Harrison+Schwartz+and+Evan+Ouyang

toc =1ac - korea=

1ac - plan
Plan - The United States federal government should diplomatically engage the People’s Republic of China by offering to withdraw US military presence from the Korean peninsula in exchange for China securing peaceful unification of the Korean peninsula.

Advantage 1 - Collapse
The wait-and-see approach towards North Korea is unsustainable – delays ensure collapse or uncoordinated interventions, either cause a second Korean war Kydd 2015 – Prof of Political Science at UW Madison

Andrew H, “Pulling the Plug: Can There Be a Deal with China on Korean Unification?”, The Washington Quarterly Volume 38, Issue 2, 2015, p 63-77 The U nited S tates and South Korea have largely abandoned negotiations for a policy of waiting AND path for the Korean Peninsula is coordination on the details likely to succeed.

Collapse opens a nuclear Pandora’s box Spector 2015 - Executive Director of the Middlebury Institute of International Studies’ James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies

Leonard, "The Future Impact of North Korea’s Emerging Nuclear Deterrent on Nuclear Nonproliferation," November, 38north.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/NKNF-Spector-Emerging-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf Civil Unrest The potential for proliferation involving North Korea’s growing nuclear arsenal must also consider AND 25
 * __grave for Kim Jong Un and the North Korean people alike.__**

Collapse causes loose nukes and bioterror Lind 2015 - Prof of government at Dartmouth

Jennifer, "Korean Unification: Before the Bonanza," Feb 12, http://38north.org/2015/02/jlind021215/ But aside from bulls and bears, there’s an 800-pound gorilla in the AND
 * __fissile material, pathogens, and toxic chemicals could disappear across international borders.__**

No checks can prevent lashout by Kim and the spread of WMDs to terrorists Peters 2015 - Research Fellow, joined the Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction

Robert, "The WMD Challenges Posed by a Collapse of North Korea," Apr 15, 38north.org/2015/04/rpeters041415/ The most time consuming and manpower intensive operational task AND coupled with very significant manpower //[human capital]// requirements could prove insurmountable.
 * Edited for gendered language

Kim will go down swinging, using CBWs to kill millions Kazianis 2016 - former Exectuive Editor of the National Interest

Harry, "Why the World Should Fear North Korea's Biological Weapons," Jan 18, nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/why-the-world-should-fear-north-koreas-biological-weapons-14951 While the world might be worried about all things North Korea—especially its growing AND Food for thought every time the world’s attention turns to the Korean peninsula.

Cooperation is necessary to ensure peaceful reunification Terry 2014 - former analyst at the CIA and a Senior Research Scholar at Columbia University’s Weatherhead East Asian Institute

Sue Mi, A Korea Whole and Free, July/Aug 2014 Foreign Affairs But it is a mistake to conclude that reunification should therefore be avoided. Contrary AND Korea and its partners should be able to handle the fallout of collapse.

Advantage 2 - Unification
Through either a carrot or a stick, __China’s leverage is necessary__ to force out North Korean leadership and ensure a peaceful transition Kydd 2015 – Prof of Political Science at UW Madison

Andrew H, “Pulling the Plug: Can There Be a Deal with China on Korean Unification?”, The Washington Quarterly Volume 38, Issue 2, 2015, p 63-77 Finally, what about North Korea itself? Pyongyang's leadership would definitely be opposed to AND , the United States and China must first address their legacy of mistrust.

However, China won’t push for regime change and unification absent US concessions – risking a nuclear war on the peninsula Kydd 2015 – Prof of Political Science at UW Madison

Andrew H, “Pulling the Plug: Can There Be a Deal with China on Korean Unification?”, The Washington Quarterly Volume 38, Issue 2, 2015, p 63-77 What kind of deal could enlist Chinese support for unification at a price tolerable to AND , China is unlikely to misinterpret the Korean case as setting a precedent.

It is the only way to provide stability in North East Asia, prevent nuclear conflict, and lift 25 million people from poverty Terry 2014 - former analyst at the CIA and a Senior Research Scholar at Columbia University’s Weatherhead East Asian Institute

Sue Mi, “A Korea Whole and Free,” July/Aug 2014 Foreign Affairs The real fear of South Koreans, however, is not that Seoul won’t be AND the Soviet Union and the United States divided it at the 38th parallel.

A nuclear war on the peninsula would kill millions, involve massive amounts of fallout, and risk escalation Mount 2015 - Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relation

Adam, The Strategic Logic of Nuclear Restraint, Survival: Global Politics and Strategy Volume 57, Issue 4, 2015, p. 53-76 As things stand today, the most plausible scenario for US nuclear use is in AND neighbouring countries. An invasion of North Korea would be all but impossible.

Independently, the plan bolsters the Korean economy Terry 2014 - former analyst at the CIA and a Senior Research Scholar at Columbia University’s Weatherhead East Asian Institute

Sue Mi, “A Korea Whole and Free,” July/Aug 2014 Foreign Affairs But the greatest benefits for the South would be economic. Reunification would be far AND United States -- would benefit immensely from this newfound source of economic vitality.

Korean economic leadership key to global growth, green economy, cybersecurity, prolif, terror, and climate Many __issues today require unprecedented international cooperation__. The **__prolif__** eration of weapons of mass destruction AND __connected world. And South Korea stands ready and willing to do so.__
 * Kim, 13** – Sung-han, Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Republic of Korea (“Global Governance and Middle Powers: South Korea’s Role in the G20,” CFR, February 2013, [] //red)

=**Neg Debates:**=

Neg vs SSA:
1NC: Japan DA and T QPQ 2NR: Japan DA

Neg v ISS:
1NC: Elections DA and T QPQ 2NR: Elections DA

Neg v Arctic:
1NC: Elections DA, Appeasement DA, and UNCLOS CP 2NR: Elections DA

Neg v ISS:
1NC: Elections DA, Espionage DA, Low-level coop CP 2NR: Elections DA