KreinerShan

=__Affirmative__=

__1AC__
=Advantage 1 is Relations=

US – Mexican relations are declining – drug war and trade disputes
Hickson 12 News Associate at NBC News in New York. (Alessandra, “Peña Nieto hopes to reframe US-Mexico relations in meeting with Obama,” NBC Latno, 11/26/12, http://nbclatino.com/2012/11/26/pena-nieto-hopes-to-reframe-us-mexico-relations-in-meeting-with-obama/)// AR

The plan revitalizes US-Mexico relations - infrastructure is key, also Mexico will say yes, they have an economic agenda now
Selee and Wilson 12 – Andrew, Vice President for Programs and Senior Advisor to the Mexico Institute at the Wilson Center, Christopher, associate with the Mexico Institute (“A New Agenda with Mexico,” Wilson Center, November 2012, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/a_new_agenda_with_mexico.pdf)

Economic focus is key to relations – solves Central American stability and Mexican leadership

 * Wood and Wilson 13 ** – Duncan, director of the Mexico Institute at the Woodrow Wilson Center for International Scholars, and Christopher, associate with the Mexico Institute (“New Ideas for a New Era: Policy Options for the Next Stage in U.S.-Mexico Relations,” Wilson Center, January 2013, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/new_ideas_us_mexico_relations.pdf)

A) Resolves outdated stereotypes
Garza, 12/3/12 – Antonio, Former U.S. Ambassador to Mexico (“A first step is to get rid of outdated perceptions—on both sides,” Americas Society/Council of the Americas, [] )

B) The Agenda
Montealegre 12 – a Los Angeles-based Diplomatic Courier Contributor and a freelancer specializing in Latin American markets, finance, economics, and geopolitics. He holds an MA in International Relations from the University of Westminster-London (Oscar, “U.S.-Mexico Relations: Love Thy Neighbor,” Diplomatic Courier, 1/24/13, http://www.diplomaticourier.com/news/regions/latin-america/1331)// AR

Central American Instability causes global war

 * Rochlin 94 ** [James Francis, Professor of Political Science at Okanagan University College. “Discovering the Americas: the evolution of Canadian foreign policy towards Latin America,” p. 130-131]

Specifically, the plan provides momentum for Nieto’s reform agenda – US action is key
Farnsworth and Werz, 11/30/12 – Eric, vice president of the Council of the Americas and Americas Society, and Michael, Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress (“The United States and Mexico: The Path Forward,” Center For American Progress, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/security/news/2012/11/30/46430/the-united-states-and-mexico-the-path-forward/)

Plan’s a success for Nieto
Navarrette, 11/26/12 ( Ruben, “To-Do List for Obama and Mexico's New President,” CNN, [] )

Nieto is building up political capital for oil reform – major wins allow him to achieve his agenda
Archibold, 3/22/13 (“New Leader Taps Mexican Discontent to Press Agenda of Change,” NYT, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/23/world/americas/new-leader-taps-mexican-discontent-to-press-reform-agenda.html?_r=0)

Increased gas exports to Mexico will prevent LNG export approval
PEARSON and RAMIREZ 11/30/12 (Will; Global Energy Analyst – Eurasia Group and Carlos; Latin America Analyst – Eurasia Group, “Mexico – the North American Shale Revolution Heads South,” []) ww

U.S. LNG Exports tank Russia’s economy
MEAD 4/25/12 (Walter Russell; James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities – Bard College, “North American Shale Gas Gives Russia Serious Headache,” []) ww

Russian economic collapse causes extinction from global nuclear war
FILGER 5/10/09 ( Sheldon; Writer/Founder – GlobalEconomicCrisis.com, “Russian Economy Faces Disastrous Free Fall Contraction,” Huffington Post, []) ww

=Advantage 2 is NAFTA=

Trade from Mexico is set to skyrocket now
MD News (MyDesert News Service, a Gannett Company) February 10, 20 ** 13 ** “Mexico’s “Maquiladoras” are Back on the Comeback Trail” http://beschloss.blogs.mydesert.com/2013/02/10/mexicos-maquiladoras-are-back-on-the-comeback-trail/

Lack of infrastructure results in trade deterioration – collapses the NAFTA agenda
Peters 9 – Enrique Dussel, professor at the Graduate School of Economics, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (“Manufacturing Competitiveness: Toward a Regional Development Agenda,” //The Future of North American Trade Policy: Lessons from NAFTA//, Pardee Center, November 2009, http://www.ase.tufts.edu/gdae/Pubs/rp/PardeeNAFTACh2PetersManufNov09.pdf)

Lack of investment in transportation infrastructure kills NAFTA
Michael C. McClintock ( Professor of Law, Gonzaga University School of Law) 200 7 “ NAFTA'S 13TH YEAR: STEADILY INCREASING TRADE BETWEEN THE UNITED STATES AND MEXICO, TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE CRISIS, BUILDING A "DRY CANAL" ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO, AND MORE” 14 Sw. J.L. & Trade Am. 25, Lexis

The plan ensures deep North American economic integration necessary for optimum NAFTA functioning
Blank, Golob and Stanley 6 – *Stephen, Pace University, **Stephanie R., Baruch College,** *Guy, McGill University (“Staying Alive: North American Competitiveness and the Challenge of Asia,” Pace University Lubin School of Business, 10/1/06, http://digitalcommons.pace.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1077&context=lubinfaculty_workingpapers)

NAFTA is a global model for trade agreements
Pastor 4 – Robert A., Robert A., Professor at and Founding Director of the Center for North American Studies at American University (“North America's Second ` Decade,” Foreign Affairs, Jan/Feb 2004)


 * Specifically key to provide a model for TPP negotiations **

Don Cayo (writer for the Vancouver Sun) February 13 **, ** 20 ** 13 ** “NAFTA has provided a thoroughly modern template for free trade” http://www.vancouversun.com/business/NAFTA+provided+thoroughly+modern+template+free+trade/7957474/story.html


 * Now is key – negotiations are reaching a tipping point – crushes strategic Asia ‘pivot’ and US leadership **

Claude Barfield (former consultant to the office of the US Trade Representative and a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute) January 10, 20 ** 13 ** “Crunch time for the TPP” http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2013/01/10/crunch-time-for-the-tpp/


 * Asia pivot key to solve multiple hotspots from escalating to nuclear war **

Colby 11 – Elbridge Colby, research analyst at the Center for Naval Analyses, served as policy advisor to the Secretary of Defense’s Representative to the New START talks, expert advisor to the Congressional Strategic Posture Commission, August 10, 2011, “Why the U.S. Needs its Liberal Empire,” The Diplomat, online: http://the-diplomat.com/2011/08/10/why-us-needs-its-liberal-empire/2/?print=yes


 * NAFTA is key to heg and prevents protectionism – hemispheric integration and liberal institutional support **


 * Agrasoy 4 ** - Bachelor of Arts degree in International Trade and a Bachelor of Science degree in Management Information Systems from Bogazici University in Istanbul, Turkey, where he specialized in international trade and investment, Master of Arts in Economics from McGill University in Montreal, ROI Research Analyst Director of Operations, Public Sector, overseeing worldwide public sector operations at ROI (Emre, “NAFTA: as a Means of an U.S. Hegemony Creation in the Region?” May 23 2004, [|http://emreagrasoy.awardspace.com/nafta.pdf)]


 * Heg is key to global stability and accesses every major impact – Prevents Great Power War **


 * Thayer 6 **, Professor of Strategic Studies – Associate Professor of Defense and Strategic Study @ Missouri State University, Former Research Fellow @ International Security Program @ Harvard Belfer Center of Science and International Affairs (Bradley, “In Defense of Primacy,” The National Interest, November/December)


 * Protectionism will cause global wars – causes extinction **


 * Panzner 8 ** – faculty at the New York Institute of Finance, 25-year veteran of the global stock, bond, and currency markets who has worked in New York and London for HSBC, Soros Funds, ABN Amro, Dresdner Bank, and JPMorgan Chase (Michael, “Financial Armageddon: Protect Your Future from Economic Collapse,” p. 136-138)

The United States federal government should substantially increase its investment in border transportation infrastructure projects towards Mexico.
=Contention 3 Is Solvency=
 * Federal leadership is key to effective policy – only way to capitalize on relations **
 * Wilson Center 9 ** (7“THE UNITED STATES AND MEXICO: Towards a Strategic Partnership,” Woodrow Wilson Center Mexico Institute, January 2009, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/The%20U.S.%20and%20Mexico.%20Towards%20a%20Strategic%20Partnership.pdf)


 * NAFTA is awesome for jobs – **


 * A) Jobs- statistical data **


 * Lustig, 12 ** - PhD in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley, President of the Universidad de las Américas-Puebla, Senior Advisor and Chief of the Poverty and Inequality Unit, Department of Social Programs and Sustainable Development at the Inter-American Development Bank Director of the 2000/2001 World Development Report (Nora C., “NAFTA: Setting the Record Straight” 2012 Updated, http://www2.econ.iastate.edu/classes/econ455/lapan/Readings/NAFTA,%20Setting%20the%20Record%20Straight.pdf)//


 * And economists flip aff**


 * Teslik, 9** - bachelor's degree from Harvard University and an MBA from INSEAD, senior editor and commodities analyst at Roubini Global Economics, associate editor of economics for the Council on Foreign Relations, (Lee Hudson, “NAFTA's Economic Impact”, July 7, 2009 [|http://www.cfr.org/economics/naftas-economic-impact/p15790#p3)]


 * B) Rich-poor gap and infrastructure **


 * Pastor 4 ** – Robert A., Robert A., Professor at and Founding Director of the Center for North American Studies at American University (“North America's Second Decade,” Foreign Affairs, Jan/Feb 2004)


 * C) Wages **


 * Matthews 12 ** – Washington post (Dylan, “Study: NAFTA raised pay here and abroad” November 12, 2012 [])


 * D) Standards check the environment- BECC proves**


 * Lustig, 12** - PhD in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley, President of the Universidad de las Américas-Puebla, Senior Advisor and Chief of the Poverty and Inequality Unit, Department of Social Programs and Sustainable Development at the Inter-American Development Bank Director of the 2000/2001 World Development Report (Nora C., “NAFTA: Setting the Record Straight” 2012 Updated, [])


 * Mexican investment in construction non-uniques disads **


 * Conan 13 **(Rebecca Conan, Business News Americas, “Mexico's govt to invest US$23.1bn in infrastructure projects by year-end” June 21, 2013 http://www.bnamericas.com/content_syndication/extranet2/story.xsql?id_source=&id_noticia=620211&id_sector=5&Tx_idioma=I&id=987770, RLA)


 * Certainty key – without it, border delays and investment decline are inevitable **


 * U.S. Chamber of Commerce, 11 ** (“Steps to a 21st Century U.S.-Mexico Border”

__ http://www.uschamber.com/sites/default/files/reports/2011_us_mexico_report.pdf __ )


 * Plan leads to coordination with Mexico – spills over**


 * Figueroa et. al, 11** – Alejandro, Research and Policy Analyst, NACTS, with Erik Lee, Associate Director, NACTS, Rick Van Schoik, Director, NACTS (“Realizing the Full Value of Crossborder Trade with Mexico,” North American Center for Transborder Studies at ASU, 12/9/11, http://21stcenturyborder.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/realizing-the-value-of-crossborder-trade-with-mexico2.pdf)


 * Border trade is bipart**


 * Gomez, 2/4/13** (Joey, “Cornyn’s bill to boost port infrastructure wins border support”, Rio Grande Guardian, [] SW)

The border is a UQ place of economic growth- manufacturing, infrastructure, and tourism prove
Lee and Wilson, 12

Infrastructure investment in the region is key to the North American trade
Sands, 10 - Senior Fellow at The Hudson Institute (Christopher E., “If You Don't Plan, Plan to Fail,” Center for Strategic and International Studies, 6/18/2010, http://csis.org/blog/if-you-dont-plan-plan-fail)//AR

__2AC Add-Ons Read__ (to be updated during tournament)
manufacturing add on (taiwan war !) border security add on (terrorism !)

=__Negative__=

__Round 1__
1NC: 2NC/1NR: 2NR:

__Round 2: Renewables__
1NC: grid da, geo k, t- economic engagement, inherency-t, canada cp 2NC/1NR: geo k, t- econ engagement, inherency 2NR: geo k

__Round 3: Renewables__
1NC: same, except no grid da, ptx 2NC/1NR: t-econ, canada cp, k, case, ptx 2NR: t-econ engagement

__Round 4__
1NC: 2NC/1NR: 2NR:

__Round 5__
1NC: 2NC/1NR: 2NR:

__Round 6__
1NC: 2NC/1NR: 2NR: