Aaron+and%20Matt


 * Korea - Korea Conflict, Regionalism**

__**1AC:**__

__**Advantage One is Korean War**__

It has been weeks .... to defend its own personnel.
 * The sinking of the South Korea’s ship has pushed tensions to the brink – retaliation will spark an escalatory war and failure to respond will only cause more North Korean provocations.**
 * Bandow, 10** – senior fellow at the Cato Institute and former special assistant to Reagan (4/18/10, Doug, “Let the Koreans Take Care of the Koreas,” [], JMP)

[], JMP) USUALLY, there is a familiar . . . North Korea found its customers.
 * The status quo is __fundamentally different__ than the past – the chance of a major miscalculation and global escalation is now possible.**
 * Sanger, 10** (5/28/10, David E. Sanger, NY Times, “In the Koreas, Five Possible Ways to War,”


 * Tensions are so high any accident could trigger nuclear war despite technical shortcomings by North Korea**
 * Ford, 10** (Peter, 6/16/10, CS Monitor, “North Korea brandishes threats as UN debates Cheonan sinking” [])

If rhetoric could kill. . . Joint Chiefs of Staff was reported as saying on Wednesday.

On the other hand. . . not start it anew.
 * The U.S. response to bolster deterrence will just increase provocations and make miscalculation more likely**
 * Armstrong, 10 –** Professor of history and director of the Center for Korean Research at Columbia University.. (Charles, 5/26/10, CNN, “The Korean War never ended” [])

This report examines North Korea’s chemical. . . quantities can be developed within days.
 * Conventional weaknesses will force North Korea to resort to CBW use – either deliberate, accidental or unathorized**
 * ICG, 09** (6/18/09, International Crisis Group, “North Korea’s Chemical and Biological Weapons Programs,” [], JMP)


 * North Korean bioweapon use would __spread globally__ within __six weeks__ – greater risk that nuclear weapons.**
 * __Levy__** 200**__7__** (6-8-07, Janet Ellen, The American Thinking, “The Threat of Bioweapons,” http://www.americanthinker.com/2007/06/the_threat_of_bioweapons.html, JMP)

Immediately following 9-11,. . . quantities can be developed within days.

Of all the weapons of mass destruction. . . patriotism is the highest of all crimes.
 * Impact is extinction**
 * Ochs 02** – MA in Natural Resource Management from Rutgers University and Naturalist at Grand Teton National Park [Richard, “BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS MUST BE ABOLISHED IMMEDIATELY,” Jun 9, http://www.freefromterror.net/other_articles/abolish.html]

The international community is increasingly aware. . . from the international community.
 * North Korean aggression and nuclearization will cause intentional, miscalculated, or accidental nuclear conflict –**
 * Hayes & Hamel-Green, 10** – *Executive Director of the Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainable Development, AND Executive Dean of the Faculty of Arts, Education and Human Development act Victoria University (1/5/10, Executive Dean at Victoria, “The Path Not Taken, the Way Still Open: Denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia,” [])

Proceeding against the advice of my cardiologist. . . aligns with the correct result.
 * Withdrawing __ground troops__ solves – stops North Korea from probing U.S. weakness to draw our forces into a wider conflict. Air and naval installations will maintain power projection capabilities.**
 * Stanton, 10** – U.S. Army Judge Advocate in Korea from 98-02 and practicing attorney in Washington, D.C. (4/12/10, Joshua, The New Ledger, “It's Time for the U.S. Army to Leave Korea,” [], JMP)

On the night of March 26. . . brought home before it’s too late.
 * U.S. presence is useless to deter North Korea – withdrawal will motivate South Korea and China to stabilize and de-nuclearize the peninsula**
 * Erickson, 10** – Executive Director of CenterMovement.org (5/6/10, Stephen, “End the Cold War in Korea: Bring American Troops Home Before it’s Too Late,” [], JMP)


 * A phased withdrawal solves - prevents U.S. draw in, creates peace, and regional security efforts can effectively resolve Korea crises.**


 * Carpenter, 09** – vice president for defense and foreign policy studies at the Cato Institute (Ted Galen, CATO Handbook for Congress, 7th Edition, “54. East Asian Security Commitments,” [], JMP)

The U.S. alliance with the Republic of Korea. . . keeping South Korea as a security client.

__**Advantage Two is Regionalism**__

At the conclusion of the Second World War. . . independent East Asian Union.
 * U.S. alliance relationships are unsustainable – Asian powers should develop a regional security strategy that __does not__ rely on the U.S. – solves WMD terrorism, tame China, prevents Sino-Japan conflict, Japan imperialism, solve resource conflicts and stop major power domination**
 * Francis, 06** – former Australian Ambassador to Croatia and fellow at the Weatherhead Center for International Affairs at Harvard University from 05-06 (Fall 2006, Neil, Harvard International Review, “For an East Asian Union: Rethinking Asia's Cold War Alliances,” [], JMP)

The security treaties with the United States. . . west-central Pacific.
 * Regionalism is currently halfhearted – only a __clear sign__ of U.S. withdrawal can motivate __sustainable__ regional security cooperation**
 * Carpenter and Bandow 4** - * Vice President of Defense and Foreign Studies at the Cato Institute, AND Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute (Ted Galen Carpenter, 12/2004, The Korean Conundrum: America’s Troubled Relations With North and South Korea, pg 160-161)DR


 * Withdrawal will push South Korea to develop a self-reliant defense posture – allowing it to be a regional power balancer.**
 * __Stevens__** 200**__6__** (3/15/06, Colonel Wayne Stevens, “Is U.S. Forces Korea Still Needed on the Korean Peninsula?” http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA448328&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdf, JMP)

South Korean President Roh. . . possibly place regional security at risk

The idea of multilateral security cooperation. . . loose form of the U.S.-Korea alliance.
 * Withdrawal will reduce Korea’s veto of multilateral security mechanisms – yielding a peace system on the peninsula that prevents great power war**
 * Lee, 09** – Seoul National University (December 2009, Geun, “The Nexus between Korea’s Regional Security Options and Domestic Politics,” [|www.cfr.org], JMP)


 * __Advantage Three is China__**

It’s the job of military planners. . . coercively micro-manage regional relations.
 * The plan eases the transition to a more multipolar world – trying to cling to the status quo makes hegemonic decline and conflict with China __inevitable__.**
 * __Bandow__** 200**__9__** – Fellow at the American Conservative Defense Alliance and Cato Institute and former Special Assistant to Reagan (1/12/09, Doug, “First Among Equals,” http://www.nationalinterest.org/Article.aspx?id=20570, JMP)

The U.S. finds itself in an unenviable. . . We can help them do so.
 * Withdrawal solves accidental war with China and yields a nuclear free peninsula.**
 * __Garfinkle__** 200**__3__** [taught American foreign policy and Middle East politics at the University of Pennsylvania and is editor of The National Interest, 1/27/03, Adam, National Review, “Checking Kim,” http://article.nationalreview.com/267742/checking-kim/garfinkle]

A cross-strait conflict, even at. . . puts sovereignty above everything else.
 * U.S. – China conflict leads to extinction.**
 * __Cheong 2k__** – East Asia Correspondent (Ching Cheong, The Straits Times, “No one gains in war over Taiwan,” 6-25-2000, Lexis-Nexis Universe)

**__Bandow__** 200**__9__** [senior fellow at the Cato Institute, 2/24/09, Doug, “Balancing Beijing,” EBSCO] So Washington should exhibit humility. . . other’s economic and geopolitical ambitions.
 * Motivating Beijing to take a greater regional role ensures its peaceful rise**