy makers should be capable of making such outrageous errors, scoring own-goals, as the decision to play poker against China over the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and losing so spectacularly and humiliatingly. There is today, I think, little disagreement that the decision to invade Iraq AND it has been pretty much downhill for both American power and American prestige. The US, according to many, is in decline. That, however, AND power; hence “the American century will survive the rise of China”. China is indeed an emerging great power, but Joe Nye is right: the AND graduate, as it hopes to by 2030, to high income status. Having said that, there is no doubt that not only China is indeed a AND to is the “peaceful rise” of China to great power status. Whether China achieves the aim of being the first ever great power to rise peacefully remains to be seen. It is the key question of the 21st century, the answer to which // may determine whether the world will fall into a //// cataclysmic third world war // or whether the pattern will be broken and a new 21st century global paradigm of enhanced peace and prosperity emerges. As things stand currently, signals are mixed. China has territorial disputes with virtually AND closer one gets to China, by and large the greater the apprehensions. Apart from the territorial disputes and occasional naval skirmishes in the East and South China seas, perhaps most alarming for China’s southern neighbors are Beijing’s policies of diversion and damming of rivers from the Tibetan Plateau to the country’s more populated and industrialized north away from feeding into the rivers providing water to billions in South and Southeast Asia. //Water//, as Indian scholar Brahma Chellaney argues, //may be Asia’s “new battleground”//. Thus the jury is out here too. By no means, at the moment, can China be condemned as a malign imperialist power; nor however is it a cuddly panda bear. The outcome will depend on essentially two factors. The first is how Beijing responds AND above all the US, respond and adjust to China’s great power rise. Among China’s policies that a priori would seem to merit close attention and a positive AND that have hitherto been marginalized. Samarkand may once again become a hub! China is a fragile rising great power. In contrast to the US, it AND in addition to the New Development (so-called BRICS) Bank.) Whereas there may be areas in which China’s expanding power might better be contained; there are other initiatives for which it should be //engaged and encouraged//. //The AIIB is a clear case of the latter.// As I told a senior American official, “you keep haranguing the Chinese about being ‘responsible stakeholders’, the establishment of //the AIIB is about as solid and constructive an illustration of stakeholder responsibility one could imagine”// . Washington urged and pressured its allies not to join the AIIB. Fortunately Washington was AND train is taking off and a peeved US stands embarrassingly on the platform. //Washington’s colossal imbecility in opposing the bank has resulted in a colossal loss of face.// It is, as suggested above, a spectacular own goal. // It has eroded not only theUS’ hard (financial) power, but also its soft power, leadership and prestige. // Readers of Forbes, especially members of the American business community, should seek to AND us hope the appropriate lessons are learned. Pax Americana is still needed.

The plan is an example of aggression limiting containment --- that is the only way to solve China’s rise
Amitai **Etzioni 16** --- Professor of International Affairs at George Washington University (Amitai; “The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank: A Case Study of Multifaceted Containment; Asian Perspective; https://icps.gwu.edu/sites/icps.gwu.edu/files/downloads/Etzioni_AIIB.pdf)//pk However, the record so far suggests that the United States and its allies have AND form that could be avoided without undermining the US role as a superpower. Multifaceted Versus Aggression-Limiting Containment US officials often state that the United States does not seek to contain China ( AND among various agencies, with the Pentagon being particularly influential (Etzioni 2013). The strategy’s main element involves positioning US or allied military forces along China’s borders and AND a thinly veiled China containment strategy” (Roach et al. 2015). John Mearsheimer has pointed out that involving regional states in various military alliances raises the AND (This point also applies to China in its relations with North Korea.) At the same time, one may argue that the most basic foundation of the AND US response to the AIIB’s launch, which itself was of limited import. To proceed, I must introduce a distinction between a strategy of all-encompassing AND one in others, as opposed to a barrier that blocks all lanes. In a previous book I examined the ways the United States sought to contain the AND , which resulted in considerably diminished tensions—a détente (Etzioni 2008). US efforts to contain China have not been limited to countering Chinese aggression, such AND Olin-Ammentorp 2014) and Latin America (Noesselt and Landivar 2013). The United States has encouraged states in the region to handle China multilaterally. For AND United States is leaning toward multifaceted containment in its drive to contain China. There are strong reasons for the United States and the international community to oppose changes AND by the rising power, rather than bottling it up everywhere it turns. Aggression-limiting containment also enables the rising power to find legitimate ways to attend AND in the South and East China Seas and the rest of the world. The United States and China have a variety of “Track I” channels for AND of which there have now been seven rounds (Dollar and Wang 2015). However, Track I diplomacy does not seem to be leading to much change regarding AND tensions during and since the Cold War (Schweitzer 2004; Wheeler 2014). My study of the US reaction to the AIIB thus reveals that the U nited S tates leans toward multifaceted containment. It also reveals which steps the U nited S tates should take if it chooses to implement the much less conflict-prone strategy of aggression limiting containment. Conclusion: In 2013, when China launched the AIIB, the United States sought AND and aggression-limiting containment, which seeks to contain only acts of aggression

Without a change to its procedures the AIIB will fuel mega infrastructure projects and a massive expansion of coal use
Bankwatch 15 [CEE Bankwatch Network, international non-governmental organisation with member organisations from countries across central and eastern Europe that monitors activities of IFIs to promote sustainable projects, “New Beijing-backed Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank struggles to convince on environment and sustainability issues”, 12/17/15, []] MG The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), the China-led financial institution, AND see a return to the darkest, unregulated days of international development finance.

Infrastructure development in Asia key to global climate change --- ensuring strong AIIB standards is critical
Nassiry and Nakhooda 16 [Darius, head of international cooperation department at Global Green Growth Institute, Director at Millennium Challenge Corporation where he led teams for development of investment programs in Asia, Smita, Climate finance fellow at World Resources Institute, “The AIIB and investment in action on climate change”, Working Paper 433, April 2016, []] MG The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (the AIIB or the Bank) is poised to AND to achieve its stated aim to be “lean, clean and green”.

Warming is anthropogenic and causes extinction

 * Adams 16** --- has a degree in agriculture and cites studies done by NASA and the IPCC

(Andrew, Prince George Citizen, 4/16/16, “There is no debating scientific facts,” http://www.princegeorgecitizen.com/opinion/columnists/there-is-no-debating-scientific-facts-1.2229437)//ernst Last week I wrote about the signs of early spring and put a few jabs AND watching conspiracy theories?" P.s. The Earth is not flat.

US engagement with the AIIB is key to enforce compliance with international environmental standards and prevent China’s development model from wrecking global democracy
Fukuyama 16 (Francis, Olivier Nomellini Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI), January 12, 2016, Exporting the Chinese Model, Project Syndicate, [|http://www.bresserpereira.org.br/terceiros/2016/janeiro/16.01-Exporting-Chinese-Model.pdf //] PD) As 2016 begins, an historic contest is underway over competing development models – that AND and other important parts of the world to China and its development model.

U.S. should engage China to join the AIIB --- allows it to exert net more influence
Knight, 15 --- Faculty Director of the SIS Honors Program and Assistant Professor at American University's School of International Service and expert on international political economy (4/3/15, Sarah Cleeland Knight, “The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank – Three Questions for Sarah Cleeland Knight,” [], article downloaded 5/11/16, JMP) A growing number of countries are joining the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank ( AIIB) – despite U.S. objections. Sarah Cleeland Knight, an expert on international political economy, recently argued that the United States should also join the bank. We asked her for her insights: Q: Why did China create the AIIB and what are the U.S. concerns? A: China announced its intention to create the AIIB in October 2014 to fund AND giving China more authority, so China is now creating its own institutions. The United States cannot possibly fault the mission of the AIIB, as there is AND rival institution to the World Bank and further increasing its influence throughout Asia. Q: Why have a growing number of U.S. allies decided to join the bank? A: The real question here is why the United Kingdom decided to join the AND makes sense to evaluate the U.K.’s decision with scrutiny. We don’t have all the answers right now, but The Financial Times is reporting AND States clearly outweighed the costs of angering the United States on this issue. What should be worrisome to the United States is whether its allies will side with Beijing over Washington on other issues as well. Such a trend would signify declining U.S. influence not only in Asia but also worldwide. But we need more data points before we can see a trend. Q: Why do you believe the United States should now join the AIIB? A: The United States, at this stage, is standing virtually alone in AND best, working quietly with China, to ensure that it actually does.

====U.S. involvement will allow AIIB to __safeguard its independence__ from China, develop __higher standards__ and __transparency__, reverse perception of containment and boost the credibility of its Asia rebalance==== Lazarus, 3/2/16 --- MA candidate at The Fletcher School, Tufts University (Leland, “Why the U.S. Should Embrace the AIIB; There are compelling reasons for the U.S. to join China’s new development bank,” [], article downloaded 4/24/16, JMP) China’s new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) has been the source of considerable AND ADB) – that already deal one way or another with Asia’s development. So far the United States has been ambivalent about the AIIB, and several scholars AND important criteria like environmental protection, human rights, and anti-corruption. Does the AIIB’s legal structure really give China so much power and influence? Not necessarily. //External and internal pressure will cause the AIIB to act independently and give itself powers in order to safeguard its independence from China, and U.S. involvement will expedite that process.// International Pressure While China has a 30 percent weighted voting share, its influence in the AIIB AND that the AIIB’s member states can “make China play by the rules.” Currently, China has a poor track record in terms of following high standards when AND possibly ensure that its clients will follow through on high standards and transparency. Higher Standards It is still uncertain which standards the bank will use, since the AIIB has AND just as the British persuaded the bank to form a board of directors. The AIIB Will Carve Its Own Niche The AIIB’s Articles of Agreement specifically confer on it an “international character,” as AND to take some sort of emergency action, it can do so independently. Indeed, international organizations tend to grant themselves powers not explicitly expressed in the original AND more powers in order to enforce its distinct will from its member states. In this same vein, the AIIB will most likely grant itself more powers as AND , if a member state like China interfered excessively with the organization’s operation. Why the United States Should Join the AIIB Despite all its misgivings about the AIIB, the United States should join the bank AND that American businesses will be well informed about infrastructure projects financed by AIIB. Finally, if the U.S. continues to dig in its heels about AND Asia strategy and contributed to the impression that it seeks to contain China.” AIIB president Jin Liqun had this to say about U.S. opposition to AND improve the AIIB as a member, instead of opposing the bank altogether. =Past 2NRs=