Jonah+Jacobs+and+Ben+Mnushkin


 * Neg Disclosure****:**

1NC Off-Case: T-Unconditional, T-QPQ, T-USFG, Elections DA, Iran DA, Japan DA, Containment DA, Rising Expectations DA, Xi Good DA, DoS Trade-off DA, Space Leadership DA, Steel DA, Consult Japan CP, Steel QPQ CP, HR QPQ CP, Engagement PIC, Delay (after the election) CP, Spanos K, Fem IR K, Cap K

2NRs:T-USFG, Elections DA, Rising Expectations DA, Xi Good DA, DoS Trade-off DA, Space Leadership DA, Engagement PIC, Spanos K

Contact me if you have questions: Jonah -- doublejdj15@gmail.com

MES --- Trade and Relations Contact me with questions: Ben -- bmnushkin@gmail.com
 * Aff Disclosure**:

=1AC=

=Advantage one – trade =

Failure to grant market-status leads to an escalatory trade conflict
The normally conciliatory American Chamber of Commerce in China suggested last fall that China is AND caught in the cross-fire, and it won't be the last.
 * Goldhaber 15** – JD @ Yale, ‎ Senior International Correspondent at The American Lawyer (Michael, "The U.S. Offensive in the China Trade War," The American Lawyer, Lexis)//BB

A US-China trade war wrecks global trade norms—-causes military conflict
The ongoing stagnation in the global economy, marked by falling investment and the emergence AND slump is likewise fuelling conflicts that threaten to erupt into another global conflagration.
 * Beams 16** – member of the International Editorial Board of the World Socialist Web Site, and an internationally-recognised expert on Marxist political economy. He has written extensively and delivered public lectures in many countries on the global financial crisis, globalisation and the collapse of the USSR (Nick, "Economic Conflicts Threaten Global Trade War," http://www.globalresearch.ca/economic-conflicts-threaten-global-trade-war/5528689)//BB

The impact is great power war
Multiple scholars have observed a secular decline in interstate violence in recent decades.105 AND Cold War trends and choose to allocate more scarce resources towards their militaries.
 * Drezner 16** – professor of international politics @ Tufts (Daniel, "Five Known Unknowns about the Next Generation Global Political Economy," http://www.brookings.edu//media/research/files/papers/2016/05/future-global-political-economy-drezner/ios-drezner-web.pdf)

Independently, failure to grant MES causes China to opt-out of WTO obligations
Q: What happens if the EU and the West more broadly do not grant AND give you market economy status", I feel that would be awfully aggressive.
 * Winters 16** - Professor of Economics at the University of Sussex and former Chief Economist at the Department for International Development (L. Alan, January 20, Borderlex interview with L. Alan Winters, INTERVIEW: L. Alan Winters on China MES – "a coordinated view would look like the rest of the world is ganging up on China", http://www.borderlex.eu/interview-l-alan-winters-china-market-economy-status/)//SLR

Chinese buy-in to WTO norms is key to long-term survival of the WTO
This is why the WTO rules that limit any U.S. retaliation are AND is a critical element to the long-term survival of the WTO.
 * Brown 9** - Associate Professor in the Department of Economics and International Business School at Brandeis University and a Non-Resident Fellow in the Global Economy and Development Program at the Brookings Institution (Chad, "U.S.—China Trade Conflicts and the Future of the WTO," 33 Fletcher F. World Aff. 27, Lexis)//BB

WTO solves nuclear war—-credibility and resilience is key
(GEORGIA L. Hamann, May 2009, "Replacing Slingshots with Swords: Implications of the Antigua-Gambling 22.6 Panel Report for Developing Countries and the World Trading System", http://www.vanderbilt.edu/jotl/manage/wp-content/uploads/hamann-cr_final_final.pdf)//BB Voluntary compliance with WTO rules and procedures is of the utmost importance to the international AND keenly aware of the responsibility they have to uphold the organization's credibility.108
 * Hamann 9** - associate in Lewis, Roca, Rothberger's Litigation Practice Group, J.D. from Vanderbilt University Law School

=Advantage two – relations=

The plan promotes sustainable US-China cooperation—-it's comparatively the most important gesture to China, and defuses other areas of tension
U.S. policymakers — with the help of a sympathetic media — scapegoat AND go a long way toward stopping and reversing the recent deterioration of relations.
 * Ikenson 12** – MA in economics @ GWU, former director of international trade planning for an international accounting and business advisory firm (Daniel, "Trade Policy Priority One: Averting a U.S.-China "Trade War"," Free Trade Bulletin, No. 47)//BB

No alt causes—-market-economy status creates momentum to resolve other kinks in the relationship
The WTO Antidumping Agreement lays out detailed rules for how members can implement antidumping measures AND growth and international peace by ending the NME charade as soon as possible.
 * Watson 16** – JD from Tulane University Law School, and an LLM in international and comparative law from the George Washington University Law School (K William, "Eleven Months Left to Revoke China's Nonmarket Economy Status," http://www.cato.org/blog/eleven-months-left-revoke-chinas-nonmarket-economy-status)//BB

Economics outweighs security
At the end of March 2015, the commander of the U.S. AND of governance, and compatible understandings of history, to name a few.
 * Wyne 15** – Adjunct staff @ RAND, Fellow @ Atlantic Council, MPP @ Harvard (Ali, "The Strategic Importance of U.S.-China Trade Ties," Carnegie Council, http://www.carnegiecouncil.org/publications/ethics_online/0106)//BB

Specifically—-the plan sustains cooperation over Korea, the Middle East and climate change
As it currently stands, the prospect of any quick agreement between the three economies AND as they remain committed to salvaging their position as global standard-setters.
 * Deynoot 16** – MA International Conflict and Security @ Kent; Consultant, EU Public Affairs @ Weber-Shandick (Christiaan, "Towards China's Market Economy Status," April, http://webershandwick.be/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Weber-Shandwick-Report-Towards-China-Market-Economy-Status_April-2016.pdf)//BB

US-China climate cooperation solves warming
Cooperation on climate change mitigation, adaptation, and consequence management. China-US AND US businesses as well as lower costs and widely disseminate clean energy technologies.
 * Atlantic Council 13** (September,Working Group Members: Chu Shulong, Deputy Director, Institute of International Strategic and Development Studies, Tsinghua University • Da Wei, Director, Institute of American Studies, China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations • Du Lan, Assistant Research Fellow, Department of American Studies, China Institute of International Studies • Huang Ping, Director General, Institute of American Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences • Jin Canrong, Professor and Associate Dean, School of International Studies, Renmin University of China • Liu Qing, Associate Research Fellow, Department of American Studies, China Institute of International Studies • Qu Xing, President, China Institute of International Studies • Ruan Zongze, Vice President, China Institute of International Studies • Wang Fan, Director, Institute of International Relations, Mathew Burrows, former Counselor, US National Intelligence Council; Director, Strategic Foresight Initiative, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council • Thomas Fingar, Oksenberg-Rohlen Distinguished Fellow, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University • Banning Garrett, Strategic Foresight Senior Fellow for Innovation and Global Trends, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council • Sherri Goodman, Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary, CNA • Barry Hughes, Professor and Director, Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver • Robert Manning, Senior Fellow, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council • Paul Saffo, Consulting Professor, Stanford University; Senior Fellow, Strategic Foresight Initiative, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council • Jonathan Woetzel, Director, McKinsey & Company • Casimir Yost, former Director, Strategic Futures Group, US National Intelligence Council China Foreign Affairs University • Wang Yizhou, Associate Dean, School of International Studies, Peking University China-US Cooperation: Key to the Global Future, http://www.ciis.org.cn/english/2014-01/13/content_6606656.htm)//SLR

The impact is extinction—-geological history proves
Bushnell (Dennis, "Conquering Climate Change," The Futurist 44. 3, AND, so, as dire as the forecasts sound, they're actually conservative.
 * Bushnell 10** - MS in mechanical engineering, won the Lawrence A. Sperry Award, AIAA Fluid and Plasma Dynamics Award, the AIAA Dryden Lectureship, and is the recipient of many NASA Medals for outstanding Scientific Achievement and Leadership

US-China cooperation over the Korean peninsula solves conflict—-new crises are likely and only US and China can defuse escalation
China and the United States share the same short-term interests on the Korean AND Sino-US diplomatic effort. Indeed, it is a political necessity.
 * Gady 16** (Franz-Stefan Gady is an Associate Editor with The Diplomat, a Senior Fellow with the EastWest Institute, and has worked previously as an adjunct research assistant at the Institute for National Strategies Studies of the National Defense University in Washington, D.C., an analyst for the Project on National Security Reform, a congressionally funded nonprofit organization founded to reform the national security structure of the United States. He holds an M.A. in Strategic Studies/International Economics. "Sino-US Cooperation Over North Korea Is Now More Important Than Ever," The Diplomat, March 19, 2016, http://thediplomat.com/2016/03/sino-us-cooperation-over-north-korea-is-now-more-important-than-ever/)//wm

That triggers nuclear winter and extinction
(Peter, "The Path Not Taken, The Way Still Open: Denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia," http://www.nautilus.org/projects/A-J-disarm/research-workshop/drafts/hayes-hamel-green.pdf) The consequences of failing to address the proliferation threat posed by the North Korea developments AND threat but a global one that warrants priority consideration from the international community.
 * Hayes and Hamel-Green 9** - Professor of International Relations – RMIT University AND Michael; Dean and Professor of Arts, Education and Human Development – Victoria University

US-China cooperation over the Middle East solves conflict
Alterman 11 (Jon B. Alterman is a senior vice president, holds the Zbigniew Brzezinski Chair in Global Security and Geostrategy, and is director of the Middle East Program at CSIS., "U.S.-China Relations: Cooperating and Contending Over the Middle East" Center for Strategic and International Studies, Middle east program, 2011, https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/legacy_files/files/publication/110617_Alterman_ChinaExecSummary.pdf)//wm China, the United States, and the Middle East form a triangle. All AND lessons from its own economic growth, which regional governments would likely welcome.

That solves nuclear war
Russell 9 - Russell, Senior Lecturer, National Security Affairs, Naval Postgraduate School (James A., "Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Escalation and Nuclear War in the Middle East" IFRI, Proliferation Papers, #26, http://www.ifri.org/downloads/PP26_Russell_2009.pdf) Strategic stability in the region is thus undermined by various factors: (1) AND the peoples of the region, with substantial risk for the entire world.

=Plan=

And thus the plan:
====The United States federal government should, through engagement with the People's Republic of China, end the use of non-Market Status methodology in anti-dumping calculations on the People's Republic of China.====

=Advantage three – solvency=

The US will break its legal obligation to treat China as a Market Economy in 2016—-removing this barrier now promotes resilient relations and a rules-based trade order
President Obama has an important decision to make between now and December 11, 2016 AND U.S. influence in the rules-based global trading system.
 * Watson 14** – JD from Tulane University Law School, and an LLM in international and comparative law from the George Washington University Law School (K William, "Will Nonmarket Economy Methodology Go Quietly into the Night?," CATO Policy Analysis, No. 763)//BB

The plan jump-starts relations without damaging US industries
Based on the headlines in the trade press recently, you might get the idea AND certain sectors and ensuring that US-China relations remain on stable footing.
 * Frisbie 16** - president of the US-China Business Council (USCBC) since November 2004, has more than 25 years of experience in business and government relations with China, including nearly 10 years living and working in Beijing, BA and MBA degrees from the University of Texas at Austin he received several National Resource Fellowships for language study and is fluent in Mandarin Chinese (John, with Erin Ennis, Senior Vice President of the US-China Business Council, "Is China A "Market Economy"? It Doesn't Matter.," http://www.uscnpm.org/blog/2016/05/09/is-china-a-market-economy-it-doesnt-matter/)//BB

Graduating China to a market economy before the deadline and without condition solves US-China relations and promotes global trade liberalization
Ending NME Altogether While history tells us that U.S.–China trade is AND to the United States' role as a leader in the global trading system.
 * Watson 14** – JD from Tulane University Law School, and an LLM in international and comparative law from the George Washington University Law School (K William, "Will Nonmarket Economy Methodology Go Quietly into the Night?," CATO Policy Analysis, No. 763)//BB