Aden+Barton+and+Ben+Jablonski

Email us at aden.barton20@montgomerybell.edu or ben.jablonski18@montgomerybell.edu if you have any questions

1ac: Mes- Standard Trade Advtange, Relations with Warming, ME, and Nuke Mod

The US will break its legal obligation to treat China as a Market Economy in 2016---removing this barrier now promotes resilient relations and a rules-based trade order
Watson 14 – JD from Tulane University Law School, and an LLM in international and comparative law from the George Washington University Law School (K William, “Will Nonmarket Economy Methodology Go Quietly into the Night?,” CATO Policy Analysis, No. 763)//BB President Obama has an important decision to make between now and December 11, 2016 AND U.S. influence in the rules-based global trading system.

The plan jump-starts relations without damaging US industries
Frisbie 16 - president of the US-China Business Council (USCBC) since November 2004, has more than 25 years of experience in business and government relations with China, including nearly 10 years living and working in Beijing, BA and MBA degrees from the University of Texas at Austin he received several National Resource Fellowships for language study and is fluent in Mandarin Chinese (John, with Erin Ennis, Senior Vice President of the US-China Business Council, “Is China A “Market Economy”? It Doesn’t Matter.,” http://www.uscnpm.org/blog/2016/05/09/is-china-a-market-economy-it-doesnt-matter/)//BB// // Based on the headlines in the trade press recently, you might get the idea // // AND // // certain sectors and //ensuring that US-China relations remain on stable footing//.

Graduating China to a market economy __before the deadline__ and __without condition__ solves US-China relations and promotes global trade liberalization
Watson 14 – JD from Tulane University Law School, and an LLM in international and comparative law from the George Washington University Law School (K William, “Will Nonmarket Economy Methodology Go Quietly into the Night?,” CATO Policy Analysis, No. 763)//BB Ending NME Altogether While history tells us that U.S.–China trade AND to the United States’ role as a leader in the global trading system.

Plan
====The United States federal government should, through engagement with the People’s Republic of China, end the use of non-Market Status methodology in anti-dumping calculations on the People’s Republic of China.====

A1 – trade
Two scenarios – First is trade wars

Failure to grant market-status leads to an escalatory trade conflict
Goldhaber 15 – JD @ Yale, ‎Senior International Correspondent at The American Lawyer (Michael, “The U.S. Offensive in the China Trade War,” The American Lawyer, Lexis)//BB The normally conciliatory American Chamber of Commerce in China suggested last fall that China is AND caught in the cross-fire, and it won't be the last.

A US-China trade war wrecks __global__ trade norms---causes military conflict
Beams 16 – member of the International Editorial Board of the World Socialist Web Site, and an internationally-recognised expert on Marxist political economy. He has written extensively and delivered public lectures in many countries on the global financial crisis, globalisation and the collapse of the USSR (Nick, “Economic Conflicts Threaten Global Trade War,” http://www.globalresearch.ca/economic-conflicts-threaten-global-trade-war/5528689)//BB// // The ongoing stagnation in the global economy, marked by falling investment and the emergence // // AND // // slump is likewise fuelling conflicts that threaten to //erupt into another global conflagration//.

Interdependence solves great power-wars
Drezner 16 – professor of international politics @ Tufts (Daniel, “Five Known Unknowns about the Next Generation Global Political Economy,” http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2016/05/future-global-political-economy-drezner/ios-drezner-web.pdf) __Multiple scholars have observed a secular decline in____interstate violence in recent decades.__ 105 AND allocate more scarce resources towards their militaries. Scenario Two is WTO Cred

Independently, failure to grant MES causes China to opt-out of WTO obligations
Winters 16 - Professor of Economics at the University of Sussex and former Chief Economist at the Department for International Development (L. Alan, January 20, Borderlex interview with L. Alan Winters, INTERVIEW: L. Alan Winters on China MES – “a coordinated view would look like the rest of the world is ganging up on China”, http://www.borderlex.eu/interview-l-alan-winters-china-market-economy-status/)//SLR// // Q: What happens if the EU and the West more broadly do not grant // // AND // // give you market economy status”, I feel that would be //awfully aggressive//.

Chinese buy-in to WTO norms is key to long-term survival of the WTO
Brown 9 - Associate Professor in the Department of Economics and International Business School at Brandeis University and a Non-Resident Fellow in the Global Economy and Development Program at the Brookings Institution (Chad, “U.S.--China Trade Conflicts and the Future of the WTO,” 33 Fletcher F. World Aff. 27, Lexis)//BB// // This is why the WTO rules that limit any U.S. retaliation are // // AND // // is a //critical element to the long-term survival of the WTO//.

WTO solves nuclear war---provides lines of communication and provides a mean for conflict disputes
Hamann 9 - associate in Lewis, Roca, Rothberger’s Litigation Practice Group, J.D. from Vanderbilt University Law School (GEORGIA L. Hamann, May 2009, “Replacing Slingshots with Swords: Implications of the Antigua-Gambling 22.6 Panel Report for Developing Countries and the World Trading System”, http://www.vanderbilt.edu/jotl/manage/wp-content/uploads/hamann-cr_final_final.pdf)//BB// // Voluntary compliance with WTO rules and procedures is of the utmost importance to the international // // AND // // keenly aware of the responsibility they //have to uphold the organization’s credibility// .108

Loss of WTO credibility leads to regional trade alliances
Bradford 10 - Assistant Professor, University of Chicago Law School (Anu, “When the WTO Works, and How It Fails,” 51 Va. J. Int'l L. 1)//BB Finally, while some attempts to conclude the Doha Round have failed because there were AND might serve states' future needs in an increasingly complex economic and political landscape.

Regional trade alliances empirically increase the risk of war-wrecks international cooperation
Cho 6 - SJD @ Harvard Law, LLM – International Economic Law @ Michigan Law, MPA – Seoul National University, LLB – Seoul National University, Professor of International Economic Law @ IIT Chicago-Kent, consultant to the South Korean government's Ministry of Trade, Industry, and Energy, and former WTO negotiator (Sungjoon, “Defragmenting World Trade,” Fall, Lexis)//BB// //I. INTRODUCTION: THE "SPAGHETTI BOWL" CRISIS// //__ The global trading community __// //__ AND __// //__ global market." __ n275 __ Defragmenting world trade is __//__the key to this convergence//__.

The plan promotes sustainable US-China cooperation---it’s comparatively the most important gesture to China, and defuses other areas of tension
Ikenson 12 – MA in economics @ GWU, former director of international trade planning for an international accounting and business advisory firm (Daniel, “Trade Policy Priority One: Averting a U.S.-China “Trade War”,” Free Trade Bulletin, No. 47)//BB U.S. policymakers — with the help of a sympathetic media — scapegoat AND go a long way toward stopping and reversing the recent deterioration of relations.

No alt causes---market-economy status creates __momentum__ to __resolve other kinks__ in the relationship
Watson 16 – JD from Tulane University Law School, and an LLM in international and comparative law from the George Washington University Law School (K William, “Eleven Months Left to Revoke China’s Nonmarket Economy Status,” http://www.cato.org/blog/eleven-months-left-revoke-chinas-nonmarket-economy-status)//BB The WTO Antidumping Agreement lays out detailed rules for how members can implement antidumping measures AND growth and international peace by ending the NME charade as soon as possible.

Economics outweighs security
Wyne 15 – Adjunct staff @ RAND, Fellow @ Atlantic Council, MPP @ Harvard (Ali, “The Strategic Importance of U.S.-China Trade Ties,” Carnegie Council, http://www.carnegiecouncil.org/publications/ethics_online/0106)//BB At the end of March 2015, the commander of the U.S. AND of governance, and compatible understandings of history, to name a few.

Specifically---the plan sustains cooperation over __Korea__, the __Middle East__ and __climate change__
Deynoot 16 – MA International Conflict and Security @ Kent; Consultant, EU Public Affairs @ Weber-Shandick (Christiaan, “Towards China’s Market Economy Status,” April, http://webershandwick.be/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Weber-Shandwick-Report-Towards-China-Market-Economy-Status_April-2016.pdf)//BB As it currently stands, the prospect of any quick agreement between the three economies AND as they remain committed to salvaging their position as global standard-setters.

US-China climate cooperation solves warming
Atlantic Council 13 (September,Working Group Members: Chu Shulong, Deputy Director, Institute of International Strategic and Development Studies, Tsinghua University • Da Wei, Director, Institute of American Studies, China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations • Du Lan, Assistant Research Fellow, Department of American Studies, China Institute of International Studies • Huang Ping, Director General, Institute of American Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences • Jin Canrong, Professor and Associate Dean, School of International Studies, Renmin University of China • Liu Qing, Associate Research Fellow, Department of American Studies, China Institute of International Studies • Qu Xing, President, China Institute of International Studies • Ruan Zongze, Vice President, China Institute of International Studies • Wang Fan, Director, Institute of International Relations, Mathew Burrows, former Counselor, US National Intelligence Council; Director, Strategic Foresight Initiative, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council • Thomas Fingar, Oksenberg-Rohlen Distinguished Fellow, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University • Banning Garrett, Strategic Foresight Senior Fellow for Innovation and Global Trends, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council • Sherri Goodman, Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary, CNA • Barry Hughes, Professor and Director, Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver • Robert Manning, Senior Fellow, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council • Paul Saffo, Consulting Professor, Stanford University; Senior Fellow, Strategic Foresight Initiative, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council • Jonathan Woetzel, Director, McKinsey & Company • Casimir Yost, former Director, Strategic Futures Group, US National Intelligence Council China Foreign Affairs University • Wang Yizhou, Associate Dean, School of International Studies, Peking University China-US Cooperation: Key to the Global Future, http://www.ciis.org.cn/english/2014-01/13/content_6606656.htm)//SLR// // Cooperation on climate change mitigation, adaptation, and consequence management. //China-US AND// US businesses as well as lower costs and widely disseminate clean energy technologies.

Warming is real, anthropogenic, and threatens extinction --- prefer __new evidence__ that represents __consensus__
Griffin 15 (David, Claremont philosophy professor, “The climate is ruined. So can civilization even survive?”, 4-14, []) Although most of us worry about other things, climate scientists have become increasingly worried AND //the whole world to replace dirty energy with clean as soon as possible.//

US-China cooperation over the Middle East solves conflict
__China, the United States, and the Middle East form a triangle__. __All__ __AND__ __lessons from its own economic growth, which regional governments would likely welcome__.
 * Alterman 11 ** (Jon B. Alterman is a senior vice president, holds the Zbigniew Brzezinski Chair in Global Security and Geostrategy, and is director of the Middle East Program at CSIS., “U.S.-China Relations: Cooperating and Contending Over the Middle East” Center for Strategic and International Studies, Middle east program, 2011, https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/legacy_files/files/publication/110617_Alterman_ChinaExecSummary.pdf)//wm

That solves nuclear war
(James A., “Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Escalation and Nuclear War in the Middle East” IFRI, Proliferation Papers, #26, http://www.ifri.org/downloads/PP26_Russell_2009.pdf) __Strategic stability__ in the region __is thus undermined by__ various factors: (1) AND the peoples of the region, with substantial risk for the entire world.
 * Russell 9 ** - Russell, Senior Lecturer, National Security Affairs, Naval Postgraduate School

Relations are key to stopping nuclear modernization – solves global nuclear war
Shaping China’s military development Improved relations with China would allow the U.S. AND an arms control regime that //considerably lowers the risk of nuclear war// .44
 * Gross, 13** - adjunct fellow of Pacific Forum CSIS, former Senior Advisor to the Under Secretary for International Security Affairs in the Department of State, former Counselor of the U.S. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency (Donald, __The China Fallacy: How the U.S. Can Benefit from China’s Rise and Avoid Another Cold War__, p. 62

Chinese nuclear modernization means they can’t be deterred and causes war
Even against a conventionally armed weaker power, such an early escalation of conflict would AND gain by the nuclear modernization might give them added resolve in a crisis.
 * Christensen, 15 –** William P. Boswell Professor of World Politics of Peace and War and Director of the China and the World Program at Princeton(Thomas, __The China Challenge: Shaping the Choices of a Rising Power__, p. 85-86)

Past 2nrs: Elections, Xi good, Xi bad, Steel DA, Appeasement.

Past 1nc Offense: Elections, Xi good, Xi bad, Steel DA, Appeasement, Dip Cap, Glaser CP, T uncondo, T QPQ, T eng, Consult Japan, Steel QPQ CP, Eng PIC( I think that's all but I might be forgetting some)