Magi+Ortiz+&+Talia+Blatt

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Plan
====Plan: The United States federal government should substantially increase its diplomatic and economic engagement with the People's Republic of China over the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank with the purpose of joining the bank.====

China Rise
====China's rise is inevitable —- U.S. failure to seek membership in the AIIB sends the signal that it doesn't want to integrate China into global economic governance and crushes America's ability to shape the global order==== The United States has sensibly declared its intention to rebalance towards the Asia-Pacific AND writ large—than, respectively, excluding China and shunning its efforts.
 * Wyne, 15** —- contributing analyst at Wikistrat, and a global fellow with the Project for the Study of the 21st Century (4/7/15, Ali, "The American World Order and China's New Bank," http://warontherocks.com/2015/04/the-american-world-order-and-chinas-new-bank/, article downloaded on 5/3/16, JMP)

U.S. concerns over Chinese governance prevents efforts to positively reform the AIIB and facilitate multilateralism and deep cooperation with China
China's growing economic clout is complicating US efforts to maintain its grip on the world's AND route for deepening cooperation between the US and the People's Republic of China.
 * Edwards & Qahir, 15** —- *Associate Professor of Diplomacy and International Relations, Seton Hall University, AND **Diplomacy graduate student at Seton Hall (4/6/15, Martin & Katayon, "US should stop blocking China's AIIB and join allies in new club," https://theconversation.com/us-should-stop-blocking-chinas-aiib-and-join-allies-in-new-club-39406, article downloaded 4/23/16, JMP)

====Engaging on the AIIB is critical —- it's the focal point for China's expanded international role and flexible negotiations - cooperation will help resolve Myanmar conflict and spillover to cyber security and the South China Sea==== In 2011, U.S. president Barack Obama announced plans to "pivot AND . cooperation. Development lending could prove a minimally politically sensitive testing ground.
 * Noori, et. al, 15** —- Program Specialist, Middle East & North Africa Programs at United States Institute of Peace (8/24/15, Maral Noori, Daniel Jasper and Jason Tower, "Overcoming Barriers to U.S.-China Cooperation," http://www.usip.org/publications/2015/08/24/overcoming-barriers-us-china-cooperation, downloaded on 4/21/16, JMP)

The suspicious atmosphere allows military conflict to erupt at any time —- joining the AIIB allows both sides to manage competition to prevent war
The relationship between the United States and China has rightly been described as the most AND a marriage in which divorce is not an option. Divorce means war.
 * Shambaugh, 15** – professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University, and a nonresident senior fellow at the Brookings Institution (David, "In a fundamental shift, China and the US are now engaged in all-out competition," South China Morning Post, 6/11/15, http://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1819980/fundamental-shift-china-and-us-are-now-engaged-all-out?page=all //Red+JMP)

South China Sea conflict goes nuclear
Christensen 6/5/15 – Thomas J., Boswell professor of world politics and director of the China and the World Program at Princeton University, is a former U.S. deputy assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs, "China's Rising Military: Now for the Hard Part" http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-06-05/china-s-rising-military-now-for-the-hard-part One reason for this is that no consensus exists in East Asia on the territorial AND conditions in which a technologically superior foe attacks crucial targets with conventional weapons.

Independently, China will be forced to turn to aggressive military actions without a bilateral AIIB – plan enhances overall multilateral relations
When China first proposed creating the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) in 2013 AND encourage, not discourage, Chinese foreign policy initiatives such as the AIIB.
 * Lipscy, 15** —- Assistant Professor of Political Science and the Thomas Rohlen Center Fellow, Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University (5/7/15, Phillip Y., "Who's Afraid of the AIIB; Why the United States Should Support China's Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank," https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2015-05-07/whos-afraid-aiib, downloaded 4/23/16, JMP)

Multilateralism is an impact filter – increased relations between the great powers deters all conflict
Herd 10 (Graeme P., Head of the International Security Programme, Co-Director of the International Training Course in Security Policy, Geneva Centre for Security Policy, "Great Powers: Towards a "cooperative competitive" future world order paradigm?," in Great Powers and Strategic Stability in the 21st Century, 2010, p. 197-198) Given the absence of immediate hegemonic challengers to the US (or a global strategic AND contributed to the crisis; all will be involved in the solution.24

Failure to recalibrate U.S. economic policy toward diplomatic solutions with China risks miscalculation that triggers great power conflict
Nye suggests that the greatest threat to U.S. influence may not be AND world order." Here's to hoping that the United States heeds that judgment.
 * Wyne, 15** —- contributing analyst at Wikistrat and a global fellow at the Project for the Study of the 21st Century (6/1/15, Ali, "Is America's Mind-set the Greatest Threat to Its Future?" http://nationalinterest.org/feature/america%E2%80%99s-mind-set-the-greatest-threat-its-future-13004?page=show, article downloaded 5/3/16, JMP) ***Joseph Nye is a professor at the Harvard Kennedy School and one of the most esteemed analysts of world affairs

Ensuring peaceful rise is necessary to prevent World War 3 —- lack of engagement on AIIB has wrecked U.S. leadership
It is very worrying for the world that American policy makers should be capable of AND us hope the appropriate lessons are learned. Pax Americana is still needed.
 * Lehmann, 15** —- Emeritus Professor at IMD, Lausanne (Switzerland), currently Visiting Professor at Hong Kong University and at NIIT University in Neemrana, Rajasthan (India) (4/2/15, Jean-Pierre Lehmann, "China And The US: The AIIB Fiasco &amp; America's Colossal Loss Of Face," http://www.forbes.com/sites/jplehmann/2015/04/02/china-and-the-us-the-aiib-fiasco-americas-colossal-loss-of-face/print/, article downloaded 6/14/16, JMP)

Warming
====The choices made in Asian infrastructure development now will determine the future of global warming – expanding renewable energy markets and building sustainable and climate resilient infrastructure through the AIIB are key to keep warming in check==== The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (the AIIB or the Bank) is poised AND long-term commercial benefits for many members of the AIIB.
 * Nassiry and Nakhooda 16** – Darius Nassiry, head of the international cooperation department at the Global Green Growth Institute, investment manager with the Norwegian Investment Fund for Developing Countries (Norfund) Center for Global Development, Smita Nakhooda, international finance to support developing countries to respond to climate change, "The AIIB and the investment in action," 4/13/2016, https://www.odi.org/sites/odi.org.uk/files/resource-documents/the_aiib_and_investment_in_action_final_20160413.pdf//TK

And the aff causes a global alt energy movement – spills over and creates a global model that solves climate change
//Can China's Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) fix climate change? Yes.// //AND// //to climate change replicable elsewhere. Deals like this don't occur every day.//
 * Taggart 15** - principal of Sydney, Australia-based Grenatec, a non-profit research organization studying the viability of a Pan-Asian Energy Infrastructure (Stewart Taggart, 3/31/2015, "Can China's Infrastructure Bank Solve Climate Change?," http://grenatec.com/can-chinas-infrastructure-bank-solve-climate-change)//TK//

//**====And AIIB success will kickstart global finance and lending institutions to increase sustainable development====**// //**Elgin-Cossart and Hart '15** - Senior Fellow and Director of China Policy at American Progress. She focuses on U.S. foreign policy toward China and works to identify new opportunities for bilateral cooperation, particularly on energy, climate change, and cross-border investment - Senior Fellow at American Progress, where she works on issues involving foreign policy, international development, and global conflict (Center for American Progress, "China's New International Financing Institutions Challenges and Opportunities for Sustainable Investment Standards," September 2015, https://cdn.americanprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/21140703/RaceToTheTop-brief.pdf)// JB­­­ In recent years, China has moved into development finance in a very big way AND banks, and in the process, create a race to the top.

Consensus of global scientists agree – warming is real, anthropogenic and happening now
Human-caused climate change is happening and is accelerating; dangerous impacts are becoming AND to inform Americans about the scientific consensus regarding the realities of climate change.
 * Maibach et al '14** Distinguished Professor of Communication at George Mason University and Director of the Center for Climate Change Communication at GMU. (Edward Maibach, Teresa Myers, Anthony Leiserowitz, "Climate Scientists need to set the Record Straight: There is a scientific consensus that human caused climate change is happening," 5/7/14, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013EF000226/full)//NH

Climate change will be catastrophic and result in human extinction
In the Online Journal of Space Communication, Dr. Feng Hsu, a NASA AND our Sun" (Hsu 2010) (Fig. 2.1).
 * Flournoy Ph.D. 12** – Professor at the University of Ohio, Ph.D. and M.A. from the Univeristy of Texas, Postgraduate Associateship at the University of London, B.A. from Southern Methodist University, Editor of the Online Journal of Space Communications. Citing Dr. Feng Hsu, Senior Engineer and Manager at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center (Don M., Ph.D., SpringerBriefs in Space Development, "Solar Power Satellites," 2012, Springer)//JSL

U.S. should engage China to join the AIIB —- allows it to exert net more influence
A growing number of countries are joining the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank AND working quietly with China, to ensure that it actually does.
 * Knight, 15** —- Faculty Director of the SIS Honors Program and Assistant Professor at American University's School of International Service and expert on international political economy (4/3/15, Sarah Cleeland Knight, "The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank – Three Questions for Sarah Cleeland Knight," http://www.american.edu/sis/news/20150403-3Q-Cleeland-Knight-Asian-Infrastructure-Investment-Bank.cfm, article downloaded 5/11/16, JMP)

The plan will rebalance the relationship with China —- preventing a collision between the rising powers
LEE: And at the same time, you know, there is interesting AIIB AND which does come back to leadership. MABRY: Mmm hmm. Excellent.
 * Lee & Fullilove, 5/17/16** —- *President, East Asia Institute (South Korea), AND **Executive Director, Lowy Institute for International Policy (Australia) (Michael, "Crisis in Global Governance: A Conversation with Richard N. Haass and the Council of Councils," http://www.cfr.org/global-governance/crisis-global-governance-conversation-richard-n-haass-council-councils/p37852, article downloaded 5/30/16, JMP)

IMF reform isn't enough —- U.S. will have to address China's growing influence through the AIIB

 * Soergel, 6/10/15** —- Economy Reporter at U.S. News (Andrew, "Amid U.S. Paralysis, China Cashing In; While Congress has failed to move forward with IMF reforms, Beijing is poised to boost its banking power," http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2015/06/10/asian-infrastructure-investment-bank-chinas-answer-to-western-marginalization, article downloaded on 6/7/16, JMP) ***Note —- Rajiv Biswas is Asia-Pacific chief economist at IHS Global Insight, an economic analysis firm In the meantime, China – a country whose say in the IMF is now almost comically dwarfed by smaller economies like the U.K., France, Germany and Japan – appears to be fed up with being marginalized and waiting for Congress to make a move. Enter the AIIB. Through it, China gains not only more influence, but more power through that influence. "The situation within the IMF and the World Bank is limiting the ability of China to use its increased economic size to put more liquidity into these institutions, which is not good for these institutions. And it's not good for developing countries because it means the size of the lending capabilities of the world banks is rather restricted," Biswas says. "I think what it means for developing countries is the true size of the Chinese economy can come to bear in terms of capital funding and development." How the new bank will be governed has not been finalized, though a report this week from The Wall Street Journal cited "people close to the institution" as saying China will have veto power over major decisions in the AIIB, possibly similar to America's veto power in the IMF. "Initial indications are that China and India will most likely have significant voting rights," Biswas says. "And the total voting rights of all Asian member countries will be well above 50 percent of the total AIIB voting rights." The U.S. hasn't publicly attacked the formation of the AIIB or its international partners who intend to be part of it, although an unnamed U.S. official in March sparked backlash by telling the Financial Times that the U.K. was developing "a trend toward constant accommodation of China" when the British announced interest in joining the AIIB. "We clearly haven't made the decision to join," White House spokeswoman Jen Psaki said shortly after the U.K. announced its plan to partner with the new bank. "We believe that, while there's a need to enhance infrastructure around the world, that multilateral institutions should have the highest standards that the international community has built." The U.S. has, however, been accused of unsuccessfully pressuring its Western allies to steer clear of the new investment bank. Officials reportedly have raised questions about China's ability to govern the union in a noncorrupt manner, though American pleas have largely fallen on deaf ears as the AIIB is offering something U.S. pressure can't really compete with. "We're offering the world market access and democracy, and the Chinese are offering the world cash. It's the old story: Does the girl marry for love or for money?" Morici says. "Nation-states tend to marry for money, unless they feel an existential threat." China will also command a leading role in the New Development Bank, an institution similar to the IMF that would be spearheaded by the BRICS countries: Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. Through these new institutions and its investment of $40 billion into a Silk Road infrastructure project, Beijing will be able to increasingly flex its economic prowess without the restrictions placed on it by the IMF and World Bank. For other countries, joining the AIIB is as much about funding development as it is showing a willingness to play ball with Asia's adolescent economic titans. "Many EU nations as well as several developed countries in the Asia-Pacific have joined the AIIB," Biswas says. "They see this as an important opportunity to build business opportunities for their firms and financial institutions in the fast-growing Asian markets." And now, even if Congress spontaneously approves IMF reforms and decides to finally share its toys, it'll be too little, too late. Beijing went out and got its own toys to play with, and the U.S. and the Western world will have to come to terms with China's continued emergence and influence.

U.S. involvement will allow AIIB to safeguard its independence from China, develop higher standards and transparency, reverse perception of containment and boost the credibility of its Asia rebalance
China's new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) has been the source of considerable AND improve the AIIB as a member, instead of opposing the bank altogether.
 * Lazarus, 3/2/16** —- MA candidate at The Fletcher School, Tufts University (Leland, "Why the U.S. Should Embrace the AIIB; There are compelling reasons for the U.S. to join China's new development bank," http://thediplomat.com/2016/03/why-the-u-s-should-embrace-the-aiib/, article downloaded 4/24/16, JMP)

Loopholes and loose regulations in the AIIB now could cause backsliding – only U.S. involvement can correct course and ensure environmentally friendly regulations
Unfortunately, the AIIB's draft environmental and social framework, released last week, does AND as well as the comparative advantage of each institution in undertaking specific projects.
 * Elgin-Cossart and Hart '15** - Senior Fellow and Director of China Policy at American Progress. She focuses on U.S. foreign policy toward China and works to identify new opportunities for bilateral cooperation, particularly on energy, climate change, and cross-border investment - Senior Fellow at American Progress, where she works on issues involving foreign policy, international development, and global conflict (Center for American Progress, "China's New International Financing Institutions Challenges and Opportunities for Sustainable Investment Standards," September 2015, https://cdn.americanprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/21140703/RaceToTheTop-brief.pdf)// VM

The plan solves – leverages empirically successful US-Chinese cooperation to cut GHG emissions
Continuing to maintain that stance would be a mistake. The United States has an AND United States is well placed to play a constructive role in that endeavor.
 * Mauro '15**- senior fellow at Peterson Institute for International Economics (Paolo Mauro, Peterson Institute for International Economics, "Why America Should Join the AIIB," 6/12/15, https://piie.com/commentary/op-eds/why-america-should-join-aiib)//NH

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1NC
Off case: Pan K, Elections DA, Japan DA, Allied Prolif DA, Containment DA, AIIB CP, EU CP, T QPQ, T Categories. Offense: Apocalyptic Rhetoric on case.

Past 2NR's
Pan K, Elections