MisaSita

1AC Mexico
Advantage 1 is Relations

Energy cooperation is key to a SUSTAINABLE partnership – boosts regional economy, solves Mexican violence and reverses Latin anti-US sentiment Reyes 13 – JD, member of the USA Today Board of Contributors (Raul, April, “Opinion: President Obama has the chance to improve US/Mexico relations,” http://nbclatino.com/2013/04/29/opinion-president-obama-has-the-chance-to-improve-usmexico-relations/)BB  Obama will arrive in…not on its problems.

 Thinking BEYOND security is key – energy cooperation overcomes alternate impediments and creates a resilient partnership  Miller and DeLeon 9 - *Stephanie, consultant on U.S.-Latin America relations and was formerly the Research Associate for the Americas Project on the National Security Team. Born in Venezuela with family from Colombia, Miller earned her degree from Duke University in International Comparative Studies with a focus on Latin America. She currently lives in Bogotá, Colombia, Rudy, Senior Vice President of National Security and International Policy at American Progress  (“Transcending the Rio Grande,” http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2009/04/pdf/mexico.pdf)BB  The U.S.-Mexico relationship is ready…in ¶ the hemisphere

 SEQUENCING is vital – CLIMATE cooperation FIRST spills over to the rest of relations  Donnelly 10 – Program Associate, Mexico Institute @ Wilson Center  (Robert, “U.S.-Mexico Cooperation on Renewable Energy: Building a Green Agenda,” http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/us-mexico-cooperation-renewable-energy-building-green-agenda)BB  Discussant Johanna Mendelson Forman…export-import financing.

 Only Obama solves – reverses Anti-US sentiment throughout Latin America  Valencia 13 - New York-based political analyst and is a contributing writer for Global Voices Online <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> (Robert, “U.S. and Latin America: Economic Cooperation without Militarization?,” http://www.worldpolicy.org/blog/2013/05/20/us-and-latin-america-economic-cooperation-without-militarization)BB <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> In May, President Barack Obama…security integration amongst themselves.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> US-Mexico climate cooperation prevents Latin skirmishes from escalating to war <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Barry 13 – senior policy analyst at the Center for International Policy, where he directs the TransBorder project, he specializes in immigration policy, homeland security, border security and the outsourcing of national security, has authored or co-authored more than twenty books on Mexico, Central America, the Caribbean, food aid, the United Nations, free trade and U.S. foreign policy <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> (Tom, “Changing Perspectives on US-Mexico Relations,” http://truth-out.org/news/item/16221-changing-perspectives-on-us-mexico-relations)BB <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> It’s unfortunate that the two…shared interests and responsibilities.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Impact is global war <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Rochlin ‘94 [James Francis, Professor of Political Science at Okanagan U. College, Discovering the Americas: The Evolution of Canadian Foreign Policy Towards Latin America, 130-131, Wake Early Bird File] <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> While there were economic motivations…in the next chapter.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Relations solve border terrorism and drug networks <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Storrs 6 (K. Larry Storrs, Specialist in Latin American Affairs, Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division of CRS, 1/18/2006 “Mexico’s Importance and Multiple Relationships with the United States”, [])JG <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Sharing a 2,000-mile border…health, environment, and energy issues.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> The impact is an attack on US soil <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> McCaul 12 – JD @ St. Mary’s, former federal prosecutor <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> (Michael, “A LINE IN THE SAND: COUNTERING CRIME, VIOLENCE AND TERROR AT THE SOUTHWEST BORDER,” UNITED STATES HOUSE COMMITTEE ON HOMELAND SECURITY, Lexis)BB <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Terrorism remains a serious threat…weapon of mass destruction.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Nuclear war <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Ayson 10 - Professor of Strategic Studies and Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies: New Zealand at the Victoria University of Wellington <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> (Robert, “After a Terrorist Nuclear Attack: Envisaging Catalytic Effects,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 33.7, InformaWorld)BB <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> But these two nuclear worlds…with a devastating response.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Independently, a US economic crisis is coming <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> DeLong 13- Professor of Economics at the University of California, Berkeley, a Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, and a Visiting Fellow at the Kauffman Foundation (J. Bradford, “The Second Great Depression: Why the Economic Crisis is Worse Than You Think”, July/August 2013 Foreign Affairs)Beddow <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Despite its many virtues…in the years ahead.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Latin energy connectivity is key to growth <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Noriega and Cardenas 12 – *Former US State Dept Official, director with Vision Americas <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> (“An action plan for US policy in the Americas,” December, http://www.aei.org/outlook/foreign-and-defense-policy/regional/latin-america/an-action-plan-for-us-policy-in-the-americas/)BB <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Key points in this Outlook: <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">America’s economic crisis and threats…more prosperous United States.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">United States growth prevents great power nuclear war. <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Khalilzad, ’11 [Zalmay Khalilzad was the United States ambassador to Afghanistan, Iraq, and the United Nations during the presidency of George W. Bush and the director of policy planning at the Defense Department from 1990 to 1992, “ The Economy and National Security”, 2-8-11, []] <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">We face this domestic challenge…crisis that we face today.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Economic decline triggers nuclear war <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Harris and Burrows 9 (Mathew, PhD European History at Cambridge, counselor in the National Intelligence Council (NIC) and Jennifer, member of the NIC’s Long Range Analysis Unit “Revisiting the Future: Geopolitical Effects of the Financial Crisis” [], AM) <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Of course, the report encompasses...dog-eat-dog world.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Advantage 2 is Warming

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Global warming is real and human induced – top climate scientists agree <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Anderegg et al 10 – PhD Candidate @ Stanford in Biology <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">(William, “Expert credibility in climate change,” National Academy of Sciences, p. 12107-12109)BB <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Preliminary reviews of scientific literature…regarding anthropogenic climate change.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Action now averts extinction <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Morgan 9 – professor at Hankuk University of Foreign Studies (Dennis Ray, “World on Fire: Two Scenarios of the Destruction of Human Civilization and the Possible Extinction of the Human Race”, 2009)Beddow <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">As horrifying as the scenario of human extinction…industrial civilization and nature.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Warming is an existential risk – quickening reductions is key to avoiding extinction <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Mazo 10 – PhD in Paleoclimatology from UCLA <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">(Jeffrey Mazo, Managing Editor, Survival and Research Fellow for Environmental Security and Science Policy at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London, 3-2010, “Climate Conflict: How global warming threatens security and what to do about it,” pg. 122)BB <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> The best estimates for global warming…profound social, cultural and political changes.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Technical assistance for renewables significantly reduces greenhouse gases <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> COCEF 12 - La Comisión de Cooperación Ecológica Fronteriza <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> (“Energy Efficiency, Renewable Energy and Transportation: Project Opportunities in the U.S. – Mexico Border Region,” http://www.cocef.org/Eng/VLibrary/Publications/SpecialReports/BECC%20WP%20%20Nov%202011%20index.pdf)BB <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">This white paper describes the current deficit…experienced program manager.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Warming isn’t inevitable- CO2 emission cuts now solve <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Desjardins 13 (Clea, “Global Warming: irreversible but not inevitable”, Concordia University, []SJ) <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> There is a persistent misconception…critical to motivate change.”

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Mexico is key:

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> First – production – they have ENORMOUS renewable energy potential <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Wood 10 – PhD in Political Studies @ Queen’s, Professor @ ITAM in Mexico City <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> (Duncan, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, http://www.statealliancepartnership.org/resources_files/USMexico_Cooperation_Renewable_Energies.pdf)BB <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">The North American context…private sector¶ development of renewable resources

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Second – technology transfer – Mexico will spread the green tech globally <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">ENS 12 – Environmental News Service <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">(“U.S., Canada, Mexico Vow ‘Continental’ Energy Grid,” http://www.reepedia.com/archives/4568)BB <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> The leaders of the United States…North American energy trade.”

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Third – international cooperation – Mexican leadership leads to GLOBAL climate agreements <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> O’Neill 13 – PhD in Government @ Harvard, senior fellow for Latin America Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, a nonpartisan foreign-policy think tank and membership organization <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> (Shannon, “Mexico Makes It: A Transformed Society, Economy, and Government,” Foreign Affairs, 92.2)BB <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">If Mexico addresses these challenges…climatechange accords.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Plan: The United States federal government should provide renewable energy assistance to Mexico through the Border Environmental Cooperation Commission.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Contention 3 is Solvency

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">An expanded BECC role quickly facilitates a Mexican green economy <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">COCEF 12 - La Comisión de Cooperación Ecológica Fronteriza <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">(“Energy Efficiency, Renewable Energy and Transportation: Project Opportunities in the U.S. – Mexico Border Region,” http://www.cocef.org/Eng/VLibrary/Publications/SpecialReports/BECC%20WP%20%20Nov%202011%20index.pdf)BB <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> SECTION 4: BECC – THE BORDER TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE PROVIDER…technical assistance in the focus sectors.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Renewables solve quickly – outside expertise is key <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Carus 13 - UK journalist, regularly reporting on clean energy policy and finance from California for a global audience <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> (Felicity, “Mexico offers tantalising prospect of a dawning major market,” http://www.pv-tech.org/editors_blog/mexico_offers_tantalising_prospect_of_a_dawning_major_market)BB <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Solar investors in the US…gas pipelines,” said Hanhausen.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Renewables can solve global warming <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Bose 10 (Bimal K. Bose, The Condra Chair of Excellence in power electronics at the University of Tennessee, March 2010, “Global Warming: Energy, Environmental Pollution and the Impact of Power Electronics”, Industrial Electronics Magazine, IEEE 4.1 JG) <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Nuclear power is claimed to be…utilization of electrical energy.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> China is going green now <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Yang 12 – World Resources Institute <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> (Ailun, “What Is The Future Of King Coal In China?” http://insights.wri.org/news/2012/10/what-future-king-coal-china) <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> China’s great thirst for coal…clean and low-carbon future.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> Mexico supports investment <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;"> World Energy 8 (Allan T. Marks, “Mexico Offers Diverse Opportunities for Investment in Renewable Energy”, http://sitemaker.umich.edu/ipe2012/files/0208_mexico_offers_diverse_opportunities_world_energy.pdf)lm <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Investors seeking opportunities…in renewable¶ energy projects.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">US aid to Mexico high now in non-energy areas <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Janes 13 (Jared Janes, Reporter for The Monitor, 2/4/13, “Cuellar: U.S. aid to Mexico should continue”, http://www.themonitor.com/news/local/article_72349d54-6e60-11e2-898e-001a4bcf6878.html//DH) <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">U.S. aid allocated under the Merida…the assistance to Mexico.”

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">1AC Cuba
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Contention 1 is transition

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Cuban reforms are inevitable but the loss of external investment risks economic and social collapse – offering normal trade relations is vital
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Ashby 13, Senior Research Fellow at the Council on Hemispheric Affairs. He served in the U.S. Commerce Department's International Trade Administration as Director of the Office of Mexico and the Caribbean and acting Deputy Assistant Secretary of Commerce for the Western Hemisphere(Timothy, "Preserving Stability in Cuba After Normalizing Relations with the United States – The Importance of Trading with State-Owned Enterprises" 3/29/13, Council on Hemispheric Affairs, http://www.coha.org/preserving-stability-in-cuba-timothy-ashby/)//AD

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Cuba under Raúl Castro…as well as SOEs. ====<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Cuban collapse destroys the global war on terror and makes conflicts in hotspots around the globe more likely – specifically risks war over Korea and Africa ==== <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Gorrell, 5 - Lieutenant Colonel, US Army, paper submitted for the USAWC STRATEGY RESEARCH PROJECT (Tim, “CUBA: THE NEXT UNANTICIPATED ANTICIPATED STRATEGIC CRISIS?” [] GWOT=Global War on Terrorism

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Regardless of the succession…to post-Castro Cuba?

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Hotspots all risk escalation to global nuclear war
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Bosco 2006 (a senior editor at Foreign Policy magazine, David, July 2006, “Forum: Keeping an eye peeled for World War III” [])

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">The understanding that small…would respond militarily.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Korean war escalates and goes nuclear
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">STRATFOR ‘10 (International Think Tank, “North Korea, South Korea: The Military Balance on the Peninsula,” http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20100526_north_korea_south_korea_military_balance_peninsula, May 26, 2010)

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">So the real issue…escalates much further.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">So does Africa
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Glick ‘7- Senior Middle East Fellow – Center for Security Policy (Caroline, “Condi’s African Holiday”, 12-12, [|http://www.centerforsecuritypolicy.org/home.aspx?sid=56&categoryid=56&subcategoryid=90&newsid=11568])

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">The Horn of Africa…Sudan and Kenya.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Independently, enforcing the embargo itself undermines the war on terror
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Johnson, et al, 10 – Andy Johnson is a director in the national security program at The Third Way (“End the Embargo of Cuba”, The National Security Program, 9/6/10, [|http://content.thirdway.org/publications/326/Third_Way_Memo_-_End_the_Embargo_of_Cuba.pdf)//EX]

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Keeping the embargo in place…path for engaging Cuba.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Greater focus and resources to counter-terrorism is vital – WMD terrorism risks are increasing
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Clark, 13 - Bruce Clarke is a retired Army Colonel with extensive strategic, operational and tactical experience. He is widely published on a myriad of strategic and operational subjects. Immediately prior to his retirement from the Army, Colonel Clarke was the Director of US National Security Studies at the US Army War College (Bruce, The Examiner, “ The end to the war on terrorism--really?” 5/28, [])

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">I have been struck by the response…when they get them.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">This risks extinction
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Ayson 10 - Professor of Strategic Studies and Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies: New Zealand at the Victoria University of Wellington <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">(Robert, “After a Terrorist Nuclear Attack: Envisaging Catalytic Effects,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 33.7, InformaWorld)//BB

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">But these two nuclear worlds…with a devastating response.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Contention 2 is multilateralism

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">US leadership is unsustainable without a highly visible commitment to multilateralism
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Lake, 10– Professor of Social Sciences, distinguished professor of political science at UC San Diego (David A., “Making America Safe for the World: Multilateralism and the Rehabilitation of US authority”, [])//NG

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">The safeguarding of US authority…new world order.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">The plan is a powerful symbol of that commitment
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Burgsdorff, 9– Ph. D in Political Science from Freiburg University, EU Fellow at the University of Miami (Sven Kühn von, “Problems and Opportunities for the Incoming Obama Administration”, [])//NG

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">6.3 How would the international…steps towards effective multilateralism.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">The alternative to multilateralism is unilateral militarism – the plan establishes a model for hemispheric diplomacy that sustains US leadership
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Grandin 10 – teaches history at New York University and is a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences (Greg, “Empire's Senescence: U.S. Policy in Latin America,” New Labor Forum, 19:1, Winter 2010, pg. 14-23)//SJF

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Washington’s relations with Latin America…paralysis quicken the U.S.’s fall.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">The plan creates a credible model for multilateral conflict resolution
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Dickerson 10 – Lieutenant Colonel, US Army, paper submitted in fulfillment of a Master of Strategic Studies Degree at the US Army War College (Sergio M, “UNITED STATES SECURITY STRATEGY TOWARDS CUBA,” 1/14/10, http://www.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a518053.pdf)//SJF <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">At the international political level…peace for years to come.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Multilat leads to global coop and power sharing – solves war
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Pouliot 11—Professor of Political Science at McGill University (Vincent Pouliot, “Multilateralism as an End in Itself,” International Studies Perspectives (2011) 12, 18–26)//NG

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Because it rests on open…for multilateral dialog. Pg. 21-23

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Multilateralism prevents nuclear war with rising Asian powers
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">- unilat -> mil backlash b/c Asian powers want to rise <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">- but multilat solves that – coop with cina <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Kugler, 6– Professor of World Politics at Claremont Graduate University (Jacek, “The Asian Ascent: Opportunity for Peace or Precondition for War?”, [])//NG

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Given the fundamental importance…from a nuclear war

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Multilateralism prevents extinction – also independently solves colonization
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Masciulli 11—Professor of Political Science at St Thomas University (Joseph, “The Governance Challenge for Global Political and Technoscientific Leaders in an Era of Globalization and Globalizing Technologies,” Bulletin of Science, Technology & Society February 2011 vol. 31 no. 1 pg. 3-5)//NG

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">What is most to be feared…longer term agendas. Pg. 4-5

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Thus, the plan: The United States federal government should normalize its economic relations with Cuba.
<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Contention 3 is solvency

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">The unconditional offer of normal trade relations boosts US-Cuban relations and fosters a stable transition <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Koenig, 10 – US Army Colonel, paper submitted for a Masters in Strategic Studies at the US Army War College (Lance, “Time for a New Cuba Policy” []) <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">The option with the greatest possibility…nations of the Americas.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Any step short of unconditional removal won’t create the same symbol of multilateralism <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Vivanco 6- LLM from Harvard Law School, Americas director of Humans Rights Watch <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">(Jose Miguel, “Restraint, not force, will bring change to Cuba”, humans rights watch, 12/22/06, [], google scholar)//KW

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">This reluctance would be understandable…stop looking like David.

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Diaz-Canel won’t change anything <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Wilkinson, 13 – chair of the International Institute for the Study of Cuba (Stephen, “ What Will a New Generation of Leadership Mean for Cuba?” 3/6, [])

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">A: Stephen Wilkinson, chairman…die is a waste of time."

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Continued embargo empowers Cuban repression against its own people, promoting inequality and disposability <span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">CSG ’13 (Cuba Study Group, Restoring Executive Authority Over U.S. Policy Toward Cuba February 2013, http://www.cubastudygroup.org/index.cfm/files/serve?File_id=45d8f827-174c-4d43-aa2f-ef7794831032)

<span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Helms-Burton has failed to advance…and market economies.xi