Jay+and+Paul

=Plan Text= Plan: the United States Federal Government should remove all tactical nuclear weapons from the Republic of Turkey. =Advantage 1 – Russia=

__ U.S.-Russian //relations // are at … __) //Cold War // __to take place__.
 * U.S-Russia relations are low now. If we do not act soon, this will trigger a new Cold War.**
 * Deatsch 09** Amanda Deastsch- Her dissertation for M.A. from Webster University. (“Misperceptions in U.S.-Russia relations: Prospects for a new Cold War?” abstract)

Kolesnikov 08 (Sergei, Rolf Mützenich, Patrik … parliamentary colleagues in these countries.
 * Removing tactical nuclear weapons from Europe is uniquely key to convincing Russia to reduce its stockpile of nuclear weapons**

However, change is in the … __ remove the weapons __ from Europe.
 * US TNW’s will be forced out of every country except turkey in the squo**
 * Podvig 10** (“What to do about tactical nuclear weapons” http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/columnists/pavel-podvig/what-to-do-about-tactical-nuclear-weapons The Bulletin Online) February 25, 2010 Pavel Podvig is a columnist for The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. He works as a research associate at Stanford’s Center for International Security and Cooperation. He headed the Russian Strategic Nuclear Forces Research Project in 1995.

__Finally there is the issue … enough to justify this contradiction__.
 * Keeping TNWs in Europe kills American and NATO credibility on nonproliferation**
 * Kristensen 2010** (Hans M., May 10, Federation of American Scientists Security Blog, “US Nuclear Weapons in Europe: Status and Issues”, , > Hans M. Kristensen is Director of the Nuclear Information Project at the Federation of American Scientists. Between 1998 and 2002, Kristensen directed the Nuclear Strategy Project at the Nautilus Institute in Berkeley, CA. Kristensen was a Special Advisor to the Danish Ministry of Defence in 1997-1998 as a member of the Danish Defence Commission, a Danish Ministry of Defence led review of Danish military policy. He was a Senior Researcher with the Nuclear Information Unit of Greenpeace International in Washington D.C from 1991 to 1996, prior to which he coordinated the Greenpeace Nuclear Free Seas Campaign in Denmark, Norway, Finland and Sweden)

Finally, Mr. Chairman, I wish to touch … and accountability will also disappear
 * The impact of continued Russian proliferation is global thermonuclear war**
 * Talbott, 2007** (Strobe, President, the Brookings Institution, “Building a Constructive U.S.-Russian Relationship” – http://www.brookings.edu/testimony/2007/1030_russia_talbott.aspx


 * And the proliferation of tactical nuclear weapons is the greatest threat the US faces today- leads to nuclear terrorism and justifies using nukes in war**
 * Turner 2003** (Stansfield, Former Director of … fires were simply not addressed.

**Continued Russian prolif spills over to every other nation worldwide and undermines non-proliferation efforts** Vladmir ** Dvorkin **, one of the authors of all major documents related to the Strategic Nuclear Forces and the Strategic Missile Forces. For many years he has been participating as an expert in preparing SALT II, the INF Treaty, START I and START II, ** 2009 **, “Antimissile Defences, Arms Control and Nuclear Proliferation” http://www.icnnd.org/research/Dvorkin_BMD.pdf

If Russia acquires mobile intermediate- … Review Conferences ending in failure.


 * Tactical nuclear weapons are a bigger threat than strategic nuclear weapons- we control the most probable internal link to a nuclear attack**
 * Sokov 2002** (Nicolai Socov, “Issue Brief: … __ may well emulate this example. __

Claudine ** Lamond **, Australian National University (International Relations), June ** 2009 **, “International Security Report” [] __ The stationing of NATO’s TNWs … __ begin as early as December 2009.16
 * Removing TNW’s is key to reviving US-Russian relations**

Dmitry V. ** Suslov **, Deputy Director for Research at the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy, May 18, ** 2010 **, “U.S. - Russia relations after the New START treaty” []
 * US-Russia have the ability to maintain a strong relationship – NOW is key**

__ The U.S.-Russia relationship has … __ dealing with a range of issues.

In these and other ways, __ … now, when? If not us, who?" __
 * U.S.-RUSSIA RELATIONS CHECK FOUR SCENARIOS OF NUCLEAR WAR**
 * COHEN 1** (Stephen, Prof of Russian Studies at NYU, June 7, @http://www.thenation.com/doc.mhtml?i=20010625&c=1&s=cohen)

Alexander and ** Millar 2001 ** (Brian and … weapons could play a strategic role.
 * Withdrawal would remove Russian military fears and encourage nonproliferation while not affecting NATO deterrence capability.**

=Advantage 2 – Iran=

//[J.J.// **// Green //**//, the national security correspondent, and Middle East proliferation expert for WTOP, CSPAN, and Voice of America, on WTOP “Iran ‘Definitely’ Building Nuclear Weapon”.// **// 6/14 //**///2010,// [|//http://www.wtop.com/?nid=25&sid=1979648//] //] Saker// __"There is no doubt … every day, __ " the official says. The Obama administration is clearly concerned. "The nature and scope of Iran's nuclear program causes the U.S. and the international community to question whether Iran's nuclear intentions are peaceful," says National Security Council spokesman Mike Hammer. __ "Iran is pursuing a nuclear … of a peaceful nuclear power program." __ Hammer says the body of evidence against Iran includes belligerent statements from Iranian officials, human intelligence sources and Iran's own military activity.
 * Initially note – Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons now**


 * US withdraw of TNW’s from turkey grants them the credibility to prevent Iranian nuclearization**
 * __Kibaroglu 6/7__**/10 (Mustafa, Professor and Vice … **__ its policy on U.S. nuclear weapons. __**

[Tulin **__Daloglu,__** Turkey expert … won't remove those nuclear warheads." In the end, all issues seem to come back to Erdogan's obsession with Israel. It is easy to use Israel as a scapegoat, as Erdogan attempts to redefine Turkish identity and its national security interests. Erdogan's constant rhetorical assaults on Israel do have a profound effect on Turkish public opinion, slowly convincing Turks that it is Israel, not a nuclear Iran, that is the primary threat to peace.  The prime minister argues that he is not shifting the country from West to East -- he is still a vocal advocate of Turkey's EU accession, for example. However, he knows well that his popularity on the Arab street is not due to the Arab world's appreciation for Turkey's founding father, Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, but because he is taking their side against Israel and its Western allies.  As a Turk, I have watched these … have to blame is himself.
 * Without this credibility Iran will nuclearize**

For President Obama and most … would cause the U.S.'s demise.
 * This causes cascading proliferation**
 * Rubin 9** – senior editor of the Middle East Quarterly, is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute and a senior lecturer at the Naval Postgraduate School (Michael, October 5, “Bad Options on Iran: An Israeli strike won't suffice”, http://www.meforum.org/2476/bad-options-on-iran )

**Iran proliferation unleashes a nightmare scenario of proliferation around the globe, and nations minutes away from annihilation** James M. ** Lindsay ** and Ray Takeyh, writers for foreignaffairs.com, April ** 2010 **, “After Iran Gets the Bomb” http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/66032/james-m-lindsay-and-ray-takeyh/after-iran-gets-the-bomb?page=show The nightmare scenario that could … Washington's response to Iran's nuclearization.


 * Proliferation results in nuclear war**
 * __Inbar 6__** (Efraim, Professor of Political … nuclear deterrence in the region.

__ Turkey has quietly held NATO … __ with whom I met would agree.
 * Independently the existence of Turkish TNW’s causes middle-east wildfire proliferation and war**
 * Bell 2009** (Alexandra, Truman National Security Fellow, Aug 26, “Turkey’s Nuclear Crossroads,” www.Ploughshares.org)

Israel is especially dangerous because … a worldwide disarmament movement can stop it.
 * Middle east war causes extinction, draws in russia**
 * Moore 9—**BA in pol sci from Wayne State (Carol, Six Escalation Scenarios to Nuclear World War III, 16 February,@http://pakalert.wordpress.com/2009/02/16/six-escalation-scenarios-to-nuclear-world-war-iii/

peration Iraqi Freedom, after which Turkish support for U.S. policy declined through the end of the George W. Bush administration. Obama's election has helped to mend fences, and his visit to Turkey in April was warmly received. In fact, all of the administration's positive interactions with Turkey have been beneficial: Washington has supported Turkey's role as a regional energy supplier and encouraged Ankara as it undertakes … __U.S. nuclear weapons from Turkish soil.__
 * Turkish nukes don’t deter or serve any purpose – only a risk of the advantage**
 * __Bell and Loehrke 9__** – manager at … Turkey refused to participate in

=Advantage 3 – NATO=

__A primary reason for__ this __… are safely and securely isolated.__
 * The Removal of TNW’s from Europe is the first step in solving NATO’s dissolution**
 * Podvig 2010** (Pavel, 2/25, expert in Russian nuclear arsenal and physicist, head of the Russian Strategic Nuclear Forces Research Project, Stanford research associate, “What to do about tactical nuclear weapons” The Bulletin)

__Since__ __the end of the …__ banks of the Alma. AFJ
 * NATO key to stopping World War 3 in Europe; cooperation prevents arms race and rivalries**
 * Killebrew** December **2009** (Robert, retired Air Force colonel, senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, 12/29/2009, “The Need for NATO”, Armed Forces Jornal)