ACHM+BFJR+Andres+Jar

If you are on this page it's probably cuz you really like sharks, I do too. And for everyone else here's the 1AC.

=1AC Venezuela Oil=

=1ac Plan=

Venezuelan state control of oil limits investment – kills growth & democracy; exacerbates oil shock crisis – U.S. action reverses the trend
Goldwyn, 13 --- President, Goldwyn Global Strategies, LLC (4/11/2013, David L., “The Impact of the Tight Oil and Gas Boom on Latin America and the Caribbean: Opportunities for Cooperation,” House Committee on Foreign Affairs; Subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere; “Energy Opportunities in Latin America and the Caribbean” [], JMP) The unconventional revolution ... are ultimately unsustainable .’

Status Quo Venezuela policy risks state failure causing terrorism, proliferation and regional conflict
Manwaring ‘5 – adjunct professor of international politics at Dickinson (Max G., Retired U.S. Army colonel, Venezuela’s Hugo Chávez, Bolivarian Socialism, and Asymmetric Warfare, October 2005, pg. PUB628.pdf) President Chávez also__...__ __ peace, and prosperity __.65

Specifically Russian cooperation with Venezuela makes prolif likely
Garner 10 – Staff editor for the International Affairs Review (Calvin, “Venezuela’s nuclear program – the alarmists are right,” International Affairs Review, 12/13/10, http://www.iar-gwu.org/node/240) //JG Venezuela’s national as... program seems questionable.

That results in WMD terrorism on the U.S.
Anderson, 08 (10/8/2008, Curt, AP, “US officials fear terrorist links with drug lords,” []) MIAMI — There is... to come together."

WMD terror escalate to Nuclear wars
Ayson 10 - Professor of Strategic Studies and Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies: New Zealand at the Victoria University of Wellington (Robert, “After a Terrorist Nuclear Attack: Envisaging Catalytic Effects,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 33.7, InformaWorld)//BB But these two... a devastating response.

US-Russian nuclear war leads to extinction
FRUMKIN AND HELFAND 2012 (Howard Frumkin, MD, DrPH, School of Public Health, University of Washington; Ira Helfand, MD, Physicians for Social Responsibility, “A Prescription for Survival: Prevention of Nuclear War,” American Journal of Preventive Medicine, March, Science Direct) **__ Still __**__, it is**...** __**__ could become extinct __**.

Latin American instability leads global war
Rochlin ‘94 [James Francis, Professor of Political Science at Okanagan U. College, //Discovering the Americas: The Evolution of Canadian Foreign Policy Towards Latin America//, 130-131, Wake Early Bird File] While there were... the next chapter.

U.S. resources and expertise are key
Farnsworth, 13 --- vice president of the Council of the Americas and Americas Society (4/11/2013, Eric, “ENERGY SECURITY OPPORTUNITIES IN LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN, HEARING BEFORE THE HOUSE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS SUBCOMMITTEE ON THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE, [], JMP)

More broadly, the // ... // rule of law.

Maduro took back his statement – He wants engagement, not aggression
NH, 7/23 – 36 time Award-winning, Spanish-language daily newspaper in the nation's third-largest Hispanic market, (July 23rd, 2013, //el Nuevo Herald// “Venezuela urges U.S. to stop attacks” http://translate.google.com/translate?hl=en&sl=es&u=http://www.elnuevoherald.com/2013/07/23/1528247/venezuela-pide-a-eeuu-cesar-agresiones.html&prev=/search%3Fq%3Dvenezuela%2Bkerry%26client%3Dfirefox-a%26sa%3DX%26rls%3Dorg.mozilla:en-US:official%26biw%3D1280%26bih%3D643%26tbs%3Dqdr:h)//JES CARACAS, Venezuela - President ... up to them ".
 * Translated w/ google translate

Large-scale rapprochement not likely now but oil investment could catalyze stronger relations
Metzker, 6/17 (6/17/2013, Jared, “Analysts Say // Oil Could Help Mend //// U.S.-Venezuela Relations //,” [], JMP) WASHINGTON, Jun 17... where it is going.”

U.S. energy engagement solves --- political and economic changes make Maduro’s acceptance likely
Shifter, 13 --- Adjunct Professor of Latin American Studies at Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service (3/11/2013, Michael, “The Empire Makes Nice: Is it time for a Venezuela reset?” [], JMP) Four years ago... because he could.

This is critical to boost U.S. influence and mold the regional economic framework
Goldwyn, 13 - -- President, Goldwyn Global Strategies, LLC (4/11/2013, David L., “The Impact of the Tight Oil and Gas Boom on Latin America and the Caribbean: Opportunities for Cooperation,” House Committee on Foreign Affairs; Subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere; “Energy Opportunities in Latin America and the Caribbean” [], JMP) III. The Impact ... this critical issue.

This will boost U.S. standing in important Latin American regional forums
Delahunt, 12 --- chairman of the Venezuela-US Friendship Group and retired U.S. Representative (10/30/2012, William, “A new role for the US and Venezuela,” [], JMP) The recent election//...// // such an initiative //.

Latin American relations key to solve proliferation, climate change, and insure economic growth. Only engagement solves.
Zedillo, et al 08 --- Commission Co-Chair for the Brookings Institute Report on the Partnership for the Americas and former President of Mexico [Ernesto Zedillo, Thomas R. Pickering, etc, Rethinking U.S.–Latin American Relations A Hemispheric Partnership for a Turbulent World. Report of the Partnership for the Americas Commission, The Brookings Institution, November 2008, [], ENDI File] The Need for... by its absence.

Failure to rebuild ties on oil issues allows China to solidify its stronghold and use oil as a diplomatic weapon against the U.S.
Hurst, 08 --- political-military research analyst with the Foreign Military Studies Office and a Lieutenant Commander in the United States Navy Reserve (9/8/2008, “China's Global Quest for Energy; Rocky U.S. Relationship with Venezuela is Playing into China's Energy Policy Despite The Ocean Between Them,” [|www.thecuttingedgenews.com/index.php?article=740&pageid=&pagename]=, JMP) The U.S. rocky... stretch its resources.

Chinese energy security in Latin America leads to major power war with America
Salameh, 11 --- international oil economist, a consultant to the World Bank in Washington, DC on energy affairs and a technical expert of the United Nations Industrial Development Organization in Vienna (Second Quarter 2011, Mamdouh G., International Association for Energy Economics, “China’s Oil “Adventure” into Venezuela,” [|www.iaee.org], JMP) China’s Global Oil... to the United States.

**U.S. assistance prevents __exclusive__ Chinese influence**
Fillingham, 13 --- Managing Editor & Asia Analyst and MA in Chinese Studies from the School of Oriental and African Studies in London (3/10/2013, Zachary, “Post-Chavez US-Venezuelan Relations: Headed for a Thaw?” [], JMP) Current polls indicate... opportunity presents itself.

That also prevents a collapse in U.S. hegemony
Elton, 10 (8/19/2010, Doug, “What would happen if Chavez cut off the US from Venezuelan oil?” [], JMP) The international game//... fuel global change. //

Venezuelan engagement is a pre-requisite to revitalize U.S. diplomacy and credibility
Griffin 13 -- a Crimson editorial writer (John A., “Engage with Venezuela”, The Harvard Crimson, 4/3, http://www.thecrimson.com/article/2013/4/3/Harvard-Venezuela-Chavez-death/)//BJ When Venezuelan President... them with honey.

Decline in U.S. Credibility Undermines U.S. Hegemony
APSA 09 (American Political Science Association, “U.S. Standing in the World: Causes, Consequences, and the Future”, Task Force Report, September 2009) As at the... to lose it.

US primacy prevents global conflict – diminishing power creates a vacuum that causes transition wars in multiple places
Brooks et al 13 [Stephen G. Brooks is Associate Professor of Government at Dartmouth College.G. John Ikenberry is the Albert G. Milbank Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton University in the Department of Politics and the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs. He is also a Global Eminence Scholar at Kyung Hee University.William C. Wohlforth is the Daniel Webster Professor in the Department of Government at Dartmouth College. “Don't Come Home, America: The Case against Retrenchment”, Winter 2013, Vol. 37, No. 3, Pages 7-51,@http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/abs/10.1162/ISEC_a_00107, GDI File] A core premise... their strategic choices.

The U.S. can maintain hegemonic influence in Latin America __if it plays its cards right__ – immediate action is key
Valencia, 11 (Robert, COHA Research Fellow, “After Bin Laden’s Demise, Are U.S.-Latin American Relations At Bay Again?,” Council on Hemispheric Affairs, 5/20/11, http://www.coha.org/after-bin-ladens-demise-are-u-s-latin-american-relations-at-bay-again/, Tashma) Nevertheless, President __ Obama ... ____ of the region. __