DW+John+and+Lily

** Cuban attempts at offshore drilling are inevitable – only a rapid U.S. response can prevent spills **
Bert and Clayton 12 – Melissa, 2011-12 Military Fellow, U.S. Coast Guard, and Blake, Fellow for Energy and National Security (“Addressing the Risk of a Cuban Oil Spill,” March, [|http://www.cfr.org/cuba/addressing-risk-cuban-oil-spill/p27515)//SEP]

** Status quo efforts are insufficient to stop an oil spill – general and pre-approved licenses are needed to solve **
CDA, 12 – Center for Democracy in the Americas, nonprofit devoted to changing American policy towards the countries of the Americas (“Not Like Oil and Water: Cuba and the U.S. Can Cooperate on Drilling,”http://cubacentral.wordpress.com/2012/09/07/not-like-oil-and-water-cuba-and-the-us-can-cooperate-on-drilling/)//SEP

Alternative methods of spill containment fail in Cuban waters – only U.S. techniques solve
Bert and Clayton, 12 – Melissa, 2011-12 Military Fellow, U.S. Coast Guard, and Blake, Fellow for Energy and National Security (“Addressing the Risk of a Cuban Oil Spill,” March, [] )//SEP

** Oil spills are very likely without advanced U.S. drilling technology – which no country can use under the embargo **
Davenport, 11 (Coral, National Journal, “Drill, Bebe, Drill,” 7/28, http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/will-sloppy-drilling-off-the-coast-of-cuba-threaten-florida-gulf-beaches--20110728)//SEP

Cuban oil spill devastates Florida’s ecosystem without U.S. intervention
Stephens and Colvin, 11 – Sarah, Executive Director of the Center for Democracy in the America, and Jake, VP for Global Trade Issues at the National Foreign Trade Council (“US-Cuba policy, and the race for oil drilling,” 9/29, [|http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/foreign-policy/184661-us-cuba-policy-and-the-race-for-oil-drilling)//SEP]

Oil spill casts the final blow to Florida’s coral reefs– even a few days delay would be catastrophic
(Kaylee, “ What if Cuba’s Offshore Oil Project, Only 100 Miles From Florida, Goes Wrong?”, Popular Mechanics, November 2, 2011, [|http://www.popularmechanics.com/science/energy/coal-oil-gas/what-if-cubas-offshore-oil-project-only-100-miles-from-florida-goes-wrong)//TWR]
 * Thompson, 11 **** - ** Freelance writer focused on science, environmental, and outdoor stories

Ocean biodiversity key to survival
Craig, 3 - Attorneys’ Title Professor of Law and Associate Dean for Environmental Programs at Florida State University (Robin Kundis, “ARTICLE: Taking Steps Toward Marine Wilderness Protection? Fishing and Coral Reef Marine Reserves in Florida and Hawaii,” McGeorge Law Review, Winter 2003, 34 McGeorge L. Rev. 155)

Now is key – China is shoring up influence in Cuba
Boston Globe, 2/9 (“Cuba’s reforms pave way for new US policy, too”, 2013, http://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/editorials/2013/02/09/cuba-reform-create-opportunity-drag-policy-into-century/xER2NTTXGsxdLej0miHwFM/story.html)

Cooperative drilling is critical for relations – energy has strategic significance for both countries
Grogg, 12 – IPS (Patricia, citing Luiz Rene Fernandez, Senior Research and Professor at University of Havana in International Economics, “Cuba: Oil Drilling Opens Up New Possibilities”, 2/16, [] )//SEP

Cooperative drilling boosts U.S. stature and influence in Latin America and prevents Chinese incursion
Benjamin-Alvadaro, 6 – **Professor of Political Science at University of Nebraska at Omaha**
 * (** Jonathan, Report for the Cuban Research Institute, “The Current Status and Future Prospects for Oil Exploration in Cuba: A Special,” http://cri.fiu.edu/research/commissioned-reports/oil-cuba-alvarado.pdf)

Chinese influence in Latin America causes Taiwan war
Fergusson, 12 – Researcher at Royal Society for the Arts, Master of Science, China in the International Arena, University of Glasgow **(**Robert, “The Chinese Challenge to the Monroe Doctrine,” http://www.e-ir.info/2012/07/23/does-chinese-growth-in-latin-america-threaten-american-interests/)

Taiwan is uniquely likely to escalate to nuclear war – risk of miscommunication and misunderstanding is high
Lowther, 3/16 (William, Taipei Times, citing a report by the Center for Strategic and International Studies, “Taiwan could spark nuclear war: report,” [] )

Advantage 3: Cuban Economy
U.S. embargo makes drilling slow and ineffective now Krauss & Cave, 12 (Clifford and Damien, New York Times, “Cuba’s Prospects for an Oil-Fueled Economic Jolt Falter With Departure of Rig,” 11/9, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/world/americas/rigs-departure-to-hamper-cubas-oil-prospects.html)

Venezuelan cutoff is inevitable and devastates Cuba’s economy overnight – offshore drilling solves
CDA, 11 – Center for Democracy in Americas, nonprofit devoted to changing U.S. policy towards the countries of the Americas, (CAs Cuba plans to drill in the Gulf of Mexico, U.S. policy poses needless risks to our national interest,” http://democracyinamericas.org/pdfs/Cuba_Drilling_and_US_Policy.pdf)//MM

Venezuelan oil discount is unsustainable – Maduro will be susceptible to domestic pressure to reduce aid
Keppel, 13 - Economist, writer, and producer with a focus on the Americas, MA International Affairs, Columbia University (Stephen, “What Chávez's Death Means for Cuba, Venezuela and the U.S.” ABC News, March 16, 2013, [] )

Offshore oil development leads to Cuban political and economic stability
Pinon, 11 – Visiting Research Fellow at the Latin American and Caribbean Center’s Cuban Research Institute at FIU (Jorge, Spring, "Why the United States and Cuba Collaborate (and What Could Happen If They Don't)," casgroup.fiu.edu/pages/docs/2157/1306356964_Hemisphere_Vol._20.pdf)//SEP

Developing just a few wells solves Cuban dependence on Venezuela
Katusa, 11 (Marin, 11/1, 321Energy, “Will Offshore Oil Lubricate U.S.-Cuban Relations?” ttp://www.321energy.com/editorials/casey/casey110111.html)//SEP

Cuban instability results in Latin American instability and terrorism
Gorrell, 5 – Lieutenant Colonel (Tim, “CUBA: THE NEXT UNANTICIPATED ANTICIPATED STRATEGIC CRISIS?” 3/18, [])

Caribbean instability causes bioterrorism and LNG explosions
Bryan, 1 – Director of the Caribbean Program, North/South Center & Stephen, Senior Fellow Council of Foreign Relations (Anthony T., “Terrorism, Porous Borders, and Homeland Security: The Case for U.S.-Caribbean Cooperation,” 10-21, http://www.cfr.org/publication/4844/terrorism_porous_borders_and _homeland_ security.html)

Single LNG tanker explosion is equal to fifty-five Hiroshima bombs – outweighs nuclear war
Lovin,1 (Amory B., Chief Scientist of the [|Rocky Mountain Institute], and L. Hunter Lovin, President – National Capitalism and Co-Founder – Rocky Mountain Institute, “Brittle Power: Energy Strategy for National Security”, http://verdilivorno.it/doc_gnl/198204_Brittle_Power_intro_GNL_note.pdf)

President has the authority to license American companies to develop offshore oil
Pascual & Huddleston, 9 – Carlos, VP and Director of Foreign Policy, Brookings Institute, and Vicki, Visiting Fellow (“CUBA: A New policy of Critical and Constructive Engagement”, April, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/reports/2009/4/cuba/0413_cuba.pdf)

Cuba welcomes U.S. investment in oil development
CDA, 11 – Center for Democracy in the Americas, nonprofit devoted to changing U.S. policy towards the countries of the Americas, (“As Cuba plans to drill in the Gulf of Mexico, U.S. policy poses needless risks to our national interest,” http://democracyinamericas.org/pdfs/Cuba_Drilling_and_US_Policy.pdf)//AK

General licensing is key to ensuring companies have full access to U.S. technology and personnel in case of a spill
CDA, 11 - Center for Democracy in the Americas, nonprofit devoted to changing American policy towards the countries of the Americas, (9/9, “Cuba Drilling and U.S. Policy,” http://democracyinamericas.org/pdfs/Cuba_Drilling_and_US_Policy.pdf) //AK

We've gone for the PTX (immigration), Oil, and the Neolib K in the 2NRs in past debates.