Alec+&+William


 * Plan: The United States federal government should increase leasing for offshore natural gas production in the Outer Continental Zone in the United States. **

Solvency
Lieberman 08 – senior policy analyst for Energy and Environment for the Heritage Foundation (Ben, “Listing the Offshore Drilling Ban: A Positive Step in the Fight against High Energy Prices”, The Heritage Foundation, 7/14/2008, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2008/07/lifting-the-offshore-drilling-ban-a-positive-step-in-the-fight-against-high-energy-prices)//BD Washington must do something about the increasing price of gasoline, now topping $4 … efforts has been successful. Luthi, 11/9/ 12 [Luthi is the president of the National Ocean Industry Association, representing more than 275 companies engaged in all aspects of the exploration and production of both traditional and renewable energy resources on the nation’s outer continental shelf, “Let's find agreement on new offshore access”, http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/energy-a-environment/267089-lets-find-agreement-on-new-offshore-access ]
 * OCS restrictions must be lifted but federal action is key – Congress has to fund DOI leasing projects **
 * 85% of gas is off limits now **

Now that the election is (finally) behind us, President Obama has an opportunity to set the nation more forcefully on the road to energy independence. __ We __ ’re well on our way thanks in large part to new techniques and technologies that __ have //unlocked// //vast …// __ go look.

Griles 3 [Lisa, Deputy Secretary, Department of the Interior, “Energy Production on Federal Lands,” Hearing before the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, United States Senate]
 * And, the plan creates certainty for offshore production—balances supply **

Mr. GRILES. **__ America’s __** public __ lands have an abundant opportunity for exploration … //about where to go.// __ Hastings, 12 [House Representative Doc, Republican Washington, President Obama's offshore drilling plan must be replaced, http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/energy-a-environment/239529-president-obamas-offshore-drilling-plan-must-be-replaced ]
 * And, that sustains low prices and ensures adequate supply **

__ Though __ President __ Obama uses lofty rhetoric to claim support for __ American oil and __ natural gas … //strengthen America’s economy// __.

Paul Hillegeist et al (President and COO at Quest Offshore Resources, Inc, Sean Shafer, Project Director, Andrew Jackson, Project Manager, Leslie Cook, Senior Research Consultant) December 2011 “The State of the Offshore U.S. Oil and Gas Industry” http://energytomorrow.org/images/uploads/Quest_2011_December_29_Final.pdf
 * Nearly 100 new projects are capable of development **


 * __ If drilling permits going forward were to be issued at pre __****__ ‐ __****__ moratorium rates, the … __**, employment and government revenue.

Curry L. Hagerty (Specialist in Energy and Natural Resources Policy at the Congressional Research Service) June 15, 2010 “Outer Continental Shelf Moratoria on Oil and Gas Development” http://crs.ncseonline.org/nle/crsreports/10Jul/R41132.pdf


 * __ One legacy of congressional moratoria is their impact on the timing of possible OCS development. __****__ From a developer’s point of view, predictability in the pace, timing, and sequence of OCS development projects is key to strategic business decisions __** . From… for similar leasing prohibitions

Geopolitics adv.
Schwartzel, 13 [Erich Schwartzel, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, Expert on Fracking, visited Pappas’ Public Policy Class and was part of a round table discussion that consisted of Barry Rabe, professor at UM and others, really funny too, “U.S. report predicts rising natural gas prices in 2013-14”, http://www.post-gazette.com/stories/business/news/us-report-predicts-rising-natural-gas-prices-in-2013-14-669602/ ]
 * Natural gas prices will keep increasing despite flat consumption—that causes economic collapse through multiple sectors **

The average price of natural gas is expected to //increase// by almost … extracting more gas from a single location

Maize, 12/1/12 [“Is Shale Gas Shallow or the Real Deal?”, Kennedy, Veteran Journalist¶ Kennedy Maize has spent the past 40 years working as a journalist, analyst, and manager in the private sector and federal government, with over 35 years of that focused on energy and environmental topics. Over that time, he has seen myriad examples of how group think, policy fads, and bad judgment can result in colossal failures, particularly in the field of atomic energy. Maize has seen, up close and personal, the demise of the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission, the arrival of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, the birth of the U.S. Department of Energy, the failures of nuclear flight, the hubris of atomic earthmoving, the boom and bust uranium market, the birth and death of breeder reactors, and the 60-year wandering in the wilderness of nuclear waste policy. After graduating from Penn State and graduate study at the University of Maryland, Kennedy Maize worked for newspapers in Pennsylvania, New York, and Virginia and the Associated Press in Baltimore. He then spent five years in management at the National Institute of Health and the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission before taking a job covering energy, environment, and business topics for Editorial Research Reports, a division of Congressional Quarterly, where his work appeared in over 1,000 daily newspapers in the U.S. during the mid-to-late 1970s. Maize became a staff writer and editor at The Energy Daily, a preeminent energy trade paper, on March 28, 1979, the day the Three Mile Island accident began outside Harrisburg, Pa. Over more than 10 years at The Energy Daily, he covered the nuclear and coal industries, including stories involving the Clinch River Breeder Reactor, the U.S. Synthetic Fuels Corp., the Powder River Basin coal leasing scandal, and the Chernobyl explosion. In 1993, he founded The Electricity Daily, where he was the editor for 14 years, writing about changes in the electricity business, the rise and fall of Enron, the stagnation of the nuclear power business, and the arrival of market forces in the utility field. Since 2006, he has been an editor at POWER magazine, and the founder of MANAGING POWER magazine, where he has written about the Fukushima catastrophe, the emergence of shale gas and decline of coal, and the often ill-advised push for renewable electricity technologies¶ http://www.powermag.com/gas/Is-Shale-Gas-Shallow-or-the-Real-Deal_5188.html ]
 * The impact is price spikes **

In an interview with POWER, B… __ do go much higher than now.” __ Hughes 13- staff writer for the Financialist (Darrell, “Will Cheap Natural Gas Change US Steel Production”, The Financialist by Credit Suisse, http://www.thefinancialist.com/will-cheap-natural-gas-change-us-steel-production/)//WK Cheap natural gas… production costs,” Sirkin said
 * New natural gas sources key to low steel priceas **

AISI et al. 7- (*American Iron and Steel Institute, **Specialty Steel Industry of North America, ***Steel Manufacturers Association, ****Steel Manufacturer’s Association, *****United Steel Workers, “Steel and the National Defense”, http://www.ssina.com/news/releases/pdf_releases/steel_and_national_defense_0107.pdf)//WK This analysis … construction schedules. Brooks, et al, 13 [Don't Come Home, America: The Case against Retrenchment Stephen G. Brooks (bio), G. John Ikenberry (bio) and William C. Wohlforth (bio), Stephen G. Brooks; G. John Ikenberry and William C. Wohlforth STEPHEN G. BROOKS is Associate Professor of Government at Dartmouth College. G. JOHN IKENBERRY is Albert G. Milbank Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton University and Global Eminence Scholar at Kyung Hee University in Seoul. WILLIAM C. WOHLFORTH is Daniel Webster Professor of Government at Dartmouth College, International Security Volume 37, Number 3, Winter 2012, p. Project Muse]
 * Low steel prices are the vital internal link to hegemony **
 * Hegemony solves conflict escalation and great power war **

Assessing the Security… toward U.S. preferences

Manufacturing adv.
__ While euphoria over… __ regions - including the strategically important Middle East. CHICAGO — __ Cheap… __ helps them reach that tipping point faster
 * Shale revolution unsustainable --- logistics, safety and extraction --- North Dakota proves --- our authors assume your indicts **
 * Hussain 7/27 ** (Syed Rashid, Staff Writer for Saudi Gazette, “Euphoria over shale gas ‘surge’ pointless,” 7/27/2014, Saudi Gazette, http://www.saudigazette.com.sa/index.cfm?method=home.regcon&contentid=20140727212780 )//JL
 * Cheap natural gas sparks a __renaissance__ in domestic manufacturing --- specifically steel industries **
 * BCG 14 ** (Boston Consulting Group, “Study: Manufacturers Will Benefit From Low-Cost U.S. Natural Gas,” 2/13/2014, Manufacturing.net, http://www.manufacturing.net/news/2014/02/study-manufacturers-will-benefit-from-low-cost-us-natural-gas)//JL

Pirog and Ratner 12- *Energy specialist in the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies International Economics Program, **specialist in energy policy for the Congressional Research Service (Robert and Michael, “Natural Gas in the U.S. Economy: Opportunities for Growth” Congressional News Service, http://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42814.pdf)//WK Expanded supply, couple… market-oriented method. Carey, 12/13/12 [Julie M, Julie M. Carey is an energy economist with Navigant Economics who provides consulting and testifying services Navigant’s unconventional oil and gas offerings include advisory services for strategic business decision analysis, construction risk management, economic and antitrust analyses, investment banking and restructuring advisory services, and expert services for disputes and investigations, “How Unconventional Oil And Gas Is Supercharging The U.S. Economy”, http://www.forbes.com/sites/energysource/2012/12/13/how-unconventional-oil-and-gas-is-transforming-the-u-s-economy/ ]
 * __ Maintaining low prices __**** through adequate supply is key to lock in a massive economic benefit—that __galvanizes key industries__ **
 * Natural gas production directly correlates with growth and innovation—unique spillover effects **

It’s an exciting time to be in the energy… direct and indirect jobs

Ettlinger, 11 [Michael, Vice President for Economic Policy at the Center for ¶ American Progress Prior to joining the Center, he spent six years at the Economic ¶ Policy Institute directing the Economic Analysis and Research Network. ¶ Previously, he was tax policy director for Citizens for Tax Justice and the Institute ¶ on Taxation and Economic Policy for 11 years. He has also served on the staff of ¶ the New York State Assembly. “The Importance and Promise¶ of American Manufacturing Why It Matters if We Make It in America and Where We Stand Today”, http://www.americanprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/issues/2011/04/pdf/manufacturing.pdf ]
 * Domestic manufacturing is key to overall __resilience__ **

__ Manufacturing is… ____ natural disasters __. Harris and Burrows, 9 – *counselor in the National Intelligence Council, the principal drafter of Global Trends 2025, **member of the NIC’s Long Range Analysis Unit “Revisiting the Future: Geopolitical Effects of the Financial Crisis”, Washington Quarterly, http://www.twq.com/09april/docs/09apr_burrows.pdf )
 * Economic collapse causes competition for resources and instability that escalates and goes nuclear **

Increased Potential for Global Conflict… in __ a more dog-eat-dog world __

Royal 10 – Jedediah Royal, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, 2010, “Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises,” in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p. 213-214
 * Our impact has a strong statistical basis – rally around the flag **

Less intuitive is how periods of.. deserves more attention