Alisa+&+Daniel


 * Mayport **


 * Plan: the United States federal government should increase its investment in transportation infrastructure necessary to sustain a homeport for a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier at Naval Station Mayport. **

**inherency**

**The Navy is funding upgrades at Naval Station Mayport now but has canceled funding necessary to permanently base carriers—that leaves the entire fleet vulnerable due to concentration at Norfolk** **THE HILL 6-27-2012** (“Navy move to Mayport still unaffordable, says Greenert,” [] ) __The Navy still cannot .....stationed in Norfolk__.

**Status quo takes out your DA’s but not the plan- The Navy is committed but has no funding**

**ADC 12 –** Association of Defense Communities (“No Funds Requested to Ready Mayport for Aircraft Carrier,” FEBRUARY 14, 2012, [|http://www.defensecommunities.org/headlines/no-funds-requested-to-ready-mayport-for-aircraft-carrier/#)#SPS]

The Defense Department did not include construction AND ,” Crenshaw said in a written statement.

heg

**Carrier reductions are coming now—maintaining the fleet is key to US power**

Thompson 09, Chief Operating Officer at the Lexington Institute, PhD in government from Georgetown, (Loren, March 10th, “Navy Will Offer Up Carrier & Air Wing in Quadrennial Review”, [] )

Of course, today's carriers ... doesn't make much sense.

**Terrorism, natural disasters, foreign attack, and accidents all threaten US naval power—creation of a second carrier port is key to prevent this and increase readiness**

**O’ROURKE 6-14-2012** (Ronald, Specialist in Naval Affairs with the Congressional Research Service, “Navy Nuclear Aircraft Carrier (CVN) Homeporting at Mayport: Background and Issues for Congress,” [] )

A Final Environmental Impact Statement (FEIS) o... **mission** and obligation to the

**Basing at Mayport independently increases deployment speed, fleet redundancy, and operational flexibility**

**G.A.O. 2010** (DEFENSE INFRASTRUCTURE Opportunities Exist to Improve the Navy’s Basing Decision Process and DOD Oversight, May, [] )

According to Navy officials, the Department of the Navy made its recent decision to homeport a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier at Naval Station Mayport using its strategic laydown and strategic dispersal processes and its environmental plan ning ....

• strategic and operational flexibility.

**Mayport basing enhances surge capacity**

**NAVFAC 2008** (Naval Facilities Engineering Command, NAVFAC Southeast, “Final EIS for the proposed homeporting of additional surface ships at Naval Station Mayport, FL Vol I: Final Environmental Impact Statement,” November, [] )

The purpose of the proposed .... hours transit time of local operating areas.

**Surge capacity is key to Naval power**

**GLOBAL SECURITY 2011** (“Fleet Response Plan,” May 7, [] )

The Fleet Response Plan, .... operations and maintenance.

**Even if carrier reliance is bad, we won’t change it – it’s only a question of effectiveness**

**REUTERS 5-6-10** (“Navy to Gates: Yes, we need 11 aircraft carriers,” [] )

"The Navy remains ... he said in an opening statement.

**Naval reliance is also inevitable**

**WHITENECK 2010** (Daniel Whiteneck • Michael Price • Neil Jenkins •Peter Swartz, CNA Analysis & Solutions, “The Navy at a Tipping Point: Maritime Dominance at Stake?” March, [] )

__In the future, ....cooperation activities__ by COCOMs.

**No one can fill in for US naval power**

**WHITENECK 2010** (Daniel Whiteneck • Michael Price • Neil Jenkins •Peter Swartz, CNA Analysis & Solutions, “The Navy at a Tipping Point: Maritime Dominance at Stake?” March, [] )

Second, __ no other country (or combination of countries) will create the forces required for a navy with global influence. America’s European allies, and its Asian allies as well, have created navies that are capable of sustained regional operations __, or routine “cruising” by small squadrons of surface ships that show the flag, conduct engagement and exercises, and demonstrate national interest in economic ties with the visited nations and regions. These navies can also conduct short-term surges for uses of force against low end threats or act as supporters to USN-led naval operations; __ however persistent out-of-area operations (even by a low number of assets) would quickly deplete their resources and political support at home __

**Naval power prevents great power conflict – none of their defense applies.**

Kagan 12

(Robert Kagan is a senior fellow in foreign policy at the Brookings Institution. Adapted from "The World America Made," A version of this article appeared February 11, 2012, on page C1 in some U.S. editions of The WallStreet Journal, with the headline: “Why the World Needs America.” []

History shows that world ....which is what the world looked like right before the American order came into being.


 * Social science proves that the alternative to hegemony is great power war—no peaceful transition **
 * Wohlforth 09 ** – professor of government at Dartmouth (William, “Unipolarity, Status Competition, and Great Power War,” World Affairs, January, project muse)

The upshot is a... __ for status ____ tend to be zero sum __.

**Even anti-hegemonic authors agree that the US will never accept anything less than total domination**

**Mearsheimer 11** – John J. Mearsheimer, the “R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago” Jan/Feb 2011 “Imperial By Design” []

__The downward spiral the ...__ would see the United States as a benign hegemon serving their own interests.

**Any transition away from hegemony causes multiple scenarios for nuclear war in the short term**

**Posen and Ross 97** [Barry Posen, //Professor of Political Science, MIT,// Andrew Ross, //Professor of International Security, US naval War College,// Winter 2007, International Security]

The United States can, more ....even for those not directly involved.


 * Iran **

**Iran has threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz**

**Herb 07/16**/12 (Jeremy, “Iran restarts threats over closing Strait of Hormuz,” [] )//ALo//

//__Iranian officials are once.....implemented by__// // Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali __ Khamenei. __//

// **Perception of quick response ability is key to deter Iran from closing the Strait of Hormuz.** //

// **Kagan 2012** - Resident scholar and director of the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research (Frederick W., “Strait Talk with Iran: The U.S. should make clear to Tehran that closing shipping lanes won't be tolerated” //

// January 4, 2012, [] ) // ALo

__Iran's threat to close a vital .....__ __ it will inevitably and disastrously fail. Displaying any kind of hesitation at this moment would be the real and dangerous provocation. __

**Even short term Hormuz closure causes global economic disruption and oil shocks – no other regional oil transport can check.**

**Blanche 2009** (Ed, “Flashpoint Hormuz: US and allies brace for trouble in the choke-point Strait of Hormuz, gateway to the gulf, as regional tension escalates” //The Middle East//, August-September 2009, Gale)

The strait is a 180km-long horseshoe-shaped ...... __deteriorating oil supply".__

Decline causes war Royal 10 – Director of CTR Jedediah, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction – U.S. Department of Defense, “Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises”, Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, Ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p. 213-215 Less intuitive is how periods of economic decline AND between integration, crises and armed conflict has not featured prominently in the economic-security debate and deserves more attention.

**Oil shocks cause global nuclear war and accesses every impact – need for key resource makes conflict likely.**

**King 2008** – Center for New American Security (Neil, Jr. “Peak Oil: A Survey of Security Concerns” CNAS Energy Security Visionaries Series. July 2008. [] )

__Many commentators in__ the United States ...blame for the country’s travails.

solvency


 * The plan is key to carrier basing at Mayport **

**FCN 6-14-2011** (House Passes Bill Including Mayport Carrier Money, [] )

__A lot of work must take ....__ though it could be as late as 2019.

**Local industry is strong enough to support carrier basing**


 * GAO 2011** (Government Accountability Office, “Subject: Defense Infrastructure: Ability of Ship Maintenance Industrial Base to Support a Nuclear Aircraft Carrier at Naval Station Mayport,” March 29, http://www.gao.gov/assets/100/97346.pdf)

Private ship repair firms in northeast...... in anticipation of future workload.


 * The plan doesn’t cause environmental damage**

**O’ROURKE 6-14-2012** (Ronald, Specialist in Naval Affairs with the Congressional Research Service, “Navy Nuclear Aircraft Carrier (CVN) Homeporting at Mayport: Background and Issues for Congress,” This section is a reprinting of a 2009 Navy Record of Decision, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/weapons/R40248.pdf)

Environmental impacts: __Environmental ...__ Florida Manatee, and sea turtles.