Michael+and+Brian

The shale boom is unsustainable—collapse causes economic devastation and energy price spikes
Ahmed 14 – Dr. Nafeez Ahmed is the Executive Director of the Institute for Policy Research %26 Development and Chief Research Officer at Unitas Communications where he leads on geopolitical risk. ("Former BP geologist: peak oil is here and it will ~’break economies~’", The Guardian, January 2014) What happens when the shale boom... goes boom? These scientific studies are not AND even bigger financial mess, on a faster trajectory toward costly environmental destruction.

Economic collapse causes global nuclear war
Harris and Burrows 09 – Jennifer Harris is a counselor in the National Intelligence Council and the principal drafter of Global Trends 2025. Mathew J. Burrows is a member of the NIC~’s Long Range Analysis Unit. ("Revisiting the Future: Geopolitical Effects of the Financial Crisis", Washington Quarterly, http://www.twq.com/09april/docs/09apr_burrows.pdf) Of course, the report encompasses more than economics and indeed believes the future is AND within and between states in a more dog-eat-dog world.

Prefer our evidence—decline causes war
Royal 10 – Jedediah Royal is the Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense. ("Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal, and Political Perspectives", pg. 213-215) Less intuitive is how periods of economic decline may increase the likelihood of external conflict AND not featured prominently in the economic-security debate and deserves more attention.

Natural gas price spikes destroy steel manufacturing
James 12 – Steve James is a correspondent for Reuters. ("Analysis: Steelmakers eye gas to cut costs, drive exports", Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/16/us-steel-gas-idUSBRE82F12Y20120316) America~’s steel industry, for decades a symbol of industrial decline, is betting on AND symbol of American industrial power, a competitive edge in the 21st Century.

Steel manufacturing is key to military primacy and power projection
Buyer 07 — Steve Buyer is a Member of the U.S. House AND and 731 -TA-898-908)," July 31, 2007) A robust steel industry is fundamental to the security and economic viability of this nation AND matter – a vital instrument of our national security lies in your hands.

Hegemony solves conflict escalation and the transition causes great power war
Brooks 13 – Stephen Brooks is an Associate Professor of Government at Dartmouth College. AND Issue 3, Winter 2012/2013, pg. 7–51) A core premise of deep engagement is that it prevents the emergence of a far AND disengaged—even as it pushes cooperation toward U.S. preferences.

The plan solves—natural gas prodution is key to manufacturing competitiveness and economic growth
Carey 12 – Julie M. Carey is an energy economist with Navigant Economics who provides consulting and testifying services Navigant~’s unconventional oil and gas offerings include advisory services for strategic business decision analysis, construction risk management, economic and antitrust analyses, investment banking, restructuring advisory services, and expert services for disputes and investigations. ("How Unconventional Oil And Gas Is Supercharging The U.S. Economy", [], December 13, 2012) It~’s an exciting time to be in the energy industry in America. The impact AND infrastructure build out and related opportunities (including both direct and indirect jobs).

The economy is on the brink—low prices revitalize manufacturing and stabilize the recovery
Duesterberg 12 – Tom Duesterberg is an Executive Director of the Manufacturing and Society in AND . from Indiana. ("Impact of the Energy Boom on US Manufacturing", []) The manufacturing sector has been leading the US economic recovery since the end of the AND renewable energy—manufacturing uses 90 percent more renewables than the transportation sector.

Manufacturing is critical to the economy—ensures resiliancy and prevents collapse
Ettlinger 11 – Michael Ettlinger is the Vice President for Economic Policy at the Center for American Progress. Prior to joining the Center, he spent six years at the Economic Policy Institute directing the Economic Analysis and Research Network. ("The Importance and Promise of American Manufacturing: Why It Matters if We Make It in America and Where We Stand Today", http://www.americanprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/issues/2011/04/pdf/manufacturing.pdf) Manufacturing is critically important to the American economy. For generations, the strength of AND vulnerable to everything from exchange rate fluctuations to trade embargoes to natural disasters.

Independently, a US-led natural gas revolution solidifies energy leadership
Mead 12 – Walter Russell Mead is the James Clark Chase Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College and an Editor-at-Large for American Interest. ("Energy Revolution 2: A Post Post-American Post", American Interest, [], July 15, 2012) Forget peak oil; forget the Middle East. The energy revolution of the 21st AND role in shoring up the foundations of the American-led world order.

This allows the US to determine how the international system functions which ensures primacy
Gjelten 12 – Tom Gjelten is a Diplomatic Correspondent for NPR. ("The Dash for Gas: The Golden Age of an Energy Game-Changer", World Affairs, [], January/Febraury 2012) For a fresh perspective on geopolitical trends, look at the world through the lens AND and determine whether it imposes any risks to drinking water or human health.

Chinese energy insecurity risks war in the South China Sea
Glaser 12 – Bonnie S. Glaser is a Senior Fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. ("Armed Clash in the South China Sea", CFR, [], April, 2012) The risk of conflict in the South China Sea is significant. China, Taiwan AND would act to meet the common dangers in accordance with its constitutional processes."

That causes extinction
Lieven 12 – Anatol Lieven is a Professor in the War Studies Department at King~’s College in London. He is a Senior Fellow at the New America Foundation in Washington. ("Avoiding US-China War", New York Times, [], June 12, 2012) Relations between the United States and China are on a course that may one day AND — for example in Washington~’s neglect of the crumbling states of Central America.

China~’s demand for energy shapes their entire foreign policy
Herberg 11 – Mikkal Herberg is the Research Director of the Energy Security Program The National Bureau of Asian Research. ("China~’s Energy Rise and the Future of U.S.-China Energy Relations", New American Foundation, [], June 21, 2011) As China~’s energy footprint grows, distrust over energy intentions and investments are likely to AND energy becoming a major source of tension in an already complex bilateral relationship.

US exports solve Chinese energy insecurity
Stone 11 – Matt Stone is an Energy Consultant, US Foreign Policy Analyst, and Junior Associate at McKinsey %26 Company. ("Natural Gas", The Diplomat, [], February 15, 2011) In the space of just a couple of years, natural gas has become the AND meanwhile, China has husbanded its resources and influence to achieve advantageous deals.

The recent Russia-China natural gas deal doesn~’t solve
Sieff 14 – Martin Sieff is a writer for the Asia-Pacific Defense Forum. ("China~’s gas deal with Russia faces enormous challenges", The Asia-Pacific Defense Forum, [], June 11, 2014) The %24400 billion gas development deal between China and Russia is described as a AND 10 to 15 percent of China~’s total gas supply in the early 2020s."

The plan solves—shale gas has depressed prices, but it~’s unsustainable—natural gas is vital to LNG export competitiveness
Bass and Pickering 12 – Richard Bass is a Director in Navigant~’s Energy-http://www.navigant.com/industries/energy/ Practice in AND Natural Gas Glut; Why Exporting It As LNG Is A Good Idea", Forbes,[], June 13, 2012) The emergence of shale gas has caused natural gas prices in North America to drop AND to trade at a sizable discount to oil on an energy equivalent basis.

Inadequate supply is blocking LNG exports—a secure domestic reserve of natural gas is key
Ebinger et al 12 – Charles Ebinger is a Senior Fellow and Director of the Energy Security Initiative at the Brookings Institute. Kevin Massy is an Assistant Director of the Energy Security Initiative at the Brookings Institute. Govinda Avasarala is a Senior Research Assistant in the Energy Security Initiative at the Brookings Institute. ("Liquid Markets: Assessing the Case for U.S. Exports of Liquefied Natural Gas", Brookings Institute, Policy Brief 12-01, http://www.brookings.edu//media/research/files/reports/2012/5/02%20lng%20exports%20ebinger/0502_lng_exports_ebinger.pdf) For an increase in U.S. exports of LNG to be considered feasible AND concern, owing to the continued rapid improvement in technologies and production processes.

Perception is key
Ebinger et al 12 – Charles Ebinger is a Senior Fellow and Director of the Energy Security Initiative at the Brookings Institute. Kevin Massy is an Assistant Director of the Energy Security Initiative at the Brookings Institute. Govinda Avasarala is a Senior Research Assistant in the Energy Security Initiative at the Brookings Institute. ("Liquid Markets: Assessing the Case for U.S. Exports of Liquefied Natural Gas", Brookings Institute, Policy Brief 12-01, http://www.brookings.edu//media/research/files/reports/2012/5/02%20lng%20exports%20ebinger/0502_lng_exports_ebinger.pdf) Aside from the price impact of potential U.S. LNG exports, a AND bi-directional import/export facilities) to import gas when economic.

Congress is key—the Department of the Interior must submit a five-year leasing plan for approval
Vann 13 – Adam Vann is a legislative attorney that works for the Congressional Research Service. ("Offshore Oil and Gas Development: Legal Framework", Congressional Research Service, [], June 25, 2013) In general, the OCSLA requires the federal government to prepare, revise, and AND low resource potential," are depicted in Figure 1 and Figure 2 below.

The plan creates certainty and investor confidence for offshore production
Griles 03 – Lisa Griles is the Deputy Secretary of the Department of the Interior. ("Energy Production on Federal Lands", hearing before the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources) Mr. GRILES. America~’s public lands have an abundant opportunity for exploration and development AND from and buy, so they can have certainty about where to go.

Absent the plan, restrictions crush predictability and timing of projects
Hagerty 10 – Curry L. Hagerty is a Specialist in Energy and Natural Resources Policy at the Congressional Research Service. ("Outer Continental Shelf Moratoria on Oil and Gas Development", [], June 15, 2010) One legacy of congressional moratoria is their impact on the timing of possible OCS development AND were defensible in the absence of more permanent alternatives for similar leasing prohibitions.