Hannah+Buzil+and+Danlei+Zou

= WELCOME TO THE THUNDERDOME =

= = = Please join the Andy Hou Revolution =

= = = emails = Hannah (2N): 170520@glenbrook225.org Danlei (2A): dazou0112@gmail.com (send me memes plz)

= ** if you are Reilly Markowitz please scroll all the way down = = Neg = Past 2nrs Japan Da (AIIB, Arctic Council) T-qpq (ISS) Elections da (a few affs) extra t (climate coop) unclos cp

stuff that's been in the 1nc - japan da - elections da  - xi good da  - rising expectations da  - consult japan cp  - unclos cp  - t-qpq - t-dip (diplomats) - t-econ - russia case turn

just a note---this is a new partnership so all these args were read with Jackie not Danlei---as the tournament progresses I will update the 1ncs/2nr below: 2nrs: r2: extra/fx t (climate coop) r5: t qpq (iss) 1ncs: r2: t qpq, elections, japan da, russia turns on case r5: t qpq, elections, japan da, consult japan cp

= Aff =

=AIIB 1AC=

The AIIB's Environmental and Social Framework allows for flexible interpretation and ineffective implementation – must ensure follow-through that prioritizes sustainability

 * Larsen and Gilbert 3/14/16** [Gaia, Senior Associate in the WRI's Sustainable Finance Center, where she leads its work on financial institutions and climate finance readiness, Sean, China director and Director of Sustainability Reporting Framework at the Global Reporting Initiative, "Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank Releases New Environmental and Social Standards. How Do They Stack Up?", World Resources Institute, 3/4/16, http://www.wri.org/blog/2016/03/asian-infrastructure-investment-bank-releases-new-environmental-and-social-standards] MG

Last week, the new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) released its Environmental and Social Framework, which will help guide how the bank deals with its investments' impacts on people and the environment. With authorized capital of $100 billion and promises to deliver aid with less bureaucracy, the AIIB could play a big role in re-shaping countries around the region.

AND

As the AIIB moves forward, the next steps will be as important as the first in ultimately determining the nature of its contribution to development.


 * ====Without a change to its procedures the AIIB will fuel mega infrastructure projects and a massive expansion of coal use ====**


 * Bankwatch 15** [CEE Bankwatch Network, international non-governmental organisation with member organisations from countries across central and eastern Europe that monitors activities of IFIs to promote sustainable projects, "New Beijing-backed Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank struggles to convince on environment and sustainability issues", 12/17/15, http://bankwatch.org/bwmail/63/new-beijing-backed-asian-infrastructure-investment-bank-struggles-convince-environment] MG

The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), the China-led financial institution, has emerged as a multilateral development bank with the backing of 57 members in record time.

AND

Without some rapid-fire injection of ambition and responsibility into its policies and procedures, the new beginnings under way at the AIIB threaten to see a return to the darkest, unregulated days of international development finance.

China coal is the greatest source of CO2 emissions – largest cause of warming

 * Lindeman, Mellnik, and Eglund 15 –** (Todd Lindeman, Ted Mellnik, Will Eglund, Energy reporters for the Washington Post, "As appetite for electricity soars, the world keeps turning to coal", 10/12/15, https://www.washingtonpost.com/apps/g/page/world/as-appetite-for-electricity-soars-the-world-keeps-turning-to-coal/1842/), "LJH"

Despite growing attention to cleaner energy, two-thirds of the world's electricity is still produced by burning fossil fuels, mostly coal — a proportion that hasn't budged for 35 years.

AND

China, the United States and India — accounted for nearly 50 percent of all fossil fuel emissions

Infrastructure development in Asia key to global climate change —- ensuring strong AIIB standards is critical

 * Nassiry and Nakhooda 16** [Darius, head of international cooperation department at Global Green Growth Institute, Director at Millennium Challenge Corporation where he led teams for development of investment programs in Asia, Smita, Climate finance fellow at World Resources Institute, "The AIIB and investment in action on climate change", Working Paper 433, April 2016, https://www.odi.org/sites/odi.org.uk/files/resource-documents/the_aiib_and_investment_in_action_final_20160413.pdf] MG

The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (the AIIB or the Bank) is poised to be an important new actor in international development finance, led by developing countries to scale up investment in infrastructure.

AND

Tools such as the use of carbon footprinting and shadow pricing to reflect the externalities of fossil fuel emissions should be used to inform the AIIB's investment decisions. Such measures could enable the Bank to achieve its stated aim to be "lean, clean and green".

Warming is real, anthropogenic, and threatens extinction

 * Griffin, 15 –** Professor of Philosophy at Claremont, David, "The climate is ruined. So can civilization even survive?", 4-14, http://www.cnn.com/2015/01/14/opinion/co2-crisis-griffin/

Although most of us worry about other things, climate scientists have become increasingly worried about the survival of civilization. For example, Lonnie Thompson, who received the U.S. National Medal of Science in 2010, said that virtually all climatologists "are now convinced that global warming poses a clear and present danger to civilization."

AND

To have a chance, we must, as Hansen says, do everything possible to "keep climate close to the Holocene range" — which means, mobilize the whole world to replace dirty energy with clean as soon as possible.

Independently, there will be a race to the bottom among multilateral development banks and poorly planned infrastructure development —- this leads to biodiversity collapse

 * Laurence 16** —- Research Professor and Australian Laureate at James Cook University (Bill, "Will New Mega-Banks Force A 'Race to The Bottom' For The Environment?", ALERT Conservation, 4/4/2016, http://alert-conservation.org/issues-research-highlights/2016/4/2/will-new-mega-banks-force-a-race-to-the-bottom-for-the-environment), "LJH"

If you care about the environment and human rights, there's good reasons to be very, very nervous.

AND

Time will soon tell. Right now, for the environment and human rights, the signs are all pointing in the wrong direction.

Chinese leadership through its investment banks is critical to prioritize climate standards in infrastructure investments

 * Ha et al., 16 (Sangjung Ha is an analyst for the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Thomas Hale is an** **Associate Professor in Public Policy at Oxford University, and Pete Ogden is a senior advisor and fellow at the Energy Policy Institute at the University of Chicago, 2/12/16, "After Paris, it's "all hands on deck" for Climate Finance", Global Policy,** http://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/12/02/2016/after-paris-it%E2%80%99s-%E2%80%9Call-hands-deck%E2%80%9D-climate-finance **// PD)**

The December 2015 UN climate summit in Paris marked a historic step forward in international efforts to combat climate change, producing a new climate agreement that includes national commitments by 189 countries to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

AND

And China has a critical role to play in making it a reality.

Plan will stimulate reform and innovation in the existing international economic order —- including the World Bank, IMF and ADB. Direct U.S. engagement is Key
Elgin-Cossart & Hart, 9/22/15 —- *Senior Fellow at American Progress, where she works on issues involving foreign policy, international development, and global conflict, AND **Senior Fellow and Director of China Policy at American Progress (Molly Elgin-Cossart and Melanie Hart, "China's New International Financing Institutions; Challenges and Opportunities for Sustainable Investment Standards," https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/security/report/2015/09/22/121668/chinas-new-international-financing-institutions/, article downloaded 4/23/16, JMP)

In recent years, China has moved into development finance in a very big way.

AND

From a U.S. perspective, leaning in should be the only option on the table.

====China has a huge incentive to accept collaboration on environmental standards —- it has a willingness to improve its environmental standards and enforcement but it needs greater expertise and experience —- can't rely on host government regulations to ensure effective protections====

Ma 14 (Yuge Ma, DPhil Candidate at the Environmental Change Institute (ECI), University of Oxford, 12-5-2014, "The Environmental Implications of China's New Bank," Diplomat, http://thediplomat.com/2014/12/the-environmental-implications-of-chinas-new-bank/ // PD)

On October 24 this year, 21 Asian countries signed an agreement in Beijing that signaled the launch of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), whose main backer is China.

AND

All countries can gain from finding each other attractive." Leaders from the U.S., China, and other Asian countries, developed or developing, will need political wisdom as well as professional collaboration to ensure the sustainable development of the most populous and fastest-growing region in the world

U.S. participation is key to ensure that AIIB protects Asian environment

 * Economy, 14** —- C.V. Starr senior fellow and director of Asia Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (10/20/14, Elizabeth, "A Chance to Introduce Social and Environmental Protections," http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2014/10/20/a-chinese-rival-to-the-world-bank/a-chance-to-introduce-social-and-environmental-protections, article downloaded 5/3/16, JMP)

Chinese officials have referenced their desire to address environmental and other governance issues through the A.I.I.B.

AND

Undermining the A.I.I.B. would only undermine Asia's chance at a sustainable environmental future.

Plan
====The United States federal government should substantially increase its economic and diplomatic engagement with the People's Republic of China to develop sustainable investment standards in China's financing institutions.====

Advantage two is China rise

 * ====AIIB is China's first signature contribution —- failure to engage it fuels perception of containment====**

Scott Kennedy 15 —- Deputy Director of the Freeman Chair in China Studies and Director of the Project on Chinese Business and Political Economy at the Center for Strategic and International Studies(Scott; "What Went Wrong With U.S. Strategy on China's New Bank and What Should Washington Do Now?"; March 25^^th^^; https://www.chinafile.com/conversation/what-went-wrong-us-strategy-chinas-new-bank-and-what-should-washington-do-now)//pk

In 2005, then United States Deputy Secretary of State Robert Zoellick famously called on China to be a "responsible stakeholder." He meant that China needed not only to comply with its international commitments, but also to provide public goods to the international community.

AND

Then both countries will be able to justly claim they are truly acting as responsible stakeholders.

U.S. has to play ball with the AIIB —- engagement on past institutions is no longer sufficient

 * Soergel, 6/10/15** —- Economy Reporter at U.S. News (Andrew, "Amid U.S. Paralysis, China Cashing In; While Congress has failed to move forward with IMF reforms, Beijing is poised to boost its banking power," http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2015/06/10/asian-infrastructure-investment-bank-chinas-answer-to-western-marginalization, article downloaded on 6/7/16, JMP) ***Note —- Rajiv Biswas is Asia-Pacific chief economist at IHS Global Insight, an economic analysis firm

In the meantime, China – a country whose say in the IMF is now almost comically dwarfed by smaller economies like the U.K., France, Germany and Japan – appears to be fed up with being marginalized and waiting for Congress to make a move. Enter the AIIB. Through it, China gains not only more influence, but more power through that influence.

AND

Beijing went out and got its own toys to play with, and the U.S. and the Western world will have to come to terms with China's continued emergence and influence.

====Engaging on the AIIB is critical —- it's the focal point for China's expanded international role and cooperation will help resolve Myanmar conflict and spillover to cybersecurity and the South China Sea====


 * Noori, et. al, 15** —- Program Specialist, Middle East & North Africa Programs at United States Institute of Peace (8/24/15, Maral Noori, Daniel Jasper and Jason Tower, "Overcoming Barriers to U.S.-China Cooperation," http://www.usip.org/publications/2015/08/24/overcoming-barriers-us-china-cooperation, downloaded on 4/21/16, JMP)

In 2011, U.S. president Barack Obama announced plans to "pivot" toward Asia. In 2012, Chinese president Xi Jinping expressed his hope for "a new type of relationship" with the United States.

AND

Development lending could prove a minimally politically sensitive testing ground.

South China Sea conflict goes nuclear.
Christensen 6/5/15 – Thomas J., Boswell professor of world politics and director of the China and the World Program at Princeton University, is a former U.S. deputy assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs, "China's Rising Military: Now for the Hard Part" http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-06-05/china-s-rising-military-now-for-the-hard-part

One reason for this is that no consensus exists in East Asia on the territorial status quo, as there did between the two Cold War camps in most regions of the world.

AND

But internal Chinese military writings suggest that no-first-use is more of a guideline than a rule and doesn't necessarily apply under conditions in which a technologically superior foe attacks crucial targets with conventional weapons.

Ensuring peaceful rise is necessary to prevent World War 3 —- lack of engagement on AIIB has wrecked U.S. leadership

 * Lehmann, 15** —- Emeritus Professor at IMD, Lausanne (Switzerland), currently Visiting Professor at Hong Kong University and at NIIT University in Neemrana, Rajasthan (India) (4/2/15, Jean-Pierre Lehmann, "China And The US: The AIIB Fiasco &amp; America's Colossal Loss Of Face," http://www.forbes.com/sites/jplehmann/2015/04/02/china-and-the-us-the-aiib-fiasco-americas-colossal-loss-of-face/print/, article downloaded 6/14/16, JMP)

It is very worrying for the world that American policy makers should be capable of making such outrageous errors, scoring own-goals, as the decision to play poker against China over the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and losing so spectacularly and humiliatingly.

AND

The AIIB saga was a fiasco in every sense, demeaning the status of the US. Let us hope the appropriate lessons are learned. Pax Americana is still needed.

Independently, the plan gives the U.S. critical influence to address a number of nuclear threats and propel cooperation to a new level

 * Chakravorti, 15** —- Senior Associate Dean of International Business & Finance at The Fletcher School at Tufts University and founding Executive Director of Fletcher's Institute for Business in the Global Context (4/20/15, Bhaskar, "China's New Development Bank Is a Wake-Up Call for Washington," https://hbr.org/2015/04/chinas-new-development-bank-is-a-wake-up-call-for-washington, article downloaded on 6/18/16, JMP)

The founder of modern Singapore, Lee Kwan Yew, who passed away recently, had a rather pointed assessment of what's known as the U.S. "Asia pivot" policy:

AND

It is time to think about it differently and for the U.S. and organizations like the World Bank and others to work out how to play with it. = = =Holla @ Cypress Bay MF!=