Matthew+Kim+&+Michelle+Mar

China Rise
====Plan: The United States federal government should substantially increase its diplomatic and economic engagement with the People's Republic of China over the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank with the purpose of joining the bank.====

====China's rise is inevitable —- U.S. failure to seek membership in the AIIB sends the signal that it doesn't want to integrate China into global economic governance and crushes America's ability to shape the global order==== **Wyne, 15** —- contributing analyst at Wikistrat, and a global fellow with the Project for the Study of the 21st Century (4/7/15, Ali, "The American World Order and China's New Bank," http://warontherocks.com/2015/04/the-american-world-order-and-chinas-new-bank/, article downloaded on 5/3/16, JMP) The United States has sensibly declared its intention to rebalance towards the Asia-Pacific AND writ large—than, respectively, excluding China and shunning its efforts.

====U.S. concerns over Chinese governance prevents efforts to positively reform the AIIB and facilitate multilateral diplomacy and deep cooperation with China==== **Edwards & Qahir, 15** —- *Associate Professor of Diplomacy and International Relations, Seton Hall University, AND **Diplomacy graduate student at Seton Hall (4/6/15, Martin & Katayon, "US should stop blocking China's AIIB and join allies in new club," https://theconversation.com/us-should-stop-blocking-chinas-aiib-and-join-allies-in-new-club-39406, article downloaded 4/23/16, JMP)**
 * China's growing economic clout is complicating US efforts to maintain its grip on the world's **
 * AND **
 * route for deepening cooperation between the US and the People's Republic of China. **

====Engaging on the AIIB is critical —- it's the focal point for China's expanded international role and cooperation will help resolve Myanmar conflict and spillover to cybersecurity and the South China Sea ==== **Noori, et. al, 15** —- Program Specialist, Middle East & North Africa Programs at United States Institute of Peace (8/24/15, Maral Noori, Daniel Jasper and Jason Tower, "Overcoming Barriers to U.S.-China Cooperation," http://www.usip.org/publications/2015/08/24/overcoming-barriers-us-china-cooperation, downloaded on 4/21/16, JMP) In 2011, U.S. president Barack Obama announced plans to "pivot AND  . cooperation. Development lending could prove a minimally politically sensitive testing ground.


 * ====South China Sea conflict goes nuclear. ==== **
 * Christensen 6/5/15 – Thomas J., Boswell professor of world politics and director of the China and the World Program at Princeton University, is a former U.S. deputy assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs, "China's Rising Military: Now for the Hard Part" http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-06-05/china-s-rising-military-now-for-the-hard-part **
 * One reason for this is that no consensus exists in East Asia on the territorial **
 * AND **
 * conditions in which a technologically superior foe attacks crucial targets with conventional weapons. **

Shambaugh, 15 **– professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University, and a nonresident senior fellow at the Brookings Institution (David, "In a fundamental shift, China and the US are now engaged in all-out competition," South China Morning Post, 6/11/15, http://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1819980/fundamental-shift-china-and-us-are-now-engaged-all-out?page=all //Red+JMP)//**
 * ====The suspicious atmosphere allows military conflict to erupt at any time —- both sides must manage competition to prevent war and expand cooperation on global governance issues that represent existential risks==== **
 * // The relationship between the United States and China has rightly been described as the most //**
 * // AND //**
 * // a marriage in which divorce is not an option. Divorce means war. //**

//Lipscy, 15 **—- Assistant Professor of Political Science and the Thomas Rohlen Center Fellow, Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University (5/7/15, Phillip Y., "Who's Afraid of the AIIB; Why the United States Should Support China's Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank," https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2015-05-07/whos-afraid-aiib, downloaded 4/23/16, JMP)**// //** When China first proposed creating the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) in 2013 **// //** AND **// //** encourage, not discourage, Chinese foreign policy initiatives such as the AIIB. **//
 * // ====Independently, China will be forced to turn to aggressive military actions if the U.S. doesn't support its growing role in the global economy via the AIIB==== //**

//** ====Failure to recalibrate U.S. economic policy toward China risks miscalculation that triggers great power conflict==== **// //Wyne, 15 **—- contributing analyst at Wikistrat and a global fellow at the Project for the Study of the 21st Century (6/1/15, Ali, "Is America's Mind-set the Greatest Threat to Its Future?" http://nationalinterest.org/feature/america%E2%80%99s-mind-set-the-greatest-threat-its-future-13004?page=show, article downloaded 5/3/16, JMP)** *Joseph Nye is a professor at the Harvard Kennedy School and one of the most esteemed analysts of world affairs// // Nye suggests that the greatest threat to U.S. influence may not be // // AND // // world order." Here's to hoping that the United States heeds that judgment. //

// ====Ensuring peaceful rise is necessary to prevent World War 3 —- lack of engagement on AIIB has wrecked U.S. leadership==== // // **Lehmann, 15** —- Emeritus Professor at IMD, Lausanne (Switzerland), currently Visiting Professor at Hong Kong University and at NIIT University in Neemrana, Rajasthan (India) (4/2/15, Jean-Pierre Lehmann, "China And The US: The AIIB Fiasco &amp; America's Colossal Loss Of Face," http://www.forbes.com/sites/jplehmann/2015/04/02/china-and-the-us-the-aiib-fiasco-americas-colossal-loss-of-face/print/, article downloaded 6/14/16, JMP) // // It is very worrying for the world that American policy makers should be capable of // // AND // // us hope the appropriate lessons are learned. Pax Americana is still needed. //

// ==Global Warming Adv== //

// ====Global Warming is real and rise is human induced==== // // **NASA, June 17th 2016 (**NASA, Climate change: How do we know?, NASA, http://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/, Alexis Officer/AO) // // The Earth's climate has changed throughout history. Just in the last 650,000 // // AND // // : in tens of years, not in millions or even thousands.^^3^^ //

// ====Expanding US China cooperation on climate change key to global emissions reductions==== // // **Hongzhou 15** (Mr Zhang Hongzhou, Associate Research Fellow with the China Programme at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. http://thediplomat.com/2015/10/china-us-climate-change-cooperation-beyond-energy/. "China-US Climate Change Cooperation: Beyond Energy") //VN The Paris Summit in December 2015 is being seen as the "last chance" AND up efforts in agricultural research and technology, and strengthening global food systems.

====Warming is real, anthropogenic, and causes extinction.==== **Deibel '7 (**Terry L. Deibel, professor of IR at National War College, 2007, Foreign Affairs Strategy, Conclusion: American Foreign Finally, there is one major existential threat to American security (as well as  AND States, but potentially to the continued existence of life on this planet.

====US China Relations are Key to Solving Climate Change, Will Save US China relations ==== **FlorCruz 15**- Michelle, World News Reporter and content producer for IBT media "Solving Climate Change Problem Rests on U.S.-China Cooperation"( http://asiasociety.org/blog/asia/solving-climate-change-problem-rests-us-china-cooperation, 6/21) On the heels of the UN Climate Summit in Paris, Kevin Rudd, president AND allow it to be trashed is one factor in why China has acted."

====US China cooperation through AIIB solves warming==== Innes-Ker 15 (Duncan Innes-Ker, responsible for the Economist Intelligence Unit's flagship China product, the China Country Report, and for producing the EIU's economic forecasts for the country. He has contributed in-depth studies on issues such as China's labour market and environmental policies, and has also been involved in forecasting market sizing and development for Chinese sectors such as automotives and agriculture. Besides covering China, Duncan is responsible for providing analysis and economic forecasts on a number of Asian economies, including Hong Kong, Macau and Mongolia. http://www.eiumedia.com/index.php/component/comprofiler/userprofile/DuncanInnes-Ker. "How to Improve U.S.-China Relations") //VN Second, as the world's leading sources of foreign direct investment, the United States AND cannot deliver at home, they will not be able to deliver abroad.

==Solvency==

====U.S. should engage China to join the AIIB —- allows it to exert more influence ==== **Knight, 15** —- Faculty Director of the SIS Honors Program and Assistant Professor at American University's School of International Service and expert on international political economy (4/3/15, Sarah Cleeland Knight, "The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank – Three Questions for Sarah Cleeland Knight," http://www.american.edu/sis/news/20150403-3Q-Cleeland-Knight-Asian-Infrastructure-Investment-Bank.cfm, article downloaded 5/11/16, JMP) A growing number of countries are joining the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank AND best, working quietly with China, to ensure that it actually does.

====The plan will rebalance the relationship with China —- preventing a collision between the rising powers==== **Lee & Fullilove, 5/17/16** —- *President, East Asia Institute (South Korea), AND **Executive Director, Lowy Institute for International Policy (Australia) (Michael, "Crisis in Global Governance: A Conversation with Richard N. Haass and the Council of Councils," http://www.cfr.org/global-governance/crisis-global-governance-conversation-richard-n-haass-council-councils/p37852, article downloaded 5/30/16, JMP)**
 * LEE: And at the same time, you know, there is interesting AIIB **
 * AND **
 * does come back to leadership. **
 * MABRY: Mmm hmm. Excellent. **

Lazarus, 3/2/16 **—- MA candidate at The Fletcher School, Tufts University (Leland, "Why the U.S. Should Embrace the AIIB; There are compelling reasons for the U.S. to join China's new development bank," http://thediplomat.com/2016/03/why-the-u-s-should-embrace-the-aiib/, article downloaded 4/24/16, JMP)**
 * ====U.S. involvement will allow AIIB to safeguard its independence from China, develop higher standards and transparency, reverse perception of containment and boost the credibility of its Asia rebalance==== **
 * China's new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) has been the source of considerable **
 * AND **
 * improve the AIIB as a member, instead of opposing the bank altogether. **

Bergsten, 15 **—- director emeritus and senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics (3/15/15, Fred, "US should work with the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank; Washington should sign up and bless the desire of its friends to join, writes Fred Bergsten," https://next.ft.com/content/4937bbde-c9a8-11e4-a2d9-00144feab7de, article downloaded 5/2/16, JMP)**
 * ====U.S. participation in the AIIB ensures that China exercises constructive global leadership —- SQ sends the signal of containment==== **
 * China's decision to create a new development bank for Asia is proving a highly divisive **
 * AND **
 * world economy and capitalise on China's growing willingness to exercise constructive global leadership. **

Marston, 16** —- Southeast Asia analyst at a Washington, D.C., think tank (2/28/16, Hunter, "A Four-Point Plan for Reviving the U.S. Role in Asia," http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/four-point-plan-reviving-the-us-role-asia-15342?page=show, article downloaded 5/3/16, JMP) Downplay the Current Mindset of Rivalry The great challenge of the century for future AND determine U.S. standing in the world in the As
 * ====The plan reverses the perception of hostility ==== **

1NC vs. Zambia K Aff
Framework- aff should defend a topical action and neolib good on case =2NR Strat = Framework

Pan K, Appeasement DA,
 * 1NC vs. Afghan **

**2NR Strat**
Pan k

1NC vs. Afghan
Elections, Xi Good, T-engagement (positive incentives)

2NR Strat
Xi Good and Elections