Nadeem+and+Sam

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The Sinking of the South Korean ship proves North Korean aggression is increasing – doing nothing encourages more hostility and maintaining presence could force US war

 * Bandow, 10** – senior fellow at the Cato Institute and former special assistant to Reagan (4/18/10, Doug, “Let the Koreans Take Care of the Koreas,” [], JMP)

It has been weeks since the …. ill-prepared to defend its own personnel.

And More North Korean attacks are coming
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 * VOA News, 10** (5/31/10, “Admiral Mullen: North Korea May Attack Again,”

WASHINGTON - The chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff …..with South Korea.

AND The status quo is __fundamentally different__ – chance of a miscalculation and global conflict is possible in __five different ways__
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 * Sanger, 10** (5/28/10, David E. Sanger, NY Times, “In the Koreas, Five Possible Ways to War,”

USUALLY, there is a familiar cycle to Korea crises…… to the Middle East or Southeast Asia, or wherever else North Korea found its customers.

And U.S. presence makes provocations inevitable and guarantees our draw in

 * Bandow, 10** – Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute and former Special Assistant to Reagan (5/3/10, Doug, “Taming Pyongyang,” [], JMP)

Suspicions continue to mount that North Korea …. so in 2010 is bizarre.

And South Korea __won’t back down__ – ensures escalation
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 * AFP, 6/15** (6/5/09, “S.Korea to re-enact naval battle amid tensions,”

A multinational investigation ….20 sailors aboard was sunk.

U.S. presence actively __facilitates this belligerence__

 * Bandow, 08** – Fellow at the American Conservative Defense Alliance and former special assistant to Reagan (6/9/2008, Doug, “Ending the U.S.-Korea Alliance,” [], JMP)

Still, does an American presence …..to deter U.S. intervention.

The U.S. response to bolster deterrence will just increase provocations and make miscalculation more likely

 * Armstrong, 10 –** Professor of history and director of the Center for Korean Research at Columbia University.. (Charles, 5/26/10, CNN, “The Korean War never ended” [])

On the other hand, there is a real danger of ….the Korean War, not start it anew.

North Korea will respond by initiating __all out war__
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 * GSN, 6/4** (6/4/10, Global Security Newswire, “War Possible at Any Time, North Korea Says,”

A high-ranking North Korean diplomat said ….. as a threat aimed at staving off punishment for the incident.

Conventional weaknesses will force North Korea to resort to CBW use – either deliberate, accidental or unathorized

 * ICG, 09** (6/18/09, International Crisis Group, “North Korea’s Chemical and Biological Weapons Programs,” [], JMP)

This report examines North Korea’s chemical and biological ….WMD attacks or incidents.

North Korean bioweapon use would __spread globally__ within __six weeks__

 * Levy, 07** (6-8-07, Janet Ellen, The American Thinking, “The Threat of Bioweapons,” [], JMP)

Immediately following 9-11, an anthrax attack originating …..quantities can be developed within days.

Impact is extinction and nuclear retaliation

 * Ochs 02** – MA in Natural Resource Management from Rutgers University and Naturalist at Grand Teton National Park [Richard, “BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS MUST BE ABOLISHED IMMEDIATELY,” Jun 9, http://www.freefromterror.net/other_articles/abolish.html]

Of all the weapons of mass destruction, the genetically …. then patriotism is the highest of all crimes.

Continued presence ensures even a limited nuclear war that causes ozone disruption, global cooling, economic collapse, and spills over

 * Hayes & Hamel-Green, 10** – *Executive Director of the Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainable Development, AND **Executive Dean of the Faculty of Arts, Education and Human Development act Victoria University (1/5/10, Executive Dean at Victoria, “The Path Not Taken, the Way Still Open: Denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia,” [])**


 * The international community is increasingly ….consideration from the international community.**

Withdrawing __ground troops__ solves – stops North Korea from probing U.S. weakness to draw forces into wider conflict
Stanton, 10 **– U.S. Army Judge Advocate in Korea from 98-02 and practicing attorney in Washington, D.C. (4/12/10, Joshua, The New Ledger, “It's Time for the U.S. Army to Leave Korea,” [], JMP)**


 * Proceeding against the advice of my cardiologist, I must …. aligns with the correct result.**

Chinese involvement is key to stabilize Korea – prevents violent collapse, military response by South Korea, North Korea nuclearization and allied proliferation
Bandow, 10 **– Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute and former Special Assistant to Reagan (5/3/10, Doug, “Taming Pyongyang,” [], JMP)**


 * Second, the United States, South Korea and Japan must …. China in the North Korean issue.**

They can’t win offense – forces have already been reduced but still increase Korean instability – only a phased withdrawal prevents U.S. draw in – regional security efforts solve Korea crises
Carpenter, 09 **– vice president for defense and foreign policy studies at the Cato Institute (Ted Galen, CATO Handbook for Congress, 7th Edition, “54. East Asian Security Commitments,” [], JMP)**


 * South Korea The U.S. alliance with the …. today for keeping South Korea as a security client.**

US military overstretched now – Haiti put us on the brink
Wood 2010 **(David, Chief military correspondent, “Haiti disaster opens new front for overstretched military,” Politics Daily News Service, January 2010, []) SLV**


 * As the United States was rushing troops, …. distributing relief supplies.**

Only withdrawal solves overstretch and allows the US to prevent confrontation with great powers
BANDOW 2010 (Doug, senior fellow at the Cato Institute. A former special assistant to President Ronald Reagan, he is the author of Tripwire: Korea and U.S. Foreign Policy in a Changed World and co-author of The Korean Conundrum: America's Troubled Relations with North and South Korea, “South Korea Needs Better Defense,” Forbes, March 26, []) Calum


 * It also is in America's interest to …. of South Korea.**

Korea is the lynchpin of US overstretch – withdrawal provides needed resources
CUMMINGS 2004 (Colonel John Cummings, US Army War College, “Should the U.S. Continue to Maintain Forces in South Korea?” May 3, []) Calum


 * Neither Richard Halloran’s diplomatic options …. between our divergent perceptions.**

Overstretch makes military readiness impossible
Spencer 00 **(Jack, policy analyst for Defense and National security, Heritage foundation, “The facts about military readiness,” Readiness, “Backgrounder #1394, 9/15/00, []) SLV**


 * The pace of deployments has increased …. resulting in decreased readiness.**

Decline in readiness kills heg
Spencer 00 **(Jack, policy analyst for Defense and National security, Heritage foundation, “The facts about military readiness,” Readiness, “Backgrounder #1394, 9/15/00, []) SLV**


 * America's national security requirements…. thereby preserving peace.**

Heg key to de-escalate conflict and prevent great power war – multiple internal links
Thayer 6 **Bradley A., November/December, “In Defense of Primacy,” NATIONAL INTEREST Issue 86**


 * THROUGHOUT HISTORY, peace and stability …. the equivalent of a blitzkrieg.**

Specifically, overstretch creates great power competition
Florig, 10 - **Hankuk University of Foreign Studies (Dennis, “Hegemonic Overreach vs. Imperial Overstretch,” 2/6, http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID1548783_code1259934.pdf?abstractid=1548783&mirid=1)**


 * There is an even larger question than …. the U.S. is particularly prone to massive miscalculation.**

Nuclear war
Gray, 05 **– Professor of International Politics and Strategic Studies, and Director of the Center for Strategic Studies, at the University of Reading (Spring 2005, Colin S., Parameters, “How Has War Changed Since the End of the Cold War?” http://www.carlisle.army. mil/usawc/parameters/05spring/gray.htm)**


 * 6. Interstate War, Down but Far from Out ….“fear, honor, and interest.”23**

North Korea will proliferate – US micromanaging fails
Carpenter 2009 **– PhD in diplomatic history from Texas, vice president for defense and foreign policy studies at Cato, contributing editor to the National Interest, editorial board of the Journal of Strategic Studies (Tad Galen, Cato Institute Handbook for Policymakers, 7th edition, “54. East Asian Security Commitments”, page 563, http://www.cato.org/pubs/handbook/hb111/hb111-54.pdf, WEA)**


 * The ongoing North Korean nuclear crisis …. proliferation problem.**

==Only a commitment to withdrawal troops will motivate South Korea and China to stabilize and denuclearize the peninsula – this avoids accidental conflict with China, preserves larger U.S. deterrence and stops friction with Japan== Garfinkle, 03 **– taught American foreign policy and Middle East politics at the University of Pennsylvania and is editor of The National Interest (1/27/03, Adam, National Review, “Checking Kim,” [], JMP)**


 * NO NORMAL DIPLOMACY The U.S. finds itself in an ….We can help them do so.**

North Korean Missile prolif fuels terrorist nuclear capability.
Bandow and Carpenter 2004 **– *JD from Stanford, senior fellow at Cato, former special assistant to Reagan, writes for Fortune, National Interest, WSJ, Washington Times,** PhD in diplomatic history from Texas, vice president for defense and foreign policy studies at Cato, contributing editor to the National Interest, editorial board of the Journal of Strategic Studies (Ted Galen and Doug, “The Korean conundrum”, Google Books, pages 96-97, WEA)

Although the prospect of North Korea …. to rogue states.”122

Nuclear terrorism causes global nuclear war

 * Speice, 2006** (Patrick, J.D. Candidate 2006, Marshall-Wythe School of Law, College of William and Mary, “NEGLIGENCE AND NUCLEAR NONPROLIFERATION: ELIMINATING THE CURRENT LIABILITY BARRIER TO BILATERAL U.S.-RUSSIAN NONPROLIFERATION ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS,” William & Mary Law Review, Feb, l/n)

The potential consequences of the …. the use of nuclear weapons.

US nuclear response destroys the nuclear taboo—this makes worldwide nuclear wars inevitable
GIZEWSKI 1996 (Peter, Senior Associate, Peace and Conflict Studies Programme, University of Toronto, International Journal, Summer, p. 400) Calum Absolute and all-encompassing, …. more destruction to come.

North Korea prolif will include ballistic missiles – they have access to the technology

 * Hildreth 08** (Steven, Specialist in missile defense and non-proliferation foreign affairs, defense and trade division, “North Korean Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States, Jan 24th, 2008, []) SLV

Some experts voice concern over North ….they use proven missile designs from other countries.

Nuclear war
[Stephen, Distinguished Prof. Pol. Sci. – Penn. State Brandywine, Comparative Strategy, “Anticipatory Attacks: Nuclear Crisis Stability in Future Asia”, 27, InformaWorld] If the possibility existed of a mistaken preemption during …. of major interstate warfare.
 * Cimbala, 2008**

U.S. presence is useless to deter North Korea – withdrawal will motivate South Korea and China to stabilize and de-nuclearize the peninsula

 * Erickson, 10** – Executive Director of CenterMovement.org (5/6/10, Stephen, “End the Cold War in Korea: Bring American Troops Home Before it’s Too Late,” [], JMP)

On the night of March 26 the South Korean 1,200-ton …. to be brought home before it’s too late.